None of which is relevant to the point you seemed to be arguing - that a ceasefire only happens when both sides decide fighting isn't better.The situation has changed.
Ceasefire was offered and Israel chose to cross the US's red line and attack Rafah.
No, this isn't about the US. Its just become more clear that Netanyahu was dangling the possibility of a ceasefire the way he dangled the two state solution during Oslo while installing 'facts on the ground'.
In fact, this just shows I was right.
Israel still thinks it can get what it wants by fighting, so a ceasefire isn't going to happen.