I prefer framing the question a little differently and maybe it requires a separate thread.
I like to ask, which players, if their career ended today, would already be worthy of the HoF?
That means that players like McDavid and Matthews, even though they're basically locks to make it whenever they're done, would not get into the Hall based on their current career stats and number of games.
I'd say:
Crosby
Ovechkin
Stamkos
Kane
Doughty
Eric Staal
Kopitar
Hedman
Brent Burns
Malkin
Erik Karlsson
Nick Backstrom
Pavelski
Fleury
Marner
I agree with the larger majority of the list, but not all. But gave it a like, because you put a list out there which will generate discussion.
1. Is Marner a Typo?
2. McDavid is a 100% lock as of now, unless his reason for leaving hockey this summer is going to jail for a long time. Can probably make same argument for Auston Matthews.
For context, McDavid and Matthews have now played nearly as many career games as Cam Neely and Pavel Bure (who both got in the Hall fairly quickly after eligibility) and both have accomplished more in terms of elite play.
Neely - 726 Games, 395 Goals, One Top 10 Hart Finish (9th)
Bure - 702 Games, 437 Goals, Two Top 10 Hart Finishes (3rd and 9th)
Matthews - 562 Games, 368 Goals, 4 Top 10 Hart Finishes (1, 2, 4 and 10)
McDavid - 645 Games, 982 Points, 8 Top 10 Hart Finishes (1,1,1, 2, 3, 3, 5,5)
3. Brent Burns is not a clear hall of Famer at this point. He could get in, but it's going to be a long wait for him if he does. Brining up a guy I had posted earlier in this thread.... Roman Josi has likely surpassed him as a candidate with 3 strong years since my post. Josi has a few more top end seasons than Burns, and it could continue
4. Eric Staal is far from definitive in my view (as an aside his career ended at the end of last yera). His issue is that his career is lacking in elite play other than his 21 year old season, I think he sort of falls in to the Roenick, Tkachuk categories, who are still waiting after a long time. Staal had one elite season where he was 4th in the Hart. His next highest Hart finish is only 17th. Perhaps he gets a lot of credit for leading the Canes to the Cup.
He made one year end All-Star Team (2nd team), and his next highest finish in All-Star Voting was 7th.
5. (EDIT- Removed part on Joe Pavelski) I had looked up his career totals and saw 355, rather than the correct 476. Obviously that changes things!