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The 2024 US Presidential election

Butler1000

Well-known member
Oct 31, 2011
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She carried a devoted Republican piece of the base. Many were McCain supporters and stood behind Haley during the primaries. They can make a difference in a swing state.


Key Swing States Could be Affected

The focus group’s findings suggest that Haley’s former supporters in swing states could play a crucial role in the election. With a mix of decisions among them—some leaning toward Trump, others Harris, and a few opting for third-party candidates—the GOP and Democrats may find that swaying undecided voters in the final days of the campaign could tip the balance.

Read more at:
https://economictimes.indiatimes.co...ofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
Which is built into the polls. They would feel that way about pretty much any GOP wanna be other than Trump.
 
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oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
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Ghawar
Harrison Ford has one thing in common with Harris. He is a climate
hypocrite like most liberals Harris belong to.



Harrison Ford Endorses Harris: ‘We Need a President Who Works for Us All’


 

princekwekua

Well-known member
Oct 26, 2021
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Ann Selzer has called every presidential and senate race correctly in Iowa since 2008.
Now MAGA is crying foul because her last pre-election poll shows Harris up by 3.
But what the poll shows is women and independents are pissed at Trump and breaking heavily for Harris.
The backlash from women and independents at the toxicity of Donald Trump will sweep Kamala Harris directly into the White House on Tuesday.
He should have called Nikki Haley for advice instead of the sycophants who kiss his ass all the time.
 

Butler1000

Well-known member
Oct 31, 2011
31,343
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That's scare quotes.

The term is older than both of us.

So is this you raising skepticism about these specific right wing polls or the concept of "weighting" at all?
I think the take right now that the pollsters are weighing things to either, what the payer wants to hear, or, I'm going to keep things within the margin of error so I can't be called wrong and keep getting paid, are pretty bang on.

Nate Silver recently called them all out.

And I think I prefer Sneer quotes. Feel free to use that.
 
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squeezer

Well-known member
Jan 8, 2010
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Suggesting someone shoot the "fake news reporters"

He has lost his mind.

Trump Does UNTHINKABLE ACT **AGAIN** at Closing Speech

He doubles down that people "do not leave his debates early".....yup, dementia is setting in.
 
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Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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I think the take right now that the pollsters are weighing things to either, what the payer wants to hear, or, I'm going to keep things within the margin of error so I can't be called wrong and keep getting paid, are pretty bang on.

Nate Silver recently called them all out.

And I think I prefer Sneer quotes. Feel free to use that.
I often call them "sarc quotes" as well, because that's often how I use them.

So you aren't against weighting, you just think the current crop of polls are specifically weighting to get answers their clients want to hear and not weighting to try and get better results.
Fair enough.
 
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