Vaughan Spa

Get ready Kamala fans...this is just the beginning

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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Yes...Unfortunately for him this will hurt him significantly. He's not nimble enough to walk through the minefields that he steers himself into.
What minefields?
These all seem like interviewers who would be very sympathetic to Trump and softball him.
 

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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These are polls sponsored and financed by the various media. Rarely do we hear about internal polls from the campaigns itself.
For sure the campaigns pay close attention to the polls, and accordingly structure their various platforms that are designed to attract certain crucial sections of the population.
Which is all fine.
I'm only objecting to poll-obsessed horse-race reporting.
 

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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Strangely, Newsweek seems to be running overly-dramatic and conflicting headlines on polls every day. I don't think there is much real journalism being done there, but people still remember the name.
If I recall, Newsweek was bought by some tabloid magnate years ago.
It's completely unreliable now, just throwing up whatever.
But, as you say, people remember the name and it is coasting some off of that.

Maybe things changed and someone is trying to rebuild it, but it became garbage quite some time ago, I thought.
 

WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
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A plan to vote.
Where you need to go. How you are getting there. Who is covering for you while you wait.
Etc.
Yes, make sure they have a vote plan.......your Democratic precinct captain strongly suggests this is how you should vote.
We can assist you with your absentee ballot. We can come by and pick up your ballot.

For decades, it was about registering voters and encouraging them to vote. The last several years the chain of custody has been weakened and even eliminated in some instances. Urban bosses of old would love working with voters on their "vote plan".

So it's just an opinion that "go register voters" followed by "make sure they have a vote plan' deliberately sounded too broad. Michelle Obama could have just said register voters and get them to the polls (or encourage them to vote).............but now we have a more relaxed voting process.
 
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mitchell76

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BREAKING: Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has just CONFIRMED that noncitizens are getting registered to vote across the state. His undercover investigators caught various Democrat-linked NGOs giving voter registration forms to people at DMV locations "The investigation has already confirmed that various nonprofit organizations have been located outside Texas Department of Public Safety Driver License offices, operating booths offering to assist in voter registration for persons doing business at the driver's license offices. But all citizens have already been presented an opportunity to register to vote as part of the process of renewing or being issued an identification card or driver's license, so there is no obvious need to assist citizens to register to vote outside DPS offices-calling into question the motives of the nonprofit groups." "The undercover operations have been conducted throughout major metropolitan areas of Texas and are ongoing." AG Paxton has also launched an investigation into the findings. I expect arrests, charges, and imprisonment.
 
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Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
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Yup.

They were in it to help Trump win, and now it is looking like they can't accomplish that if they stay.


"The question is, you know, is the risk of a Harris-Walz presidency worth us staying in?" she continued.
I think Stein has also gone on the record now saying the point of running is to make sure the Democrats lose.
 
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mitchell76

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Trump has had 6 court battles to fight during this election, while we have 9 and counting across the country. By bringing these suits against political opponents, the Democrats bankrupt the underpinnings of democracy. What the Democrats consider common course to win elections is the kind of "normalcy" that leads to famine, sickness, and civil war. The country is ready for an administration that represents unity.
 

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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RFK Junior is all over the place. I don't necessarily know if his supporters will support Trump endorsement or no endorsement.

His supporters down here that I know seem to be either conspiracists or protest voters. It's possible many of them don't vote at all or vote for another third party candidate.
It looks like he was drawing from a lot of disaffected voters who didn' t want a Biden/Trump rematch.
The change to Harris seems to have made most of the Democratic side of that group go back to the Dems.
All the recent polls show him more consistently hurting Trump.

Since he and his running mate seem to understand the problems with the FPTP system, they are bowing out since their priority of preventing a Democratic presidency is threatened more by them staying in.
 

K Douglas

Half Man Half Amazing
Jan 5, 2005
27,101
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Room 112
The Democrats believe, with all of their assets in the media, that they can shape the popularity of their candidates no matter what actual citizens think of them prior to an election campaign. I have never seen a more brazen demonstration of this belief than their selection of Harris - perhaps the only Democrat interested in the job with worse approval ratings than Biden!

Woe betide the American public if they are right. My own belief is that the media aren't quite that powerful and therefore Harris will fall short.
I agree. Her likeability factor is worse than Hillary's.
 
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Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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It doesn't really matter what the American voter in the middle thinks of price controls, price gouging whatever. Fair or unfair, these voters have a tendency to blame whoever is in the White House for inflation, unemployment, etc. We all saw employment numbers were revised down for April 2023-March 2024.
Exactly.
Most Americans do not understand this and just blame "The President" or rarely some other easy target.

The economy is okay, but the direction is pointing to a weaker scenario. I suspect weaker data now until the election. It will be interesting to see if Kamala can separate herself from the Biden Administration.
A crash in September or October would hit the Harris campaign very hard.
I am quite sure that is being worked on by Trump and Co, but who knows how effectively they can pull it off.

Nope, I wasn't exactly guessing. I did a couple searches. Some one-off govt. lawsuits for gas stations price gouging during a hurricanes and EpiPen. Nothing directed at an entire industry or category.
That's not what you were guessing about.
You were guessing it was "because they don't make sense" as opposed to them being written to deal with emergencies and not as generalized attacks on industries.

I'm all for evaluating overconsolidation in certain industries. When prices across all categories are significantly higher and were stable for many years before the printing press was turned loose, I don't think consolidation is the problem. What the U.S. has had is called systemic inflation.
Consolidation is a major problem. Anti-trust laws are under-enforced.
But anti-trust laws aren't price-gouging ones.
 

WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
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Twitterati silly talk. If RFK Jr. got momentum in early primary polling, other more prominent Democrats would have stepped into the race. RFK Jr. would merely been like Eugene McCarthy in 1968. McCarthy's strong showing in New Hampshire demonstrated that Lyndon Johnson was a vulnerable incumbent. Other Democrats stepped into the race.
(mandrill despises references to the past unless they are posted by Valcazar.)

So No, RFK Jr. had zero chance of being the Democratic nominee. RFK Jr. seems to want attention and endorsing Trump gets him the most attention.
 

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
32,196
59,163
113
Yes, make sure they have a vote plan.......your Democratic precinct captain strongly suggests this is how you should vote.
We can assist you with your absentee ballot. We can come by and pick up your ballot.

For decades, it was about registering voters and encouraging them to vote. The last several years the chain of custody has been weakened and even eliminated in some instances. Urban bosses of old would love working with voters on their "vote plan".

So it's just an opinion that "go register voters" followed by "make sure they have a vote plan' deliberately sounded too broad. Michelle Obama could have just said register voters and get them to the polls (or encourage them to vote).............but now we have a more relaxed voting process.

Your paranoia is your problem.
Have a vote plan is not new.

The idea that encouraging people to make a plan rather than just generically telling them to go vote improves voter turn out has been around for a while.
This is really boring and uncontroversial stuff.
 

mitchell76

Well-known member
Aug 10, 2010
20,664
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Twitterati silly talk. If RFK Jr. got momentum in early primary polling, other more prominent Democrats would have stepped into the race. RFK Jr. would merely been like Eugene McCarthy in 1968. McCarthy's strong showing in New Hampshire demonstrated that Lyndon Johnson was a vulnerable incumbent. Other Democrats stepped into the race.
(mandrill despises references to the past unless they are posted by Valcazar.)

So No, RFK Jr. had zero chance of being the Democratic nominee. RFK Jr. seems to want attention and endorsing Trump gets him the most attention.
Good point!! With that being said, hopefully RFK Jr. will endorse Trump!!
 

WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
6,948
1,796
113

BREAKING: Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has just CONFIRMED that noncitizens are getting registered to vote across the state. His undercover investigators caught various Democrat-linked NGOs giving voter registration forms to people at DMV locations "The investigation has already confirmed that various nonprofit organizations have been located outside Texas Department of Public Safety Driver License offices, operating booths offering to assist in voter registration for persons doing business at the driver's license offices. But all citizens have already been presented an opportunity to register to vote as part of the process of renewing or being issued an identification card or driver's license, so there is no obvious need to assist citizens to register to vote outside DPS offices-calling into question the motives of the nonprofit groups." "The undercover operations have been conducted throughout major metropolitan areas of Texas and are ongoing." AG Paxton has also launched an investigation into the findings. I expect arrests, charges, and imprisonment.
I guess that would be a Democratic "vote plan". Lol.
 
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WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
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Good point!! With that being said, hopefully RFK Jr. will endorse Trump!!
It's better than him endorsing Harris, but I don't see him having that much influence.
 

mitchell76

Well-known member
Aug 10, 2010
20,664
7,428
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Your paranoia is your problem.
Have a vote plan is not new.

The idea that encouraging people to make a plan rather than just generically telling them to go vote improves voter turn out has been around for a while.
This is really boring and uncontroversial stuff.
It wasn't uncontroversial in 2020, when Dems stuffed all sorts of ballots in mailboxes, and did all sorts of other voting shenanigans etc That's why the GOP are more clued in to the Dems dishonest voting fiascos for the 2024 election!!
 
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