Happygrump said:
Well, if the Conservatives would get their head out of their collective asses and see Canada in the harsh light of reality - socially progressive, fiscally conservative - then they may have a chance. But their slavish adherence to socially conservative policies, plus the fact that they change their minds on important issues depending on which way the political wind is blowing, will continue to keep them on the sidelines.
Trying to be "socially progressive" was one of the many ways that the old PCs dug their own grave. I recall how, during the final years of the Mulroney era, they tried pandering to the radical feminism that was going at the time, going as far as to give the feminist groups a new Federal obscenity law designed by notorious radical feminist theorist Catherine MacKinnon, and shovelling funding money to advocacy groups, the most powerful of which- the ultra-leftist National Action Committee on the Status of Women- was elevated to the status of a quasi-government ministry. The PCs were richly rewarded when these groups returned the favour by using their newfound money and status to accuse the PCs of waging a "war on women" and instruct Canadian women to vote NDP. Meanwhile, socially conservative family-values types flocked to the Reform party in droves.
The same party brainiacs then put Kim Campbell at the helm, reasoning that having a women as party leader would give them impeccable "progressive" street cred. What they didn't realize, though, is that as far as "progressives" are concerned, a female conservative is merely a self-hating sellout and traitor to her gender- and they vote accordingly. Anyways, Campbell figured she'd be seen as real hip and progressive if she made some anti-religious comments in public. This didn't impress the progressives, but it
did offend Catholics greatly- and the Liberals took the chance to prove that, good progressive secularists though they may be, they aren't above exploiting religious sentiment when they can get some mileage out of it.
The Liberal's recent adoption of conspiratism, whereby Harper is accused of having a "hidden agenda", in any case would totally neutralize any attempt on the part of the CP to shift leftwards. Harper could marry Peter Mackay on national TV while smoking a blunt and praising Saddam, and it would be spun as
proof of his hidden ultra-rightist agenda.
The public tends to uncritically accept accusations of a "hidden agenda", and for good reason: the official right-wing party can be expected to stand for right-wing positions, and if they don't do so publicly, it seems plausible that they're hiding something. This means that the further left they go, the worse the perception of insincerity gets; the whole thing is like the political version of a Chinese finger trap, which gets tighter the harder it's pulled.
The best thing for them to do is to take a firm, open, and principled stand on some relatively inocuous social issues: gay religious marriage (not civil union), crime (OK, they do this already), weed, filth on broadcast TV (which a lot of parents of all political stripes are unhappy about).