The global energy crisis - Green fairy tales collide with reality

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
92,471
22,680
113
So you are saying Tom Steyer and Michael Bloomberg are "oil industry lobbyists" who "try to make scientists look unreasonable."

Got it.
No, never said anything of the sort.
You're trolling again.

# 5 on the science denier list of tactics.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
92,471
22,680
113
Well, 30-plus years of spectacularly wrong predictions - from the end of snow to the Himalayan glaciers disappearing 14 years from now - haven't done anything to build my confidence in the IPCC.
In other words, your beliefs are based on faith, not science.
And nothing can change the views of religious.
Including your own personal history on predictions, which is way worse than the IPCC.
 
  • Like
Reactions: danmand

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
10,489
172
63
In other words, your beliefs are based on faith, not science.
The IPCC spent more than two years defending its prediction that the Himalayan glaciers would disappear by 2035.

In fact, former IPCC chairperson Rajendra Pachauri went so far as to accuse the Indian official who challenged the prediction of practising "voodoo science."


The Himalayan prediction was the most prominent prediction in the IPCC's fourth assessment report in 2007, attracting major headlines throughout the world, including dominant coverage in the New York Times and elsewhere.

Furthermore, Pachauri - now deceased - used the shocking headline to raise funds for his institute.



Frankfooter insists predictions like this one have a solid foundation in scientific research. Let's test that point.

Frankfooter, please provide us with the facts that supported the prediction that the Himalayan glaciers would disappear by 2035.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
92,471
22,680
113
The IPCC spent more than two years defending its prediction that the Himalayan glaciers would disappear by 2035.

In fact, former IPCC chairperson Rajendra Pachauri went so far as to accuse the Indian official who challenged the prediction of practising "voodoo science."
You're following the science denier script.

I asked you what proof would be necessary to convince you and since you are acting on faith and no proof can convince you, you are trying to change the subject with script element #5, claiming the science has to be perfect. There is no point even debating that claim, since you won't accept facts that run contrary to your faith.

Lets just remind you that you said you were leaving this debate and that you couldn't even predict the temperature of one year, so by your own standards your claims are worthless.
I'll stick with the accurate, Nobel winning, actual scientists.
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
10,489
172
63
I asked you what proof would be necessary to convince you...
Let's be a little more accurate. You asked me what evidence would persuade me.

I answered the question: I would like to see evidence that the IPCC can make predictions that don't continue to be spectacularly wrong.

Meanwhile, you couldn't find any evidence to back the most prominent prediction from the IPCC's 2007 report - a preposterous prediction that had no basis in reality, yet went unchallenged by the IPCC's devout followers for over two years.

Talk about faith-based belief. 😃
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
10,489
172
63
Putting aside the IPCC's disastrous track record, here's what I really don't get about the climate bedwetters.

They've spent more than 30 years trying to demonize and marginalize anyone who questions their predictions, calling skeptics "anti-science" and comparing them with Holocaust deniers.

And where has all this hostility got them?

Here are the results as we near the end of 2021:

- The world has is completely failing to meet the targets from the 2015 Paris agreement.
- The big COP26 summit in Glasgow last month was a bust.
- Prior to the pandemic, we continued to see carbon dioxide emissions reaching new world records each year.
- Oil has never been more popular.
- The International Energy Agency predicts coal power generation could hit an all-time high in 2022.
- The four major countries (China, the U.S., India and Russia) that produce over half of the global carbon dioxide emissions won't achieve any meaningful reductions in the foreseeable future.
- Europe and other parts of the world are facing a significant energy crisis.
- Saudi Arabia and Russia have grown more powerful as countries become more dependent on their fossil fuels.

Etc.

Thirty years of demonization and the increased politicization of science has been an utter failure. It's led to lots of virtue signalling and no fundamental change.

You would think the self-proclaimed followers of science would realize that when something doesn't work, it's foolhardy to keep at it.

You would think that. 🤔
 

oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
13,683
2,152
113
Ghawar
Thirty years of demonization and the increased politicization of science has been an utter failure. It's led to lots of virtue signalling and no fundamental change.
If fundamental change means immediate or very near term
emission reduction then no political leaders or the climate
sheeple who voted them in would actually want it. The climate
movement is about putting nominally green politicians in positions
of power. Fundamental change is question of when not if it will
happen in the far future.
 

JohnLarue

Well-known member
Jan 19, 2005
17,481
3,114
113
Putting aside the IPCC's disastrous track record, here's what I really don't get about the climate bedwetters.

They've spent more than 30 years trying to demonize and marginalize anyone who questions their predictions, calling skeptics "anti-science" and comparing them with Holocaust deniers.

And where has all this hostility got them?
Into positions of power over others
however the charade can not continue.
continued failed predictions,, material scarcity and economics
 

oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
13,683
2,152
113
Ghawar
Into positions of power over others
however the charade can not continue.
continued failed predictions,, material scarcity and economics
As far as I can see the charade called climate movement will
continue into the near future. I just can't see how rising cost
of energy and material will bring it to the end. Not even perpetual
emission growth will wake climate sheeple up to the ineptitude of
their leaders. They can always continue kicking the can of zero emission
target down the road to the eternity.
 
Last edited:

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
92,471
22,680
113
Let's be a little more accurate. You asked me what evidence would persuade me.

I answered the question: I would like to see evidence that the IPCC can make predictions that don't continue to be spectacularly wrong.
IPCC projections are very accurate. Here's NASA on the accuracy.
Or are you going to try to insult NASA's integrity because you don't like this answer?




]Meanwhile, you couldn't find any evidence to back the most prominent prediction from the IPCC's 2007 report - a preposterous prediction that had no basis in reality, yet went unchallenged by the IPCC's devout followers for over two years.

Talk about faith-based belief. 😃
The Himalayas have lost 40% of their ice already, and while they may have included an error in the 2007 report that doesn't negate either what is happening or the general, incredible accuracy of their reports.

The paper, which is published in Scientific Reports, made a reconstruction of the size and ice surfaces of 14,798 Himalayan glaciers during the Little Ice Age. The researchers calculate that the glaciers have lost around 40 percent of their area—shrinking from a peak of 28,000 km2 to around 19,600 km2 today.
During that period they have also lost between 390 km3 and 586 km3 of ice—the equivalent of all the ice contained today in the central European Alps, the Caucasus, and Scandinavia combined. The water released through that melting has raised sea levels across the world by between 0.92 mm and 1.38 mm, the team calculates.


Here's the study.

Are you saying you don't think Greenland is seeing signs of climate change?
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
92,471
22,680
113
Putting aside the IPCC's disastrous track record, here's what I really don't get about the climate bedwetters.

They've spent more than 30 years trying to demonize and marginalize anyone who questions their predictions, calling skeptics "anti-science" and comparing them with Holocaust deniers.
For 40 years Exxon and the oil industry knew the damage their products were causing.

Instead of doing something they spent billions to fool people like you, to buy politicians and stop anyone from doing something about climate change.
 

JohnLarue

Well-known member
Jan 19, 2005
17,481
3,114
113
As far as I can see the charade called climate movement will
continue into the near future. I just can't see how rising cost
of energy and material will bring it to the end.
Purposely driving up the cost of energy will drive persistent inflation
persistent inflation drives political change. Always has always will

Material shortages will prevent will prevent any large scale roll out of EVs
Meanwhile FF will continue to shut down
There will be energy shortages
Which will drive political change


Not even perpetual
emission growth will wake climate sheeple up to the ineptitude of
their leaders
.

They will continue to miss their extreme temp predictions


They can always continue kicking the can of zero emission
target down the road to the eternity.
A con game can not run in perpetuity
 

danmand

Well-known member
Nov 28, 2003
46,483
4,902
113
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
10,489
172
63
The Himalayas have lost 40% of their ice already...
"Already"?? According to your article, that 40% statistic covers a period of more than 400 years.

--

Let's review. I asked you to produce the scientific evidence that supported the prediction in the 2007 report - arguably the most prominent prediction in the entire thing, and one that went unchallenged by the IPCC's devout followers for over two years.

In fact, there was no empirical evidence to support that prediction.

"Michael Zemp from the World Glacier Monitoring Service said: 'There are simply no observations available to make these sorts of statements'."


 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
10,489
172
63
Fundamental change is question of when not if it will happen in the far future.
Absolutely.

The real question is what makes political leaders today think they could possibly know what is best for "future generations."

The best example of this flawed thinking was the great horse manure crisis of the late 19th century, with its horrendously wrong predictions about the dire future that awaited in 50 years' time. As this article notes, "necessity is the mother of invention."


The future is unknowable.

Even if it somehow turns out the UN climate bedwetters' predictions have some merit, there is no way to anticipate what innovations await in the future. Indeed, it's not even clear that a warming planet would be a bad thing (it hasn't been so far, despite some of the weather porn in the newscasts).

Yes, there are plenty of climate researchers who attract large government grants by predicting the apocalypse. But these doomsday scenarios are almost always wrong (think of the global panic created by Paul Ehrlich's 1968 bestseller, The Population Bomb).

Inevitably, the panic was unnecessary because new technology and research led to further improvements.

Fossil fuels have created tremendous prosperity throughout the world. In fact, we wouldn't have vaccines to help many people avert the worst of COVID-19 if it weren't for fossil fuels.

I don't know what the future holds, and neither does anyone else. I'm all in favour of researching topics like greenhouse gas emissions but the politicians should focus on issues they can actually address.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
92,471
22,680
113
Let's review. I asked you to produce the scientific evidence that supported the prediction in the 2007 report - arguably the most prominent prediction in the entire thing, and one that went unchallenged by the IPCC's devout followers for over two years.
That wasn't the 'most prominent prediction', you're trolling.
This science denier script item #5, claiming the science has to be perfect.

As the IPCC said:
"I don't see how one mistake in a 3,000-page report can damage the credibility of the overall report. "

The fact that this is the only error in a 3,000 page report or in a report since proves their work is actually stellar.
One error in 13 years and thousands of pages?
Outstanding.


What this shows is that either you are trolling, you know your arguments are false, and likely you are acting on your religious like faith.
Clearly you aren't working off of science or facts.
 
Ashley Madison
Toronto Escorts