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Will COVID numbers rise???

spankingman

Well-known member
Dec 7, 2008
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With the 2 demonstrations yesterday in Toronto first with the anti maskers protest then later the Jewish-Palestinian demonstration I expect you will see a rise in the TO Covid numbers.
 

canada-man

Well-known member
Jun 16, 2007
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canadianmale.wordpress.com
at least 50% OF PCR results are false


Public Health Physician Dr. Yaffe Explains the No-Test Order for Ontario Teachers. She Admits to a 50% False-Positive Rate for COVID Tests.[/MEDIA]
 

y2kmark

Class of 69...
May 19, 2002
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Lewiston, NY
The number of vaccinated Torontonians is showing a steady (relatively) rise. Hopefully this blunts further outbreaks. Now if the anti maskers have an outbreak among themselves, seems like they are asking for one...
 

jcpro

Well-known member
Jan 31, 2014
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No. The numbers will continue to decline.
 
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NotADcotor

His most imperial galactic atheistic majesty.
Mar 8, 2017
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No. The numbers will continue to decline.
Hopefully the lockdown will end after we reach the vaccine tipping point where milder measures will result in numbers still going down.

Local active cases are only 30% of what they were at the recent peak and if they go down further and stay down, I'll probably feel safe bringing my one dose bataks back to das gym. I miss making fun of Hitler. What a girlyman.

 

glamphotographer

Well-known member
Nov 5, 2011
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With the 2 demonstrations yesterday in Toronto first with the anti maskers protest then later the Jewish-Palestinian demonstration I expect you will see a rise in the TO Covid numbers.
Ford may be forced to extend another 2 weeks after June 2. The protests on the weekend didn't help. At least the Palestinian protests many were seen wearing masks. The anti-lockdown protest just blatant regard for safety.
 

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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With the 2 demonstrations yesterday in Toronto first with the anti maskers protest then later the Jewish-Palestinian demonstration I expect you will see a rise in the TO Covid numbers.
Weren't both of those outside?
Wouldn't be likely to have much transmission.

at least 50% OF PCR results are false
That's not what she said.
I'd explain sensitivity and specificity to you, but I don't think you're interested.
 

TeeJay

Well-known member
Jun 20, 2011
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Weren't both of those outside?
Wouldn't be likely to have much transmission.
We get 30 to 40 year olds out protesting; none of whom ever ends up with covid
We get 70 to 80 year olds catching covid and requiring hospitalization

It amazes me the disconnect from reality some of those posters seem to have
Esp when stats for daily deaths and hospitalizations are readily accessible

eg past 2 weeks while the huge protests been happening:

Deaths 19 and under - 1
20-39 - 11
40-59 - 72
60-79 - 181 (0.1% increase over pandemic norms)
80+ 141 (0.1% decrease over pandemic norms)

Funny how all the 60+ seniors still make up vast majority of deaths despite claims of 85 to 90% vaccination rates and vaccine "protection"



Heck if we even extrapolate back to Jan 1st 2021 (before vaccinations were widespread) there is virtually NO DIFFERENCE

Jan 1 vs May 15 Summary of Deaths
39 and under < 0.1% (I just lumped them together since total is too small to matter)
40 - 59 0.3% (no change, but then again most of these are not vaccinated today)
60 - 79 3.8% (decrease of 0.7%)
80+ 22.1% (decrease of 1.0%)

That is it; after vaccinating population the percentage who dies has decreased by less than 2% historically

 
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Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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eg past 2 weeks while the huge protests been happening:

Deaths 19 and under - 1
20-39 - 11
40-59 - 72
60-79 - 181 (0.1% increase over pandemic norms)
80+ 141 (0.1% decrease over pandemic norms)
But you wouldn't expect any deaths from the protests during the weeks of the protests.

Heck if we even extrapolate back to Jan 1st 2021 (before vaccinations were widespread) there is virtually NO DIFFERENCE

Jan 1 vs May 15 Summary of Deaths
39 and under < 0.1% (I just lumped them together since total is too small to matter)
40 - 59 0.3% (no change, but then again most of these are not vaccinated today)
60 - 79 3.8% (decrease of 0.7%)
80+ 22.1% (decrease of 1.0%)

That is it; after vaccinating population the percentage who dies has decreased by less than 2% historically
You can't just link to three 20-30 page pdfs like that.
At the very least give the table number you are drawing these from.

I'm guessing your calculating your first table from Table 4 in both of those pdfs. (That seems valid.)
Not sure where you're getting your "pandemic norms" though.

As for the second, you seem to be again using Table 4, which is comparing the cumulative deaths. Of course the numbers haven't changed much, how could they?
That 1% change is really quite dramatic for so short a time. That's an impressive shift.
 
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fictionfactor

Active member
Feb 18, 2013
262
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We get 30 to 40 year olds out protesting; none of whom ever ends up with covid
We get 70 to 80 year olds catching covid and requiring hospitalization

It amazes me the disconnect from reality some of those posters seem to have
Esp when stats for daily deaths and hospitalizations are readily accessible

eg past 2 weeks while the huge protests been happening:

Deaths 19 and under - 1
20-39 - 11
40-59 - 72
60-79 - 181 (0.1% increase over pandemic norms)
80+ 141 (0.1% decrease over pandemic norms)

Funny how all the 60+ seniors still make up vast majority of deaths despite claims of 85 to 90% vaccination rates and vaccine "protection"



Heck if we even extrapolate back to Jan 1st 2021 (before vaccinations were widespread) there is virtually NO DIFFERENCE

Jan 1 vs May 15 Summary of Deaths
39 and under < 0.1% (I just lumped them together since total is too small to matter)
40 - 59 0.3% (no change, but then again most of these are not vaccinated today)
60 - 79 3.8% (decrease of 0.7%)
80+ 22.1% (decrease of 1.0%)

That is it; after vaccinating population the percentage who dies has decreased by less than 2% historically

thats what i am thinking, you dont need to vaccine alot to bring down the cases, Ontario has vaccinated almost half the population yet cases remain very high, PS who are all those people getting tested everyday
 
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squeezer

Well-known member
Jan 8, 2010
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But you wouldn't expect any deaths from the protests during the weeks of the protests.



You can't just link to three 20-30 page pdfs like that.
At the very least give the table number you are drawing these from.

I'm guessing your calculating your first table from Table 4 in both of those pdfs. (That seems valid.)
Not sure where you're getting your "pandemic norms" though.

As for the second, you seem to be again using Table 4, which is comparing the cumulative deaths. Of course the numbers haven't changed much, how could they?
That 1% change is really quite dramatic for so short a time. That's an impressive shift.
Your patience to educate the dense is admirable. When you want to borrow the brick to throw at the wall let me know. ;)
 
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doggyorcg

Well-known member
Nov 29, 2020
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at least 50% OF PCR results are false


Public Health Physician Dr. Yaffe Explains the No-Test Order for Ontario Teachers. She Admits to a 50% False-Positive Rate for COVID Tests.[/MEDIA]
Since she said that testing complicates the picture, it follows that no testing has the potential to simply the picture?? 🤯

Also think the Ford Administration doesn’t want to go to war with the teachers union. Now that will be interesting!
 

Male4Strapon

Well-known member
Mar 16, 2021
1,477
1,655
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We get 30 to 40 year olds out protesting; none of whom ever ends up with covid
We get 70 to 80 year olds catching covid and requiring hospitalization

It amazes me the disconnect from reality some of those posters seem to have
Esp when stats for daily deaths and hospitalizations are readily accessible

eg past 2 weeks while the huge protests been happening:

Deaths 19 and under - 1
20-39 - 11
40-59 - 72
60-79 - 181 (0.1% increase over pandemic norms)
80+ 141 (0.1% decrease over pandemic norms)

Funny how all the 60+ seniors still make up vast majority of deaths despite claims of 85 to 90% vaccination rates and vaccine "protection"



Heck if we even extrapolate back to Jan 1st 2021 (before vaccinations were widespread) there is virtually NO DIFFERENCE

Jan 1 vs May 15 Summary of Deaths
39 and under < 0.1% (I just lumped them together since total is too small to matter)
40 - 59 0.3% (no change, but then again most of these are not vaccinated today)
60 - 79 3.8% (decrease of 0.7%)
80+ 22.1% (decrease of 1.0%)

That is it; after vaccinating population the percentage who dies has decreased by less than 2% historically

You're missing the biggest point. It's not the number of deaths that are the biggest concern.... it's the danger of overwhelming the healthcare system! Younger people may be surviving covid infection but many are still needing critical medical attention. Pointing solely to number of deaths is not seeing the forest for the trees and a common distraction technique for anti vaxxers. Your stats are nothing but confirmation bias for you and dangerous misinformation for those who don't know better.
 
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TeeJay

Well-known member
Jun 20, 2011
8,052
731
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west gta
You're missing the biggest point. It's not the number of deaths that are the biggest concern.... it's the danger of overwhelming the healthcare system! Younger people may be surviving covid infection but many are still needing critical medical attention. Pointing solely to number of deaths is not seeing the forest for the trees and a common distraction technique for anti vaxxers. Your stats are nothing but confirmation bias for you and dangerous misinformation for those who don't know better.
No I would argue deaths are far more important

The ICUs are nowhere near capacity (800ish out of 3100)
Plus they have (at least) 3 unused field hospitals should a real spike occur
 

TeeJay

Well-known member
Jun 20, 2011
8,052
731
113
west gta
thats what i am thinking, you dont need to vaccine alot to bring down the cases, Ontario has vaccinated almost half the population yet cases remain very high, PS who are all those people getting tested everyday
I only know a single person who had a test (work related)
Yeah its kinda odd how many tests they are claiming they are doing DURING a stay home order
And rem all essential workers are exempt from tests and quarantines while crossing borders etc
 
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Male4Strapon

Well-known member
Mar 16, 2021
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No I would argue deaths are far more important

The ICUs are nowhere near capacity (800ish out of 3100)
Plus they have (at least) 3 unused field hospitals should a real spike occur
I don't know the numbers but I will take your word for it.
But that just proves my point.... vaccines, masking and (sadly) lockdowns are achieving their primary goal, preventing overwhelmed hospitals.
 

shack

Nitpicker Extraordinaire
Oct 2, 2001
47,757
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Toronto
No I would argue deaths are far more important
More cases=more deaths
More cases=more hospitalizations
More cases=more possibility of transmissions
More cases=more variants
More cases=overworked health care system
More cases=more people with long term effects
More cases=more time in lockdown
More cases=more mask wearing
More cases=more social distancing
More cases=more front line workers put at risk

More deaths result in none of those things happening.
More deaths=more deaths, which is tragic but does not generate as much domino effect as more cases

By the way, you presented no argument at all to further your (misguided) point.
 
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glamphotographer

Well-known member
Nov 5, 2011
16,091
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Canada
Protestors are getting covid and they are spreading it within the community, don't kid yourself. Won't be long before all the covididiots are killed off.
 
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