PLXTO

Texas Covid cases going down after relaxing mask law coupled with multiple factors

shack

Nitpicker Extraordinaire
Oct 2, 2001
51,696
10,118
113
Toronto
Nobody knows that for sure, but based on the information we do have its logical to conclude surgical masks haven't made a difference, and illogical to assume they have made a difference.
It is totally ILLOGICAL to draw that, or any conclusion when, as you just mentioned, we do not know how much effect other factors may have had. That is exactly what I've been saying all along. Thanks for finally agreeing.
 

lenny2

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2012
3,572
730
113
New cases are still decreasing.

BTW the Texas Rangers are playing for an almost 3/4 full stadium every game at Globe Life Field (located in Dallas). Very few people are wearing masks. Their last game against Seattle they had 30,632 in attendance: https://www.mlb.com/gameday/mariner...nal,lock_state=final,game_tab=box,game=634182

The stadium holds around 40,000 people. So lets say they have a homestand of 6 games, thats just short of 200,000 fans sitting in the stadium most who are unmasked. And when those same fans are released into the city of Dallas, dont you think we would see massive spikes in Covid if going maskless was so dangerous?? Yet, we're not seeing it.

Conclusion: current masks people are wearing make no difference
Haven't you yet learned that being outdoors has been stated to be something like 20X safer than inside a poorly ventilated place indoors?

The fans at a game, therefore, may be much safer than being at home.

Which means that's a factor towards a decrease in total infections.

And don't forget the ever increasing vaccinations in Texas. That's another factor decreasing infections.
 

lenny2

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2012
3,572
730
113
Actually logic would tell you that when masks were made mandatory in Ontario and cases skyrocketed, and then mask laws were relaxed in Texas and new cases didnt go up (they kept going down), that those silly surgical masks most people wear makes ZERO difference in Covid transmission.

But you have to think logically and rationally though ;)
That's the myopic view of one with a head stuck in the sand. Not the little one.

It ignores all the other factors such as vaccinations, weather, testing numbers, etc.

You assume without evidence that 20% less people were wearing masks after the mandate was dropped, and make the ridiculous claim that a 20% decrease in mask usage should equal a 20% increase in infections.

If tomorrow people in Vancouver were allowed to go maskless in stores, then i might compensate for that increased danger by keeping a larger distance away from those who chose to enter unprotected, or go to the store when there are fewer, if any, people there. Many Texans may be doing the same thing since the mask mandate was lifted.

With recent news of new VOC in the USA & abroad, people in Texas who were not wearing masks during the mandate may be doing so since it was lifted.

The real situation with infections & their causes is far more complex than simple Dr Phil tries to make it.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Valcazar

Phil C. McNasty

Go Jays Go
Dec 27, 2010
27,052
5,163
113
It is totally ILLOGICAL to draw that, or any conclusion when, as you just mentioned, we do not know how much effect other factors may have had. That is exactly what I've been saying all along. Thanks for finally agreeing
Except I'm not agreeing with you.
Any logical person would conclude masks made no difference
 

Phil C. McNasty

Go Jays Go
Dec 27, 2010
27,052
5,163
113
The data clearly shows Texas was having fantastic decreases until the mask mandate ended
Here, you can all just look at the actual data if you want and argue from there.

As you can see, it even tracks the openings and closings.

As you can see when zoomed in, things have been pretty flat for the last month or so
Cases continue decline. Yesterday they went below 1,000

 
Last edited:

shack

Nitpicker Extraordinaire
Oct 2, 2001
51,696
10,118
113
Toronto
Did the title of this thread change? I don't recall the part at the end "coupled with multiple factors".
 

jcpro

Well-known member
Jan 31, 2014
24,670
6,839
113
"The other factor" is most likely the prevalence of Covid among the general population that was asymptomatic and was simply never detected. I've seen numbers as high as 100 million cases for the US alone. The natural immunity combined with the aggressive vaccination program are the most likely reasons for the case drop.
 
  • Like
Reactions: lenny2

shack

Nitpicker Extraordinaire
Oct 2, 2001
51,696
10,118
113
Toronto
A mod did that
So they changed what you have been trying to say all along? I sounds like they are saying that you cannot look at masks as a stand alone entity (as you have been doing) and one must consider other factors when discussing the rate of infection.

Are you going to give them one of your classic "You mad, bro?"😂.
 

Phil C. McNasty

Go Jays Go
Dec 27, 2010
27,052
5,163
113
So they changed what you have been trying to say all along? I sounds like they are saying that you cannot look at masks as a stand alone entity (as you have been doing) and one must consider other factors when discussing the rate of infection
I never said there werent other factors, I only said most masks people are currently wearing doesnt make any impact of infection rates whatsoever.

You mad, bro??
 

shack

Nitpicker Extraordinaire
Oct 2, 2001
51,696
10,118
113
Toronto
I never said there werent other factors, I only said most masks people are currently wearing doesnt make any impact of infection rates whatsoever.

You mad, bro??
So you admit that other factors come into play (and undeniably those factors fluctuate) and you have also admitted that you don't know HOW much they come into play, yet in some magical way you know exactly how masks have impacted the variable rates of infection.

Not only illogical but actually impossible.
 
  • Haha
Reactions: lenny2

lenny2

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2012
3,572
730
113
"The other factor" is most likely the prevalence of Covid among the general population that was asymptomatic and was simply never detected. I've seen numbers as high as 100 million cases for the US alone. The natural immunity combined with the aggressive vaccination program are the most likely reasons for the case drop.
The natural immunity in non vaccinated people who have recovered from covid19 is ever growing in Texas, so that's another factor keeping vulnerable Texans safer from being infected in addition to the ever growing numbers who have immunity via vaccines, correct. These factors have been working, more & more, in Texas to keep the numbers of infections etc down.
 
Last edited:

y2kmark

Class of 69...
May 19, 2002
19,047
5,429
113
Lewiston, NY
So down here the CDC has just said fully vaccinated folks don't need to wear masks anymore. Not much noticeable since all businesses I know about still requires them. Nothing says you CAN'T wear a mask, so I'm sticking with it for awhile. If it makes me look odd, it won't be the first time...
 

jcpro

Well-known member
Jan 31, 2014
24,670
6,839
113
The natural immunity in non vaccinated people who have recovered from covid19 is ever growing in Texas, so that's another factor keeping vulnerable Texas safer from being infection in addition to the ever growing numbers who have immunity via vaccines, correct. These factors have been working, more & more, in Texas to keep the numbers of infections etc down.
Not only in Texas. I haven't have as much as a runny nose since December of 2019 and my bout with the worst "flue" of my life. Judging by my symptoms, I'd say I had the early version of Covid. I have hobbied, I've been in crowds and people who were diagnosed with Covid- I've never had as much as a sniffle. I'm planning to get a shot after the lineups dissipate.
 

Phil C. McNasty

Go Jays Go
Dec 27, 2010
27,052
5,163
113
So you admit that other factors come into play (and undeniably those factors fluctuate) and you have also admitted that you don't know HOW much they come into play, yet in some magical way you know exactly how masks have impacted the variable rates of infection
Yup. I'm basing my opinion on the data that we have and offer it as the most likely conclusion
 

basketcase

Well-known member
Dec 29, 2005
61,724
6,780
113
Cases continue decline. Yesterday they went below 1,000

Look at the decline between Jan 14 and mid-March (when the mandate officially ended). While masks were mandatory, cases decreased by 79%.
That massive decrease was lost after the mandate ended and the slight decline since then seems to be consistent with vaccination rates than anything to do with masks.
 
Ashley Madison
Toronto Escorts