Blue Jays: 2015 edition
- Thread starter shack
- Start date
3.63
Mark Lowe has made 21 appearances with Toronto.
He has given up earned runs in 4 of those appearances, one being a disastrous 1st outing (3 runs in 1 inning of work)
Remove that game's numbers and his e.r.a. with the Blue Jays drops to 2.55
(Re. Tribunus comment up above re facing Yankees)
I have the same worries about facing the Yankees in the playoffs; but, que sera sera I guess. You can't worry about everything.
I think the Jays have a 50:50 chance of being the top seed in the AL. If they finish the season tied with KC they own the tie breaker; so, all they need to do is tie them.
Houston is not going to make it into the playoffs. They are toast after the huge slump they've been in the last month.
L A Angels are going to be the second wild card and play the Yankees in the wild card play in game.
My preferences would be 1:Angels 2 KC 3 Yankees and 4 Texas.
Texas is smoking hot and could make it to the World Series.
It also seems impossible for the Jays to beat that Gallardo guy. He kicks their asses every time. That's why I wouldn't want to face them.
I have the same worries about facing the Yankees in the playoffs; but, que sera sera I guess. You can't worry about everything.
I think the Jays have a 50:50 chance of being the top seed in the AL. If they finish the season tied with KC they own the tie breaker; so, all they need to do is tie them.
Houston is not going to make it into the playoffs. They are toast after the huge slump they've been in the last month.
L A Angels are going to be the second wild card and play the Yankees in the wild card play in game.
My preferences would be 1:Angels 2 KC 3 Yankees and 4 Texas.
Texas is smoking hot and could make it to the World Series.
It also seems impossible for the Jays to beat that Gallardo guy. He kicks their asses every time. That's why I wouldn't want to face them.
For Toronto to finish 1st in the A.L. they likely have to finish the season:
6-3(50% probability of 1st in A.L.)
7-2(84% probability of 1st in A.L.)
8-1(91% probability of 1st in A.L )
or
9-0(98% probability of 1st in A.L).
Anything less, Kansas City is likely to take the top seed.
If Houston finishes the season 4-4, they have ~55% chance of making the playoffs, if they go 5-3 it goes up to ~82%
I kinda feel the same way you do. But Texas is on a hot streak right now. They over took Houston for first in their division. Texas looks scary. If your John Gibbons and look at it from manager perspective it's a better advantage not to finish AL first because you know who your opponent will be. Thus it gives you more time prepare for Texas from Pitching matchups to scouting Texas batters and pitchers.
BTW, Houston is dropping out of wild card spot as the Angels are only half a game back of them.
Houston invested heavily in the bullpen in the off-season. Their problem is they have a bunch of Colby Rasmus to hit, either they hit homers or they strike out. I fear the uncertainty of a wildcard place more than I fear the Texas Rangers.
Now that the Jays have clinched a playoff spot they must safeguard their future. Mark Shapiro will have his hands full, he has to oversee the conversion to San Siro turf and he has to keep the team competitive. Never again must the Presidency fall into the hands of a non-baseball man like Paul Godfrey. Rogers rewarded him for negotiating the plum deal to buy the Skydome and he turned the Jays into the Leafs. It took Beeston-AA five years to right the ship.
Something Brendan Shanahan should keep in mind.
Now that the Jays have clinched a playoff spot they must safeguard their future. Mark Shapiro will have his hands full, he has to oversee the conversion to San Siro turf and he has to keep the team competitive. Never again must the Presidency fall into the hands of a non-baseball man like Paul Godfrey. Rogers rewarded him for negotiating the plum deal to buy the Skydome and he turned the Jays into the Leafs. It took Beeston-AA five years to right the ship.
Something Brendan Shanahan should keep in mind.
KC is the strongest team in the AL and the team to avoid. Probably a non issue. Barring a slump by either team, Jays and KC will finish 1:2.
Texas is hot, but statistically doesn't stack up against the Jays either in hitting or in a stripped down post season rotation.
Ditto LAA. Of course, the worry is that The Big Trout is now over his wrist injury and will start to monster again.
NYY is familiar with us and potentially dangerous. OTOH, we always manage to beat them. I guess they might be due. But over a 5 game series the luck will even out. Sabathia looked good for a couple of games, but got shelled again last night. But I really do not want to see a NYY series. I'm sick of the Yankees. We've played 4 high leverage series against them since the Tulo trade. The entertainment value of fighting the Yanks again is reduced for me.
Houston sucks shit. Their strength was pitching and both Keuchel and Kazmir have imploded recently. Without those dudes dominating, Houston is Altuve and a AAA lineup.
no. But Lowe usually pitches complete innings. Like every stat inherited runners can be misleading a bit...for example a guy comes in with bases loaded and nobody out....is going to be hard pressed to prevent an inherited runner from scoring.......than a guy who comes in with bases loaded and 2 out. So outs can skew the inherited runner stat.
Assuming Jays win out the division R A Dickey should probably be the #2 guy in playoff series rotation or set up rotation so that he only starts games at home because there is a huge difference between his home and away stats.
Apparently he's much better at the Skydome with the roof closed; so, might as well take advantage of all the edges the fates give you.
Home record: 9 W. - 3 L ....3.11 ERA
Away record: 2W. - 8 L ... 5.09 ERA
http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/splits/_/id/4695/ra-dickey
Apparently he's much better at the Skydome with the roof closed; so, might as well take advantage of all the edges the fates give you.
Home record: 9 W. - 3 L ....3.11 ERA
Away record: 2W. - 8 L ... 5.09 ERA
http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/splits/_/id/4695/ra-dickey
