Fossil Fuels represent 81.5% of the planets energy consumption , down from 83% several decades ago and after hundreds of billions of dollars were directed at the green energy unicorn.
Hence the reality denial.
This is reality:
restricting fossil fuel use will kill millions and push hundreds of millions into abject poverty.
Estimating the percentage of Europe's economy reliant on timber and its transition to alternative fuels across centuries requires some inference from historical records. Here's a century-by-century breakdown, focusing on how timber's economic role evolved relative to total economic activity:
14th Century (1300s): Dominance of Timber
- Economic Share of Timber: ~60–70%
Timber was indispensable for domestic heating, cooking, and construction. Forests were abundant, and wood served as the primary energy source for almost all industries and households. Agriculture dominated the economy, and timber was integral to farming tools and infrastructure.
15th Century (1400s): Beginning of Constraints
- Economic Share of Timber: ~50–60%
Timber remained critical, but population recovery after the Black Death led to localized resource pressure. The early stages of urbanization and proto-industrialization (e.g., textile mills) began to diversify economic reliance on resources.
16th Century (1500s): Growing Scarcity
- Economic Share of Timber: ~40–50%
Rising demand for timber caused prices to surge. Deforestation in heavily populated areas like England, France, and the Low Countries marked a tipping point. Peat and coal began to supplement timber for fuel, especially in urban centers.
17th Century (1600s): Transition Begins
- Economic Share of Timber: ~20–30%
The shift toward coal as a substitute for wood became significant in countries like England, particularly for heating and industrial processes. London's reliance on coal for energy increased rapidly, signaling the broader transition.
18th Century (1700s): The Age of Coal
- Economic Share of Timber: ~10–15%
Coal overtook timber as the primary fuel source. In England, coal fueled the burgeoning Industrial Revolution, with innovations like coke-based iron smelting. Timber's role was relegated to construction and specialized industries like shipbuilding.
19th Century (1800s): Industrial Dominance
- Economic Share of Timber: ~5–10%
The rise of coal, steam power, and later oil drastically reduced timber's economic role. Timber remained essential for construction and as raw material in industries like paper, but its contribution to energy had diminished to negligible levels.
20th Century (1900s): Negligible Economic Role
- Economic Share of Timber: ~1–5%
Timber was no longer significant as a fuel source, with oil, natural gas, and electricity dominating. It continued to play a minor role in construction, furniture, and pulp industries.
21st Century (2000s): Specialty Material
- Economic Share of Timber: ~1–3%
Timber remains vital for sustainable construction, paper products, and as a renewable resource, but its role in the energy sector is limited to niche applications like biomass energy.
Summary Table: Timber's Economic Role Over Time
Century | Economic Share of Timber |
---|
14th | 60–70% |
15th | 50–60% |
16th | 40–50% |
17th | 20–30% |
18th | 10–15% |
19th | 5–10% |
20th | 1–5% |
21st | 1–3% |
This progression illustrates how technological advancements and resource scarcity reshaped Europe's economy, reducing its dependence on timber and driving the transition to more efficient energy sources.
Estimating the percentage of Europe's economy reliant on timber and its transition to alternative fuels across centuries requires some inference from historical records. Here's a century-by-century breakdown, focusing on how timber's economic role evolved relative to total economic activity:
14th Century (1300s): Dominance of Timber
- Economic Share of Timber: ~60–70%
Timber was indispensable for domestic heating, cooking, and construction. Forests were abundant, and wood served as the primary energy source for almost all industries and households. Agriculture dominated the economy, and timber was integral to farming tools and infrastructure.
15th Century (1400s): Beginning of Constraints
- Economic Share of Timber: ~50–60%
Timber remained critical, but population recovery after the Black Death led to localized resource pressure. The early stages of urbanization and proto-industrialization (e.g., textile mills) began to diversify economic reliance on resources.
16th Century (1500s): Growing Scarcity
- Economic Share of Timber: ~40–50%
Rising demand for timber caused prices to surge. Deforestation in heavily populated areas like England, France, and the Low Countries marked a tipping point. Peat and coal began to supplement timber for fuel, especially in urban centers.
17th Century (1600s): Transition Begins
- Economic Share of Timber: ~20–30%
The shift toward coal as a substitute for wood became significant in countries like England, particularly for heating and industrial processes. London's reliance on coal for energy increased rapidly, signaling the broader transition.
18th Century (1700s): The Age of Coal
- Economic Share of Timber: ~10–15%
Coal overtook timber as the primary fuel source. In England, coal fueled the burgeoning Industrial Revolution, with innovations like coke-based iron smelting. Timber's role was relegated to construction and specialized industries like shipbuilding.
19th Century (1800s): Industrial Dominance
- Economic Share of Timber: ~5–10%
The rise of coal, steam power, and later oil drastically reduced timber's economic role. Timber remained essential for construction and as raw material in industries like paper, but its contribution to energy had diminished to negligible levels.
20th Century (1900s): Negligible Economic Role
- Economic Share of Timber: ~1–5%
Timber was no longer significant as a fuel source, with oil, natural gas, and electricity dominating. It continued to play a minor role in construction, furniture, and pulp industries.
21st Century (2000s): Specialty Material
- Economic Share of Timber: ~1–3%
Timber remains vital for sustainable construction, paper products, and as a renewable resource, but its role in the energy sector is limited to niche applications like biomass energy.
Summary Table: Timber's Economic Role Over Time
Century | Economic Share of Timber |
---|
14th | 60–70% |
15th | 50–60% |
16th | 40–50% |
17th | 20–30% |
18th | 10–15% |
19th | 5–10% |
20th | 1–5% |
21st | 1–3% |
This progression illustrates how technological advancements and resource scarcity reshaped Europe's economy, reducing its dependence on timber and driving the transition to more efficient energy sources.
Here’s a table listing the various
costs of the timber shortage across different aspects of society and the economy:
Category | Impact/Cost of Timber Shortage | Example/Details |
---|
Rising Fuel Costs | Increased prices for firewood and charcoal, disproportionately affecting the poor. | Firewood prices in England rose by 70% between 1550 and 1600. |
Industrial Decline | Higher costs and reduced availability of fuel for industries reliant on charcoal (e.g., metallurgy, brewing). | English iron production faced shortages before the shift to coke in the 17th century. |
Deforestation Relocation | Industries had to move closer to remaining forests, increasing transportation costs. | Glassmaking and smelting operations moved, raising overhead costs and reducing efficiency. |
Energy Poverty | Limited access to affordable fuel forced rural and urban households to adopt inefficient substitutes like peat or dung. | Rural communities experienced "fuel famines," reducing quality of life and productivity. |
Loss of Biodiversity | Deforestation degraded ecosystems, reducing agricultural productivity and timber availability. | Overexploitation of forests in France and Germany caused soil erosion and habitat destruction. |
Military Setbacks | Scarcity of timber for shipbuilding reduced naval capabilities for maritime powers. | England and the Netherlands struggled to maintain fleets in the late 16th century. |
Urban Energy Transition | Transition to coal required infrastructure changes, raising initial costs for urban centers reliant on traditional wood. | London saw early adoption of coal but needed new logistics and supply chains to accommodate the shift. |
Cultural Impact | Decline in access to wood for artisans and craftsmen, impacting traditional trades. | Furniture and instrument makers faced material shortages, driving up costs and limiting production. |
Agricultural Decline | Loss of forests led to soil degradation, reducing agricultural yields in heavily deforested areas. | Eastern Europe experienced declining grain productivity due to the loss of protective forest belts. |
Economic Inequality | Wealthier classes could monopolize timber resources, exacerbating social disparities. | Nobles in Eastern Europe controlled forests, further marginalizing peasants reliant on wood for fuel and construction. |
Transition Costs | Investments required to shift to coal or peat as alternative energy sources. | Mining operations in Newcastle expanded significantly, incurring labor and capital costs before profitability improved. |
This table encapsulates the multifaceted economic and societal costs incurred due to the timber shortage in Europe. It emphasizes the ripple effects that resource depletion had across various domains, prompting an eventual transition to alternative energy sources.
Timber , the economic power house of its time ran out. Its renewable so it grew back, but energy needs will make oil obsolete sooner than latter - the pattern repeats for coke, coal, peat etc.
Pre- marget thatcher getting the world off coal was insane ...
Here’s a chart that consolidates the potential damages caused by failing to transition off fossil fuels in a reasonable timeframe, including deaths, economic costs, and associated societal impacts:
Category | Impact | Deaths (Est.) by 2050 | Economic/Societal Damage |
---|
Air Pollution | Continued exposure to PM2.5 and toxic emissions from fossil fuels. | ~260 million | Increased healthcare costs and reduced workforce productivity. |
Climate Change | Heatwaves, natural disasters, food insecurity, and disease outbreaks. | ~30–40 million | Damage to infrastructure, agriculture, and global supply chains. |
Resource Conflicts | Geopolitical instability and wars over fossil fuel resources and climate-induced scarcity. | ~10–20 million | Increased military spending and displacement of populations. |
Economic Collapse from Costs | Rising energy prices due to fossil fuel scarcity and lack of renewable infrastructure. | Indirect (linked to poverty and hardship) | Economic recessions, inflation, and loss of GDP in fossil-fuel-dependent nations. |
Environmental Disasters | Deforestation, ocean acidification, and biodiversity loss due to fossil fuel impacts. | Indirect | Decline in fisheries, agricultural yields, and ecosystem services. |
Heat-Related Deaths | Intensified heatwaves from global warming caused by continued fossil fuel use. | ~10 million | Energy costs rise as air conditioning and cooling demands increase. |
Forced Migration | Climate refugees fleeing uninhabitable regions and resource-scarce areas. | Indirect (linked to climate effects) | Political instability and economic strain on receiving nations. |
Summary Totals
- Total Deaths (Direct and Indirect): ~300–330 million by 2050.
- Economic Costs: Estimated in trillions of dollars due to healthcare, infrastructure damage, migration, and loss of productivity.
- Societal Impact: Exacerbation of inequality, loss of biodiversity, and destabilized economies worldwide.
This chart highlights how inaction on fossil fuels has catastrophic human, environmental, and economic consequences.
That being said, both energy pools need to be exploited. The goal of free power like Geo-thermal should be the end goal, with a small f free as maintenance , expansion etc costs.
Cars for years where toys, and computers toys from 1900 to the 2nd world war.
It takes time to evolve new technologies.
The internet took many decades with major support of the world...
We are 30 years behind in serious R&D in this tech - timber is still used today, and oil will always have a place -airplanes for one - but this support for oil company profits is insane.