-If the subway gets built, its going to be years before it happens, more studies needed, routes planned etc. Ford won't be around when the first shovel hits the ground.+1
No matter what happens Ford will use this as a cudgel, his base will lap it up, and he may actually get public buy in.
-If they find the money: "Ford builds Subway"
-If they take the money from another project: "For Builds Subway" (and you won't hear much about, 'Those whiny bastards over there'.)
-If they end up with LRT, Ford will talk about elites and bullies, and depriving the poor folks in Scarborough.
-If the whole thing gets scrapped because of dithering, Ford will talk about elites and bullies, and depriving the poor folks in Scarborough.
-If they find the money from another project council's support for the subway is ended and it goes back to LRT, check the decision.
-If they end up with the LRT, the subway just gets bundled up with the ferris wheel and the 'private sector will build it', in the list of failures. His base may see it, but they will also see he can't get anything done and even voted to raise taxes.
-If the whole thing gets scrapped, Ford becomes the mayor who took us from the Metrolinx plan that was in placed, financed and in progress to nothing. He'll be known as a disaster.
And council can say to their voters, they voted for the subway, but Ford couldn't get it done. They gave him the chance and he failed.
They can try to blame Ontario, but Wynn can easily argue that they were constant from day 1 with their support for transit, they had money on the table but Ford didn't know what he was doing. Listening to Murray's interviews since the vote they sound very clear and smart about the matter. Ford will be left as the person who didn't understand the numbers.
-If the whole thing gets scrapped