The One Spa

Teachers Union Sabotaging Education

JohnLarue

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Jan 19, 2005
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Remarks by Stephen S. Poloz - Former Governor (2013 - 2020)
#1
Your article is dated May 1, 2018 and he was speaking about the banks policy rate in 2018 new mortgage rules designed to discourage high ratio borrowing. The debt levels continued to rise since
You are really stunned

#2 lets also look at what you did not quote from Mr Poloz speech
While debt is indispensable for our modern way of life, it has been a growing preoccupation for the Bank of Canada for several years now. That is because high debt levels can make us vulnerable to negative events—individuals as well the entire economy.
Ultimately, what matters most is the burden of servicing debt relative to income.
stimulus leads to a buildup of debt over time, whether public or private. And excessive debt levels create a vulnerability, making the economy less resilient to future shocks.
[
This is particularly important right now because
the economy will require higher interest rates over time to meet our inflation goals


. Given current levels of household debt, we expect that moves in our policy rate will have a stronger impact in cooling demand than they did in previous years. But this is a significant uncertainty—the sensitivity could be larger or smaller than we expect.
Hey guess what?
The pandemic is an economic shock, one which is not over by a long shot

watching you try your hand at economics is like watching a turtle who has been flipped over on its back. it is amusing for a short period of time, but then it just becomes cruel
 

Frankfooter

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Apr 10, 2015
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watching you try your hand at economics is like watching a turtle who has been flipped over on its back. it is amusing for a short period of time, but then it just becomes cruel
There are 62 pages of you arguing with him here, larue.
Apparently you have an endless ability to absorb humiliation.
 

SammyS

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Dec 2, 2013
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SammyS

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Dec 2, 2013
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You equate high taxes with a high quality of life ???

^^^^^Sorry we're looking for Johnny.... it seems whenever you present him with some cold hard facts he runs away.

Household debtTotal, % of net disposable income, 2019 or latest available
1. Denmark 281.69
2. Norway 239.27
3. Netherlands 238.30
4. Switzerland 223.03
5. Australia 217.16
6. Sweden 187.73

7. Korean 184.20
8. Canada 181.21

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-countries/quality-of-life-rankings
Quality of Life Ranking
1. Canada
2. Denmark
3. Sweden
4. Norway
5. Australia
6. Netherlands
7. Switzerland

8. New Zealand
^^^^What do you think Johnny... can you see a correlation between high taxes and quality of life???

^^^^^God this happens to Johnny a lot!!!
 
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SammyS

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JohnLaRue post #1231
"Canadians now owe $1.77 for every dollar they have to spend"

^^^^^Sorry, still looking for Johnny!!! I'm sure he's around here somewhere.

How did we get here?
There are two overarching reasons why we’ve ended up with our current level of collective debt.

Debt is cheap
The basic laws of economics tell us that when prices fall, demand increases. Here’s why that’s important for the debt-to-income ratio: what really matters is not the total amount borrowed, but the cost to service that debt over time—that’s the debt-service ratio. The lower the interest rate, the cheaper it is to borrow money and service that debt, and thus the more debt a household can afford to carry.

Over time, the debt-service ratio has remained pretty constant even as the household debt-to-income ratio has risen.

In 1980, for example, the ratio of household debt to personal disposable income was just 66%, or $0.66 owed for every dollar of disposable income.

Back then, however, the bank rate—the minimum rate of interest that the Bank of Canada charges on one-day loans to financial institutions, now superseded by the target interest rate—was 12.89%, compared to just 0.25% today.


In practical terms, $100 borrowed for a year at 1980 rates would cost nearly 20 times as much as it would to borrow today.


This astonishing drop in interest rates accounts for why the debt-service ratio has remained relatively steady over time, fluctuating between about 12% and 15% from 1990 to the first quarter of 2020, and falling from 14.81% in the last quarter of 2019 to 14.67% in the first quarter of 2020.


Our relationship to debt has changed
Over time, we’ve become more and more accepting of borrowing as a normal part of household finances. When the ability to borrow became available as a tool to “bring forward” our household spending, lots of us decided to do so. And as the cost of borrowing progressively dropped, we ramped up our debt.

This behaviour is consistent with what financial economists call consumption smoothing, or the idea that we can maximize happiness by spreading our resources over our lifetimes to achieve the highest possible total standard of living.



From this point of view, in the words of former Bank of Canada Governor Steven Poloz,
“Simply put, debt is a tool that allows people to smooth out their spending throughout their life.”
 
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SammyS

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JohnLaRue post #1231
"Meanwhile, the household debt service ratio — measured as total obligated payments of principal and interest on credit market debt as a proportion of household disposable income — fell to 14.67 per cent from 14.81 per cent."

^^^^^Yep, we're still looking for Johnny Boy.


Should you care about the soaring Canadian debt ratio?
At this time, no. It has been on a steady rise for 30 years now. And, as you can see in the graph above, it has been relatively level for the last 5 years.

On an individual level, however, this isn’t the number you should be worrying about. The real number you need to consider is your household debt service ratio. This ratio measures your ability to pay your debts.
Even if your full debt ratio number is 250%, it doesn’t mean you’re borrowing too much or living outside your means

Mortgage debt and interest rates, not consumer debt, responsible for increasing debt ratio
With all that said, what has actually caused the increasing debt ratio?
Accounting for inflation, we’re paying more for mortgages, even with lower interest rates. But the increasing number is caused by both the low interest rates and higher housing prices, with low interest rates making it easier to borrow large amounts of money.

The 177% number is calculated as the total amount of debt Canadians owe, divided by their disposable income for 1 year.

It’s an interesting number, but for most Canadians and lenders it’s not a very useful number. It doesn’t truly reflect anyone’s capacity to actually pay their debts.

A better debt ratio to consider: household debt service ratio
A better debt ratio number is the household debt service ratio. This takes your gross income and compares it to what you’re actually paying on your debt.

It’s a better ratio that takes into account how much you’re making and how much you have to pay towards your debt.

Is there a magic threshold you want this number to be under? Generally, you’ll want to keep your debt service ratio under 43% (which is what lenders usually use).

So far this year, the average debt service ratio in Canada has actually decreased – from 14.81% to 14.67%.
Meaning, most Canadians are well within their means to pay what they owe.

^^^^^Hmmmm.... I guess Johnny might just be resting until his medical, economical adviser
Pierre Poilievre contacts him???
 
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JohnLarue

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^^^^^Sorry we're looking for Johnny.... it seems whenever you present him with some hard cold facts he runs away.
How would you know?
You would not know a
fact if one ran you over

This next analysis you butchered is just too funny

Household debtTotal, % of net disposable income, 2019 or latest available
1. Denmark 281.69
2. Norway 239.27
3. Netherlands 238.30
4. Switzerland 223.03
5. Australia 217.16
6. Sweden 187.73
7. Korean 184.20
8. Canada 181.21

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-countries/quality-of-life-rankings
Quality of Life Ranking
1. Canada
2. Denmark
3. Sweden
4. Norway
5. Australia
6. Netherlands
7. Switzerland

8. New Zealand
^^^^What do you think Johnny... can you see a correlation between high taxes and quality of life???
[/QUOTE]

Hey Einstein
Your showing
1. Debt burdens stats
2. Quality of life stats

And then you conclude (somehow) a correlation between high taxes and quality of life

Since when are debt and taxes the same thing?

You really do not have a god damn clue what you are taking about

Put your dunce cap back on and go sit in the corner




Next will youl try and say ice cream sales drive the sharks to bite people?
 
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JohnLarue

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Jan 19, 2005
18,189
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113
JohnLaRue post #1231
"Meanwhile, the household debt service ratio — measured as total obligated payments of principal and interest on credit market debt as a proportion of household disposable income — fell to 14.67 per cent from 14.81 per cent."

^^^^^Yep, we're still looking for Johnny Boy.
Oh Boy, consumer debt burden dropped a whopping 0.14% when people were locked down in their homes.
And you are somehow
concluding there is no debt burden issue and therefore the tax burden is also not an issue and you can continue to justify compensation in excess of 208% of the average family???



Should you care about the soaring Canadian debt ratio?
At this time, no. It has been on a steady rise for 30 years now. And, as you can see in the graph above, it has been relatively level for the last 5 years.
Was there a pandemic occurring over the that 5 year period ? NO!

On an individual level, however, this isn’t the number you should be worrying about. The real number you need to consider is your household debt service ratio. This ratio measures your ability to pay your debts.
Even if your full debt ratio number is 250%, it doesn’t mean you’re borrowing too much or living outside your means
250% is a very dangerous household deb service level and would have to secured by liquid collateral ie your house or marketable securities (ask a lender)
It also assumes one has a job
Hello 1 million Canadians have lost their jobs since Feb and still remain unemployed
You seem oblivious to this FACT


Mortgage debt and interest rates, not consumer debt, responsible for increasing debt ratio
With all that said, what has actually caused the increasing debt ratio?
Accounting for inflation, we’re paying more for mortgages, even with lower interest rates. But the increasing number is caused by both the low interest rates and higher housing prices, with low interest rates making it easier to borrow large amounts of money.
The odd thing about debt mortgage debt and credit card debt is both need to be repaid and serviced
The odd thing about intrest rates they change and in this case of current consumer rates they really only have one way to go and that is up
did they not teach you this in clown college?

The 177% number is calculated as the total amount of debt Canadians owe, divided by their disposable income for 1 year.

It’s an interesting number, but for most Canadians and lenders it’s not a very useful number. It doesn’t truly reflect anyone’s capacity to actually pay their debts.

A better debt ratio to consider: household debt service ratio
A better debt ratio number is the household debt service ratio. This takes your gross income and compares it to what you’re actually paying on your debt.

It’s a better ratio that takes into account how much you’re making and how much you have to pay towards your debt.

Is there a magic threshold you want this number to be under? Generally, you’ll want to keep your debt service ratio under 43% (which is what lenders usually use).

So far this year, the average debt service ratio in Canada has actually decreased – from 14.81% to 14.67%. Meaning, most Canadians are well within their means to pay what they owe.
I see you got this garbage form a website promoting credit cards
Really??? No conflict of interest there.
How many hours did you spend searching before you finally found someone willing to advocate high debt burdens ?

Tax burden 44.2%
food shelter clothing 36.3%
Debt service burden 14.67%
Total of the above three = 95.17%

Leaving approx. 5% for
1. savings for the kids college / university
2. Transportation costs
3. Any activities the kids might want to participate in ie hockey, soccer, skiing, a new bike etc
4. Family vacations
5. I phones, computers etc
6. Retirement savings
7. A myrid of other expenses a family encounters

It is pretty clear why consumer debt has steadily increased over the years
And this assumes no interruptions in employment (Woops 1 miilion more Canadians are unemployed vs Feb)

But SammyS feels this is OK and the status quo is required so he can maintain his families compensation in excess of 208% that of the average family.

WRONG
 

SammyS

Well-known member
Dec 2, 2013
5,200
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If you had been paying attention you would know that I made it clear (several hundred posts ago) that the average Canadian Family is spending more on taxes than food clothing and shelter and are going further and further into debt to make up the short fall
#1 The average family is paying more in taxes than for food, shelter and clothing. The bank of Canada has repeated warned excessive consumer debt is huge problem
Reducing debt and tax cuts are are required as both the debt burden and tax burden are unsustainable
I have been very consistent expressing the need for relief from unsustainable tax burden and unsustainable consumer debt
The tax burden on the average Canadian Family are unsustainable as is the debt burden on the average family
And thus you think the economic problems related to the pandemic and the pre-existing unsustainable tax and debt burdens go away
I am just telling you what is going to happen because of unsustainable tax and debt burdens and uncooperative unions
As I mentioned raising taxes on the rich will not work and it will not reduce the tax or debt burden on the average family
No denying there is an excessive tax burden causing the average Canadian family to fall further into unstainable debt
the tax burden and debt burden on the Average Canadian Family is unsustainable, cutting the tax burden would enable the average Canadian Family to reduce its debt burden to more sustainable levels
And then you conclude (somehow) a correlation between high taxes and quality of life
Since when are debt and taxes the same thing?
Johnny on a good day!!!
All I can say is... WOW!!!
 
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SammyS

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Johnny LaRue said:
"Oh Boy, consumer debt burden dropped a whopping 0.14% when people were locked down in
their homes.
And you are somehow
concluding there is no debt burden issue and therefore the tax burden is also not an issue and you can continue to justify compensation in excess of 208% of the average family???"

^^^^^ Johnny it's called education. Yes you might be below the "average Family income" but if you want to improve your income... you need to improve your education!!!

^^^^^Free advice, you're welcome!!!
 

SammyS

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Dec 2, 2013
5,200
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JohnnyLaRue said:
"250% is a very dangerous household deb service level and would have to secured by liquid collateral ie your house or marketable securities (ask a lender)"

^^^^^ I wonder if they are looking at "a very dangerous household deb service level"

^^^^^Still waiting for the evidence of "dangerous household deb service level" that "average" Canadian families are experiencing!!! LOL
 
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SammyS

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Johnny LaRue said:
"It also assumes one has a job
Hello 1 million Canadians have lost their jobs since Feb and still remain unemployed
You seem oblivious to this FACT"

Canada has been #1 for Quality of Life for the last 5 years
^^^^^ Thank god we live in Canada then. It was called CERB and now it's called Unemployment Insurance. But fellow TERB members if you want to pay lower taxes please move down to the U.S.A. with our good friend Johnny!!!

^^^^^Okay that's not funny, would someone please help Johnny... he's having problems... yes that's true he has a lot of problems!!!
 
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SammyS

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Dec 2, 2013
5,200
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JohnnyLaRue said:
"The odd thing about debt mortgage debt and credit card debt is both need to be repaid and serviced
The odd thing about intrest rates they change and in this case of current consumer rates they really only have one way to go and that is up"
"Every single Economist surveyed expects the Bank of Canada will keep its Target Rate at the “effective lower bound” of 0.25% until the end of 2022. The belief that rates will stay low implies that most economists expect the economy will continue to need “life support” for the next 24 months, and maybe longer."
^^^^^Doesn't look like rates are going up anytime soon!!!
And the great news... my mortgage for my 2nd house comes up next year so I should be able to lock into a very low 5 year fixed rate mortgage.

Putting even more $$$ in my pocket!!!
 
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SammyS

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Johnny LaRue said:
"I see you got this garbage form a website promoting credit cards
Really??? No conflict of interest there.
How many hours did you spend searching before you finally found someone willing to advocate high debt burdens ? "

^^^^^^LOL... 30 seconds

^^^^^Johnny have you heard the saying the apple doesn't fall far from the tree???
Fraser Institute vs Credit Business

 

SammyS

Well-known member
Dec 2, 2013
5,200
2,014
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Johnny LaRue said:
" It is pretty clear why consumer debt has steadily increased over the years "

^^^^^Yep, you can say that again...

How did we get here?
There are two overarching reasons why we’ve ended up with our current level of collective debt.

Debt is cheap
The basic laws of economics tell us that when prices fall, demand increases. Here’s why that’s important for the debt-to-income ratio: what really matters is not the total amount borrowed, but the cost to service that debt over time—that’s the debt-service ratio. The lower the interest rate, the cheaper it is to borrow money and service that debt, and thus the more debt a household can afford to carry.

Over time, the debt-service ratio has remained pretty constant even as the household debt-to-income ratio has risen.

In 1980, for example, the ratio of household debt to personal disposable income was just 66%, or $0.66 owed for every dollar of disposable income.

Back then, however, the bank rate—the minimum rate of interest that the Bank of Canada charges on one-day loans to financial institutions, now superseded by the target interest rate—was 12.89%, compared to just 0.25% today.


In practical terms, $100 borrowed for a year at 1980 rates would cost nearly 20 times as much as it would to borrow today.


This astonishing drop in interest rates accounts for why the debt-service ratio has remained relatively steady over time, fluctuating between about 12% and 15% from 1990 to the first quarter of 2020, and falling from 14.81% in the last quarter of 2019 to 14.67% in the first quarter of 2020.


Our relationship to debt has changed
Over time, we’ve become more and more accepting of borrowing as a normal part of household finances. When the ability to borrow became available as a tool to “bring forward” our household spending, lots of us decided to do so. And as the cost of borrowing progressively dropped, we ramped up our debt.

This behaviour is consistent with what financial economists call consumption smoothing, or the idea that we can maximize happiness by spreading our resources over our lifetimes to achieve the highest possible total standard of living.


From this point of view, in the words of former Bank of Canada Governor Steven Poloz,
“Simply put, debt is a tool that allows people to smooth out their spending throughout their life.”
 

SammyS

Well-known member
Dec 2, 2013
5,200
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The more I research, the more I realize just how small minded Johnny is and how out of touch he is with the world around us. Before, I assumed that Canada was probably in the top 10 most taxed countries in the world because of the money that is directed into health care, education, social assistance, retirement. F...k we're not even close!!!

Household debtTotal, % of net disposable income, 2019 or latest available
1. Denmark 281.69
2. Norway 239.27
3. Netherlands 238.30
4. Switzerland 223.03
5. Australia 217.16
6. Sweden 187.73

7. Korean 184.20
8. Canada 181.21

Quality of Life Ranking
1. Canada
2. Denmark
3. Sweden
4. Norway
5. Australia
6. Netherlands
7. Switzerland

8. New Zealand

Highest Taxed
1. Sweden
2. Portugal
3. Japan
4. Denmark
5. Austria
6. Belgium
7. Netherlands
8. Finland
9. France
10. Israel
11. Slovenia
12. Italy
13. Greece
14. Ireland
15. Germany

 
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SammyS

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Dec 2, 2013
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It's time! We need a steel cage match between Sammy and Johnny!



Frank, you want to be the Special Referee or the commentator?

^^^^^Johnny in pink!!!
Hold on, hold on... this would not be a fair fight!!!
Johnny is weighted down by the unsustainable taxes that he has to pay!!!

Plus, his personal trainer is Pierre Poilievre.
 

basketcase

Well-known member
Dec 29, 2005
62,658
7,091
113
...


Show us the quote demanding my taxes be lowered or get lost
...
Are you saying you're not a Canadian?

You keep telling us Canadians pay too much in tax while at the same time telling us the debt is too high. You must be the only pro-business person that doesn't understand that reducing income isn't a good way to overcome a deficit.
 
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