That was my theory.
The latest one is that was an artillery shell.
The forensic video analyzed the direction and explosion to be an artillery shell fired from Israel, the opposite direction of the intercepted Islamic Jihad rocket.
I thought the impact direction was from the direction of Israel at first, which is from the right to the left in the first picture, as I had posted this earlier.
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"Looks to me like three impact sites with two craters.
The first is indicated.
The second is at the front of where the overtured car was parked.
The third impact point seems to be at the damaged railing in the second picture.
In both pictures, trees and grass in the courtyard are unburnt, no visible shrapnel damage to the cars, buildings or solar panels on the roofs as well as the windows at ground level are blown out under the awnings which would indicate the explosion occured at ground level."
Has anyone seen any reports on fragments of the rocket or bomb from the site?"
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However, I admit, I was wrong about the three impact points and now I know the damage goes from the left to the right in the first picture..
I stopped over to talk to a friend if mine who is a communications tech in the CAF, he has been deployed 4 times to Afghanistan and I recalled him telling me about calling in airstrikes.
I figured I would ask him what he thought.
I showed him the two other close to hospital videos Frank posted earlier and he agreed that one was a JDAM and the other was a Hellfire explaining the hellfire has a little more crisp and longer sound due to the speed difference.
When he saw the eyewitness video of the parking lot impact he immediatley said " That's a JDAM strike about a 1000 pounder"
Upon seeing the pictures below he said this is not the impact site of the eyewitness video,"No way, no how!".
He said the damage would be consistent with a small rocket with a charge between 5 to 15 pounds depending on the explosive.
This converts to 2 to 7 kg.
Just to note the Qassam 1 rocket has a charge of 5 kg.
He wondered if because of the amount of fire damage it maybe had some type of incendiary weapon attached to it as well.
Jokingly saying "like a molotov cocktail duct taped to it."
He indicated from the second picture that the spalling on the ground of the charge goes toward the fence indicated by both the railing being bent around and the curbing being blown towards the grass.
Also in the first picture the concrete wall by the ambulance had been pushed in the diretion of the grasy aa.
The overturned car was impacted at the rear flipping it and pushing the car that was beside it into the burnt out flatbed truck next to it.
The debris field behind the overturned car is most likely from the contents of the trunk burning and were removed or burnt to ashes.
In the second picture you can see the damage to the right hand side of the car, behind the guy in white coveralls, with the doors being blown into the vehicle.
He also noticed it looks like a piece of the casing of a rocket is still in the crater.
He had heard of this strike but never saw the pidtures and said that anyone in the area would be seriously injured or killed and anyone on the lawn between the bulding and blown in fence would have been bombarded with shrapnel and debris from the curb and the fence and anything in between, leaving anyone in that area of the blast with little chance to survive..
He also said When you look at the impact direction of the rocket defined by the blast pattern on the ground, on google maps it is in a SW to NE direction
The top of this map is north.
When we zoomed out and went in a straight line backtracking to try to find a launch site, he mentioned to look for abandoned lots in close proximity to buildings.
In Afghanistan he mentioned this was SOP to launch, tear down and run into neighbouring buildings to avoid counter battery fire.
We found three or four possible launch sites, all of them in the Gaza strip, but without knowing how long the rocket was in the air there was no definite way to pinpoint a location.
