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TRUMP WINS

The Oracle

Pronouns: Who/Cares
Mar 8, 2004
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On the slopes of Mount Parnassus, Greece
The US is about to enter a three-ring circus and Canada is in trouble going forward with the US.

We are in a new place': Bernstein reacts to Hegseth's comments about women in combat roles

She's been in few ''school fights''..So she's as qualified as Hegseth to be Defense Secretary, lol... Did I hear that right?

The garbage you put up....
 

Shaquille Oatmeal

Well-known member
Jun 2, 2023
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HAHAHAHA, Trump chooses a Fox religious freak for Secretary of Defense.. WTF, the US is in trouble. HOLY SIT
Trump's only criteria to qualify for these posts is that the people he appoints to these posts are loyal to him.
Therefore you will see that anyone he appoints to these posts will generally either be dumb or cruel.
It is those kind of people that will ally themselves with someone like Trump.
 

Leimonis

Well-known member
Feb 28, 2020
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As soon as I hear “Sky Daddy” I expect it, that’s all. Plus I think it’s prob common in this particular demographic of men on this forum, age wise and interest wise. And it’s not exactly Christian Mingle LMAO
men on this forum probably (and hopefully!) scream "Oh God!" more often than those on Christian mingle
 

WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
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My premise is this, and it is shared by many Asians who grew up here in Canada and the US.

The US raised interest rates to screw over China along with the rest of the world. The playbook for the US is as follows. Raise their interest rates, foreign money will flow into the US because its better investment. The exchange rate will be bad for businesses in China because it means they required to pay more local currency for the same amount of USD.

What this will result is that the local business can't keep up their operations, and will go bankrupt. When that happens, Wall Street will buy up those businesses, and properties, and land. Because now they will be paying less USD to get the same local currency.

Wall Street will buy up business in China. Then US will decrease their interest rate make exchange rate more favourable. And allow China business to recover. When that happens, their purchase of those China businesses will soar in value, and they will sell it back out for profit. Or they will keep owning them and milk the dividends. They did this in 2008 to help with Leiman bro bankruptcy. They tried to do this in 1998 or 1999 HK stock market, altho that was more Soros.

And they tried to tank China economy again in 2019 by inciting HK riot. And once again, in 2020 when covid hit. However, China has been able to defend against this playbook. By buying US money and debts. So when US increased their interest rate China used their stash of USD instead of going through exchange rate. So this just became a matter of who can last longer, US tanking their own economy by increasing the interest rate or China running out of USD first.

But this recent set of events has already resulted in a lot of German businesses going bankrupt as a bonus. The main target is China because the US cannot influence their economy unlike everyone else’s. They want stuff like china's high speed rail, seaports to go bankrupt. But China dumped massive amount of money to ensure that won't happen. German government on the otherhand, isn't going to bail out their own shit. This is what they did to Japan when Japan was second in GDP and threatening to get close to US GDP maybe like 20 years ago?

Even all the foreign interferenc rhetoric by Canada is driven primarily from a US centric POV. China doesn't care enough about Canada to interfere with its election. There are Chinese spies here, sure, but have enough influence to impact election? China is far from that. China is more like... work with me and I guarantee you will make money. That's how Russia isn't tanking after all the sanctions. Their supermarkets are now filled with Chinese products.

Bottom line. China isn't putting all their eggs into one basket that the US can easily influence. This theory will not be seen anywhere in western media, but then again China is very much a mystery to those who have never travelled there before.

The US absolutely views China as an economic threat.

EDIT: 3 factors make the US the worlds number 1 superpower: USD, US military, and US media. So, yes, absolutely economic threat, but moreover, it's the fact that all 3 of US weapons are not working in China. They can't bankrupt China the way they did to Japan. China will never buy US weapons. And China blocks us media basically. That's why Biden has more than once said, China is the greatest enemy that US has faced because China is taking on US on all fronts. US has zero influence on China relatively speaking. And worst of all, more and more Chinese are no longer buying into that US democracy is the best system on world, unlike what the Soviet union did.
It sounds like this is personal for you. Perhaps you also have a personal interest in a business in China.

While U.S. monetary policy has an impact on the global economy, it's rather straightforward and predictable what the U.S. Fed is doing. You and some of our members are probably aware of real interest rates (the nominal interest rates minus the inflation rate). Real interest rates in the U.S. were negative or negligible during 2020-2022. Real negative interest rates at a time of high inflation is unsustainable. It wasn't just a policy choice to raise rates, it was a necessity.

I could go on about global finance mechanisms, but the basic framework of the point is that inflation always leads to higher U.S. interest rates. Global economic activity generally performs better when U.S. rates are low, however the Fed must stabilize prices and manage the domestic economy first.

Incidentally, foreign direct investment in China has fallen in recent years. There doesn't appear to be a U.S. and Western move to buy Chinese assets. And by the way, China stills controls capital flows in and out of China. The Wall Street scenario you painted is not realistic given China's regulatory parameters.
 
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WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
7,232
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Trump's only criteria to qualify for these posts is that the people he appoints to these posts are loyal to him.
Therefore you will see that anyone he appoints to these posts will generally either be dumb or cruel.
It is those kind of people that will ally themselves with someone like Trump.
I think what Trump learned in his first term is that the Washington bureaucracy runs itself and answers to no one. So it's not a revelation to say that reform has to come from the outside. When corporate leaders reform a large organization, they often come from the outside and bring with them loyal lieutenants. Otherwise, the bureaucracy will eat you alive.

We'll see what the Trump Administration can do.
 

drewstar

Well-known member
Dec 22, 2009
673
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It sounds like this is personal for you. Perhaps you also have a personal interest in a business in China.

While U.S. monetary policy has an impact on the global economy, it's rather straightforward and predictable what the U.S. Fed is doing. You and some of our members are probably aware of real interest rates (the nominal interest rates minus the inflation rate). Real interest rates in the U.S. were negative or negligible during 2020-2022. Real negative interest rates at a time of high inflation is unsustainable. It wasn't just a policy choice to raise rates, it was a necessity.

I could go on about global finance mechanisms, but the basic framework of the point is that inflation always leads to higher U.S. interest rates. While global economic activity generally performs better when U.S. rates are low, the Fed must manage the domestic economy first.

Incidentally, foreign direct investment in China has fallen in recent years. There doesn't appear to be a U.S. and Western move to buy Chinese assets. And by the way, China stills controls capital flows in and out of China. The Wall Street scenario you painted is not realistic given China's regulatory parameters.
Its not personal as I hold a Canadian passport and no assets in China, but I didnt expect anyone here to adopt this POV. Cheers.
 
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kittykellykat

Kelly @ Secret Escorts
Jun 15, 2023
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Its not personal as I hold a Canadian passport and no assets in China, but I didnt expect anyone here to adopt this POV. Cheers.
didn’t seem personal to me, just seemed like you were providing a bit of a paradigm reframing, but ya, those never feel welcome lmao.

also reminds me of some stuff I read about geopolitical multipolarity (not so mainstream either, it was some stuff from Dugin’s tg channel lol)
 
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JohnLarue

Well-known member
Jan 19, 2005
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Trump's only criteria to qualify for these posts is that the people he appoints to these posts are loyal to him.
Therefore you will see that anyone he appoints to these posts will generally either be dumb or cruel.
It is those kind of people that will ally themselves with someone like Trump.

he will demand and expect loyalty , hardly a unique criteria for any leader

your statement that anyone he appoints to these posts will generally either be dumb or cruel is disingenuous, foolish and reeks of sour grapes

especially considering the blithering fool the democrats had as their candidate
As mentioned before US politicians trade campaign denotations and favors like baseball cards
inherently this system leads to questionable appointments independent of repub / democrat

he will owe favors, although he will view these as rewards
likely there are people who helped him carry what were suppose to be battle ground states who will be looking for an appointment


a rough around the edges , no-nonsense department head might not be a lot of fun to work for but will deliver on his / her assigned objectives vs a bumbling fool activist who puts his personal agenda ahead of the electorates interest - Steven Guilbeault

do you not recall Justin choosing his cabinet using boy / girl/ boy / girl/ boy / girl.........
the results speak for themselves

decisive / firm / competent (what you described as cruel) likely will better than appointments based on silly assed woke / quota based appointments

1731532259348.png
 
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Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
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As soon as I hear “Sky Daddy” I expect it, that’s all. Plus I think it’s prob common in this particular demographic of men on this forum, age wise and interest wise. And it’s not exactly Christian Mingle LMAO

sorry 4 assuming

(was reasonable to tho)
There are a lot of preconceptions on this board, true. Everyone has them, its hard to function without them.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
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Whether you are right wing or left wing, this is very true.
It is extremely entertaining!
It will be even more so when the media goes nuts after Trump takes office. lol.
I think team MAGA is excited for revenge but has conveniently forgotten the daily scandals in incompetence.
Somehow they think the second time the orange guy makes america great again it will really take.

How perfect that the adjudicated rapist and convicted felon appointed a sex offender as AG.


 

WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
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didn’t seem personal to me, just seemed like you were providing a bit of a paradigm reframing, but ya, those never feel welcome lmao.

also reminds me of some stuff I read about geopolitical multipolarity (not so mainstream either, it was some stuff from Dugin’s tg channel lol)
There might be something there, but it was kind of a jingoistic tale of China rising again and vanquishing Western domination. I no doubt that China is a great economic power and will continue to be. The whole Fed interest rate's policy forcing Chinese businesses to sell cheap to Wall Street is pure and somewhat scary fiction.

The Chinese economy is hitting its first major bump in the road since it began liberalizing business activity. If you cite on social media the predictable economic patterns that all economies go through on social media, you will be meet a chorus of "China has a different economic model that does not follow Western economic theory". The funny thing is its just economic theory. There's no such thing as Western economy theory. Certain things happen when you overinvest into the productive side of your economy and then continue to lean on it as the growth model longer after the investment has reached diminished returns. The Soviets ran into it. Brazil ran into it. Japan ran into it. It's always going to be different this time.
 
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