Damn, why is Canada expected to reduce its debt more intensely than other G7 Nations?
DEBT
Government Debt Projections for G7 Countries (2024-2029F)
Published
3 months ago
on
September 25, 2024
By
Kayla Zhu
Article/Editing:
Graphics/Design:
See this visualization first on the
Voronoi app.
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Government Debt Projections for G7 Countries (2024-2029F)
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On Sept. 18, 2024, the U.S. Federal Reserve reduced its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point to a range of 4.75% to 5%. This move is expected to decrease short-term borrowing costs, including those for U.S. government debt.
When the Fed lowers the federal funds rate, it
generally leads to lower rates on Treasury bills and other short-term government securities, which in return reduces its borrowing costs on newly issued short-term debt. While this reduction in rates will help reduce debt-servicing costs, the U.S. is still projected to see the biggest increase in its gross debt of all G7 nations over the next five years.
This graphic uses data from the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF)
April 2024 edition of the World Economic Outlook to show how the U.S. stacks up against its G7 counterparts in terms of projected gross debt as a percentage of GDP in 2024, and how debt is forecasted to change by 2029.
Methodology: Defining Gross Government Debt
Gross debt is the total value of all of a country’s liabilities at a given point in time. Net debt is gross debt less a country’s financial assets, including cash reserves or investments. The debt figures in this infographic are of government debt, and don’t include public sector debt from provincial or state-level debt.
For more data on global debt, the IMF’s
Global Debt Database features datasets of both public and private debt, broken down into more detailed categories.
Which G7 Countries Are Projected To Grow Their Debt?
Below, we show the gross government debt projections (as a share of GDP) for G7 nations from 2024 to 2029.
Country | Gov't gross debt 2024
(Share of GDP) | Gov't gross debt 2029F
(Share of GDP) | Change |
---|
Japan | 254.6% | 251.7% | -2.9 pp |
Italy | 139.2% | 144.9% | +5.7 pp |
U.S. | 123.3% | 133.9% | +10.6 pp |
France | 111.6% | 115.2% | +3.6 pp |
Canada | 104.7% | 95.4% | -9.3 pp |
UK | 104.3% | 110.1% | +5.8 pp |
Germany | 63.7% | 57.7% | -6.0 pp |