NHL 2021
- Thread starter Fun For All
- Start date
With last night's loss to the Maple Leafs, Calgary's chances dropped to 0.6%.
The Calgary Flames have 17 games remaining (they have 35 points so far), in a 56 game season.
They are 6 points back of the Montreal Canadiens~41 points so far.
Twelve points back of Jets & Oilers, 18 in arrears of the Maple Leafs.
The Canadiens have 22 games remaining.
Let's say the Flames win their remaining 17 games, giving them another 34 points.
Calgary now has 69 points.
In order to match the Flames in points, Montreal would need 28 points.
We won't worry about which team owns tiebreakers for now.
For every loss by Calgary (in regulation or overtime) that is 1 or 2 fewer points that the Canadiens require.
Montreal & Calgary play each other 5 more times this season.
Lets give Montreal 4 points, Calgary 6.
Right there are 8 of the 28 points Montreal requires.
5 games off the schedule.
Montreal has 17 games remaining.
Calgary? 12.
Barring something from bizarro~world, the Flames can't get there from here.
For Calgary to have even a close to 50% chance to make the playoffs, they need to go 13-2-2, or better.
I didn't say their chances are good but they are a little better than .6%, which is practically NIL.
If the Flames can beat Montreal 4 out of 5 and go on a bit of a roll while the Habs start stinking again...that's what I'm hoping for.
I would think so, 18 players with Covid and some of them are quite ill from news reports.
It's going to be an interesting month.
They're fighting the Brazilian variant, a number of the Canuck players can't even get out of bed and are requiring IV rehydration, and the league is making statements of this nature:
"The NHL is hopeful that the Canucks will be able to resume play this season..."
If they can't play, do they automatically award wins to their opponents? That wouldn't sound fair to me and probably not to other teams jockeying for position.
I think that they would have to go to a formula of points won per game because not all teams will have played the same number of games.
It also affects player statistics.
When last season ended prematurely they reverted to points percentage, rather than total points.
I would think (hope) the NHL foresaw the possibility of a situation like this, prior to getting the 2021 season underway.
As chuck mentioned above, I suspect they have a formula in place, should they need to scrub the Vancouver season.
I was talking with a Canucks fan friend yesterday, looking at their remaining schedule, they have 19 games left, 8 against Calgary & Ottawa. No need to play those to determine playoff positioning.
Leaving 11 games that could affect playoff positions
Versus
Edmonton 5
Winnipeg 2
Toronto 4
Kick the can(ucks)? as far down the road as possible, if the team is able to play, get at it.
If not, punch the numbers into the computer, decide seeding that way.
It appears the Canucks (or any Canadian team?) didn't get the vaccine.
Many Detroit Red Wings get COVID-19 vaccine; why Darren Helm hasn't yet (freep.com)
NHL: US-based players starting to receive COVID-19 vaccine (yahoo.com)
So basically Montreal got lucky and got to beat up on Vancouver early making some think they were the best team in the entire league.
