Club Dynasty

The Science is Settled: Big Oil Openly admits Climate change was real.

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
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If it worked, the fossil fuel industry would have perished, years ago, like the dinosaurs. Instead, they are flourishing, making record profits, because the world is paying an arm and a leg for their products.
The despots behind the oil industry are raking in the profits, true.
But transition is also happening.

I'm sure you're happier sending oil money to Vlad and MBS than putting in wind/solar and keeping that money in the country.
 

Charlie_

Well-known member
May 6, 2022
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The despots behind the oil industry are raking in the profits, true.
But transition is also happening.

I'm sure you're happier sending oil money to Vlad and MBS than putting in wind/solar and keeping that money in the country.
The transition has been happening for decades, and may not be anywhere near complete before the earth incinerates. No, I want the Liberals to allow pipeline development so we can sell our oil and gas all over the world, and maybe even to Quebec.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
91,924
22,285
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The transition has been happening for decades, and may not be anywhere near complete before the earth incinerates. No, I want the Liberals to allow pipeline development so we can sell our oil and gas all over the world, and maybe even to Quebec.
By the time a new pipeline is in operation nobody will be buying that much oil.
 

JohnLarue

Well-known member
Jan 19, 2005
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Is that a reason not to invest in the development of wind and/or solar? Just thrown in the towel and accept that the earth is doomed?
The science is anything but settled.
The same people who say the earth is doomed are the ones whos catestrophic predictions do not materialise.

Wind & solar are not going to dispace Fossil Fuels no matter how much other peoples money you throw at them.

Just thrown in the towel and accept that the earth is not doomed by an inert trace gas

A certain proporation of the population alway beleive the end is nigh.
The end of the world has been predicted since about two months after man first communicated with one another
 

JohnLarue

Well-known member
Jan 19, 2005
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The transition has been happening for decades, and may not be anywhere near complete before the earth incinerates. No, I want the Liberals to allow pipeline development so we can sell our oil and gas all over the world, and maybe even to Quebec.
There has been no transition the vast majority (+80%) of our energy comes from FF
what has occured is vast sums of public money has beeen diverted into "developing" unreliable Wind / Solar
GaBillions over the decades & they produce what 4-5% ?

The transition is a money pit sure to fail
 

Charlie_

Well-known member
May 6, 2022
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Is that a reason not to invest in the development of wind and/or solar? Just thrown in the towel and accept that the earth is doomed?
No, I didn't say that we shouldn't invest in renewable energy solutions. We just need to be realistic with estimates about when the transition will be complete. In the meantime, we shouldn't do stupid things, like shut down nuclear, and gas fired power stations, prematurely, when we are several decades away from something approaching net zero.
 

Charlie_

Well-known member
May 6, 2022
993
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There has been no transition the vast majority (+80%) of our energy comes from FF
what has occured is vast sums of public money has beeen diverted into "developing" unreliable Wind / Solar
GaBillions over the decades & they produce what 4-5% ?

The transition is a money pit sure to fail
Transition is not my term, and it is an optimistic one. Currently, 30% of the world's energy is renewable, and I doubt it will ever reach much more than 50%.

We will probably always need fossil fuels and/or nuclear in addition, to satisfy our needs. So, a more achievable goal is net 50 by 2050.
 

oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
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Ghawar
Transition is not my term, and it is an optimistic one. Currently, 30% of the world's energy is renewable, and I doubt it will ever reach much more than 50%.
I guess that 30% includes water hydro power as well as solar and wind.

A global population of 1 billion may survive in a world running
on solar and wind power.

We will probably always need fossil fuels and/or nuclear in addition, to satisfy our needs. So, a more achievable goal is net 50 by 2050.
 

Charlie_

Well-known member
May 6, 2022
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I guess that 30% includes water hydro power as well as solar and wind.
Yes. And like I mentioned in an earlier post, global drought conditions have lead to reduced reservoir and river levels, threatening our hydroelectric energy production.
 

basketcase

Well-known member
Dec 29, 2005
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good luck geeting the regulatory approval to alter any water ways for new hydro
Any new nuclear proposal is 100% certain to spend years/ decades in the courts. The enviornuts are well funded & uncomprimising
Still waiting for you to explain why you promote nuclear energy while also being opposed to the taxation that would be required to build it.
 

toguy5252

Well-known member
Jun 22, 2009
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No, I didn't say that we shouldn't invest in renewable energy solutions. We just need to be realistic with estimates about when the transition will be complete. In the meantime, we shouldn't do stupid things, like shut down nuclear, and gas fired power stations, prematurely, when we are several decades away from something approaching net zero.
There is a difference between being realistic and being pragmatic. We need to ween ourselves off oi etc. and transition to renewables and green technologies and it is happening. At the same time there is the situation in Ukraine and with the Russians and the supply chain issues which are in large part the residual effect of Covid. There is no point in pretending those issues don't exist but while that me be accelerating the transition the fact is that at the moment we are still dependent on oil and we cannot simply snap our fingers and change that. the transition will take time and that time has been extended as a result of other issues but the transition is happening and the world an our children will be better off for it.
 

Charlie_

Well-known member
May 6, 2022
993
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There is a difference between being realistic and being pragmatic. We need to ween ourselves off oi etc. and transition to renewables and green technologies and it is happening. At the same time there is the situation in Ukraine and with the Russians and the supply chain issues which are in large part the residual effect of Covid. There is no point in pretending those issues don't exist but while that me be accelerating the transition the fact is that at the moment we are still dependent on oil and we cannot simply snap our fingers and change that. the transition will take time and that time has been extended as a result of other issues but the transition is happening and the world an our children will be better off for it.
What we want and what we will do are two different things. Like someone said in an earlier post, there is no real transition. We have some renewable energy, which is not reliable, when there's no sun, wind or water. But we have a huge dependency on fossil fuel and its products. For instance, we rely completely on plastics. Also, like I said before, we currently don't have the science or technology to wean ourselves off fossil fuel products. It's very optimistic to think that maybe one day, in 2050 2060 or 2070, that we will.
 

toguy5252

Well-known member
Jun 22, 2009
15,964
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What we want and what we will do are two different things. Like someone said in an earlier post, there is no real transition. We have some renewable energy, which is not reliable, when there's no sun, wind or water. But we have a huge dependency on fossil fuel and its products. For instance, we rely completely on plastics. Also, like I said before, we currently don't have the science or technology to wean ourselves off fossil fuel products. It's very optimistic to think that maybe one day, in 2050 2060 or 2070, that we will.
We do have the science and it is happening. the only real question is will it happen fast enough. yes we are dependent upon fossil fuels but even though demand for oil is increasing it is also the case that the transition is accelerating and it is now an unstoppable wave. This is in spite of the best efforts of the deniers to derail it.
 

JohnLarue

Well-known member
Jan 19, 2005
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Transition is not my term, and it is an optimistic one.
I understand, no offence intended
Optimistic is being very generous

Currently, 30% of the world's energy is renewable, and I doubt it will ever reach much more than 50%.
More like 19% if you strip out burning of biofuels
World Final Energy - World Energy Data
  • 11% heat from combustion of biofuels and waste (this includes dung and wood, used by about 2.5 billion people for residential cooking and heating5), and
- this generates lots of Co2, just as much or more than FF due to inefficencies, you can not shut off a wood/ dung fire when dinner is ready
This is extremly misleading to classify as a replacement for FF

then 16% for hydro & that will not increase by any significant amoiunt
World Final Energy - World Energy Data

leaving 3-5% wind & solar

We will probably always need fossil fuels and/or nuclear in addition, to satisfy our needs. So, a more achievable goal is net 50 by 2050.
agian far too generous
Wind & solar might top out at 10, maybe 15% & thier unrelability will drive blackouts and brownouts
Juts wait until EVs start to have a meaningful market penitration, That draw will be 100% incremental for the grids >> grid failure

green energy policy is going to prove to be a disaster
 
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Charlie_

Well-known member
May 6, 2022
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We do have the science and it is happening. the only real question is will it happen fast enough. yes we are dependent upon fossil fuels but even though demand for oil is increasing it is also the case that the transition is accelerating and it is now an unstoppable wave. This is in spite of the best efforts of the deniers to derail it.
If we had the technology, we would be there already. The deniers have no power. All the nations leaders have the power, but at COP 26, had to accept failure to get India and China, the two biggest burners of coal, on board.
 

oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
13,619
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Ghawar
.....................................
Also, like I said before, we currently don't have the science or technology to wean ourselves off fossil fuel products. It's very optimistic to think that maybe one day, in 2050 2060 or 2070, that we will.
We do have the science and it is happening. the only real question is will it happen fast enough. .............................................
We have the science and technology to send people to the moon and
eventually to Mars That science is of little use if the purpose is to lower the
cost of space travel to where every one on the planet can afford.

If you believe the BS that is solar and wind power has become cheaper than
coal and gas then market force will take care of the transition away from fossil
fuel. So far there is no sign any countries has the will or ability to amass the
resources required to replace a significant portion of fossil fuel power sources.
China probably has the fastest growing renewable energy development but
that is only because fossil fuel alone is insufficient to meet energy demand.

In Jimmy Carter's energy plan formulated around 1979 about 20%
to 25% of nation's power demand might have been satisfied by solar
power in 2000. Had president Carter's energy program been followed
through to this day natural gas might have been phased out already
as a fuel for heat and power generation and nation's fleet of automobiles,
trucks and trains would be running on CNG or LNG with remaining
crude oil saved for chemical and fertilisers production. Reviving Carter's
program today would be too late as both the amount of energy and material
required by conversion of energy infrastructure to renewable energy on a massive
scale is prohibitively costly. The U.S. has no other choice but to continue
burning fossil fuel for another decade. By then global oil production will be
about to fall off the Seneca Cliff (if it hasn't already) and the era of oil
abundance will soon become history in another 2 or 3 more decades. By
then no one will worry about emission reduction. There won't be enough fossil
fuel left to raise emission to half of what it is now (provided that we refrain
from burning more coal and wood).
 
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