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The 2024 US Presidential election

Jubee

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May 29, 2016
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Ontario
The main show is the election, the sideshow is everyone arguing about which actor they like better and why, this all a reality show at this point.
 
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The Oracle

Pronouns: Who/Cares
Mar 8, 2004
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On the slopes of Mount Parnassus, Greece

Butler1000

Well-known member
Oct 31, 2011
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Dont sweat it. Kamala Harris will be next president of the United States.

Latest Marist polls (end of October) show Harris ahead by 3 points in Michigan, and 2 points in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Thats all she needs. The Puerto Rico garbage comment and refusal by Trump to explicitly condemn it is hurting Trump badly.

Now among those who have already cast their ballots, 55% are women and 45% are men. With women favouring Harris by 15 points, the outcome is clear. Several Trump surrogates are admitting its over if the trend holds.

Kamala Harris. 47th President of the United States. Case closed.
Every poll is "weighted" now. Which simply means the poll makers adds a bias to the analysis as a guess to what's missing.

Seriously. That's what they do. And every number you posted is well within the margin of error.

As I keep saying. No one knows. And there is absolutely no way to predict what 50 000 voters in a swing state are going to do election day. That is the probable vote swing.

So sit back, relax, 4 days left.
 

princekwekua

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Oct 26, 2021
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Every poll is "weighted" now. Which simply means the poll makers adds a bias to the analysis as a guess to what's missing.

Seriously. That's what they do. And every number you posted is well within the margin of error.

As I keep saying. No one knows. And there is absolutely no way to predict what 50 000 voters in a swing state are going to do election day. That is the probable vote swing.

So sit back, relax, 4 days left.
You are right that no ones knows for sure. The polls were wrong in 2016, after all. But there are trends dictated by events.

Kamala Harris conducted unconvincing interviews on CNN & 60 minutes and the trend swayed in Trump's direction. Which prompted another unconvincing interview on Fox. She would not have done that interview if she had the trend.

Then came MSG. It was not only the Puerto Rico joke which was in poor taste, Kamala Harris was called a prostitute, devil, antichrist, a cunt, etc. Trump called it a lovefest. But Nikki Haley called it defeatist strategy. Independents and women were appalled and the trend shifted in favour of Harris. And it continues with Trump saying he will protect women whether they like it or not, and the latest threat against Liz Cheney. The Marist poll showed independents breaking for Harris by 6 points in MI and WI and by a whopping 15 in PA.

And the data show women have voted in significant numbers, which favours Harris and causing alarm among Republicans.
 
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Bucktee

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2024
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And the data show women have voted in significant numbers, which favours Harris and causing alarm among Republicans.

It is true that if the electorate was only women, there'd never be a Republican president. Likewise, if the electorate was only men, there'd never be a Democrat president.
 

Butler1000

Well-known member
Oct 31, 2011
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You are right that no ones knows for sure. The polls were wrong in 2016, after all. But there are trends dictated by events.

Kamala Harris conducted unconvincing interviews on CNN & 60 minutes and the trend swayed in Trump's direction. Which prompted another unconvincing interview on Fox. She would not have done that interview if she had the trend.

Then came MSG. It was not only the Puerto Rico joke which was in poor taste, Kamala Harris was called a prostitute, devil, antichrist, a cunt, etc. Trump called it a lovefest. But Nikki Haley called it defeatist strategy. Independents and women were appalled and the trend shifted in favour of Harris. And it continues with Trump saying he will protect women whether they like it or not, and the latest threat against Liz Cheney. The Marist poll showed independents breaking for Harris by 6 points in MI and WI and by a whopping 15 in PA.

And the data show women have voted in significant numbers, which favours Harris and causing alarm among Republicans.
I really don't believe any swing voter gives a rat's ass about Haley or Cheney. It's why they are no longer elected officials.

But again we shall see.
 
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squeezer

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Jan 8, 2010
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I really don't believe any swing voter gives a rat's ass about Haley or Cheney. It's why they are no longer elected officials.

But again we shall see.
I disagree on Haley, perhaps you are correct about Cheney as many Dems dislike him as well as many Repugs but Haley has her following of more moderate repugs who dislike Trump.
 

squeezer

Well-known member
Jan 8, 2010
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Me thinks James Dean has lost his mind, he's attacking for no reason.

Old Woman from Blazing Saddles says, "have you ever seen such sexiness".

It's because I bumped into what looked like a banana peel in his head. Living in his head is no small feat. Jen moved out but left all her jars of Mayo in here dammit.
 

Phil C. McNasty

Go Jays Go
Dec 27, 2010
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Not at all. This is the closing stages of an election and this is the image he portrays. And wearing this garbage suit while saying he is going to protect women whether they like it or not. And in another clip saying Liz Cheney should see what it feels like while facing machine guns with bullets aimed at her face.

Then when he loses with these moronic actions, he will claim there was fraud as he is already claiming in PA, something vehemently refuted by the Republican Secretary of State
So I just watched the video and he misgrabbed the door handle
Seriously, this is all you Lefties got??!! 😂

 

squeezer

Well-known member
Jan 8, 2010
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So I just watched the video and he misgrabbed the door handle
Seriously, this is all you Lefties got??!! 😂

Had that been Biden you would have been all over it but now, your cult hero shows his age and how clumsy he is and you jump to his defense. How sweet! LMFAO
 
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squeezer

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Jan 8, 2010
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HAHAHAHA, Trump gives a Mic BBBJ on stage. LMFAO.......what an imbecile but he is entertaining and following the right-wing mantra, seeth over trannies but deep down most maga lovers just want to suck some dick. HAHAHAHAHAHA

Go to the 3.55 mark to watch Trump suck it!!! HAHAHAHAHAHA, you just can't make this shit up.

 

mitchell76

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Aug 10, 2010
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Bill Maher Shocks Liberals and Calls the Media’s Dishonest ‘Firing Squad’ Headline a HOAX “I don’t like Donald Trump. Don’t lie to me [media] and tell me he wants her [Liz Cheney] in front of a firing squad.” “He’s criticizing her for being a war hawk. I mean, she is Dick Cheney’s daughter. He said, ‘She’s a radical war hawk. Let’s put her with a rifle, standing there with nine barrels shooting at her. Okay? Let’s see how she feels about it.’” “He was saying something that, by the way... sounds like what hippies used to say about not sending people to die.”
 

Phil C. McNasty

Go Jays Go
Dec 27, 2010
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HAHAHAHA, Trump gives a Mic BBBJ on stage. LMFAO.......what an imbecile but he is entertaining and following the right-wing mantra, seeth over trannies but deep down most maga lovers just want to suck some dick. HAHAHAHAHAHA

Go to the 3.55 mark to watch Trump suck it!!! HAHAHAHAHAHA, you just can't make this shit up.

LOL ....... that would make me vote for him even more
 
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