Massage Adagio

Israel at war

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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It's an interesting analogy to make.

I appreciate he admits he is forcing some things to make it fit - not everyone would do that.

As I said in the other thread, the threat of police violence is a real one.
The "People protested the vietnam war and got Nixon who escalated the war" is also a parallel about the unintended consequences worth reminding people of.
The campus protests are tougher to match up, of course - the Vietnam protests in 68 were at a different place than the campus protests now. The fact it isn't a war sending US troops to via draft can't be discounted.

But still, people are making the 68-2024 analogies for a reason and they aren't crazy to do so.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
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Are you under the impression Israel is stopping?
I thought you believed this has been going on for 75 years?
Why don't you believe Trump and the Republicans when they say they think Biden is too soft in his support of Israel?
Why don't you believe the Israeli government when they say Biden isn't supportive enough and Trump will be better?

Even if you think Trump will suddenly abandon Bibi, why do you think the party that is actively campaigning on being more strongly pro-Israel and anti-Palestenian winning the election will be a signal to the US government that it should stop being so pro-Israel?
Israel will stop the genocide, yes, but of course they won't stop the settler colonialism until outside pressure forces them.
2021, 2018, 2014, 2012, 2011, IIRC, all those attacks on Gaza stopped eventually. The longest being the Great March of Return, but that was only a weekly protest that lasted nearly a year. About 200 died and 14,000 or so injured, but it wasn't near what this was. This one is by far the most serious and deadly, and its only because Netanyahu is pressured and Biden is allowing it to happen. Previously Netanyahu knew when to stop before global outrage was too much, as when the 2021 protests became a PLM movement.

All Israeli attacks eventually stop.

The bigger problem is how to end the Negroponte doctrine and allow the UN, ICC and ICJ to finally take place and even more importantly, for the grassroots support for BDS to do what it did to South African Apartheid.

Will Netanyahu still be in power to try another attack in the next 4 years with an orange POTUS? That's unclear. He's incredibly unpopular but Netanyahu has survived other political challenges. Would he try this again? Unlikely. If he did would rump back him, probably. But will rump live through another 4 years in office? Also unlikely.

Will the dems change if Biden loses? Very likely. The wave against AIPAC is real and losing will look massive.

Your option is to put Biden back in, watch him protect Netanyahu as the ICC and ICJ try to rule and the US vetos those actions and blocks all UNSC resolutions, allowing the issue fester in the background for another 4 years until Ben Gvir or whoever leads next tries something much worse.

Do you really see that as better?
Do you have an alternate storyline that looks more plausible and has a better outcome?
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
95,430
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It's an interesting analogy to make.

I appreciate he admits he is forcing some things to make it fit - not everyone would do that.

As I said in the other thread, the threat of police violence is a real one.
The "People protested the vietnam war and got Nixon who escalated the war" is also a parallel about the unintended consequences worth reminding people of.
The campus protests are tougher to match up, of course - the Vietnam protests in 68 were at a different place than the campus protests now. The fact it isn't a war sending US troops to via draft can't be discounted.

But still, people are making the 68-2024 analogies for a reason and they aren't crazy to do so.
Maybe comparing this attack on Gaza to the Tet Offensive is closer.
 
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Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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Seems like a good idea to ban Chinese propaganda machine that is aimed at dividing and pitting western population against each other much like Russians did with Facebook in 2016
The whole TikTok bill is more complicated than I want to get into right now.
I'm just curious if this is the argument that people actually believe - that TikTok is being banned because Israel demanded it.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
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The whole TikTok bill is more complicated than I want to get into right now.
I'm just curious if this is the argument that people actually believe - that TikTok is being banned because Israel demanded it.
Why do you think they passed it right now?

 

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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Israel will stop the genocide, yes, but of course they won't stop the settler colonialism until outside pressure forces them.
2021, 2018, 2014, 2012, 2011, IIRC, all those attacks on Gaza stopped eventually. The longest being the Great March of Return, but that was only a weekly protest that lasted nearly a year. About 200 died and 14,000 or so injured, but it wasn't near what this was. This one is by far the most serious and deadly, and its only because Netanyahu is pressured and Biden is allowing it to happen. Previously Netanyahu knew when to stop before global outrage was too much, as when the 2021 protests became a PLM movement.

All Israeli attacks eventually stop.
So if they all stop eventually, only to restart again, what does throwing Biden out accomplish for you, exactly?

The bigger problem is how to end the Negroponte doctrine and allow the UN, ICC and ICJ to finally take place and even more importantly, for the grassroots support for BDS to do what it did to South African Apartheid.
Which voting Biden out accomplishes how?

Will Netanyahu still be in power to try another attack in the next 4 years with an orange POTUS? That's unclear. He's incredibly unpopular but Netanyahu has survived other political challenges. Would he try this again? Unlikely. If he did would rump back him, probably. But will rump live through another 4 years in office? Also unlikely.

Will the dems change if Biden loses? Very likely. The wave against AIPAC is real and losing will look massive.
So your strategy is to have Biden lose - hope that for the Dems this gets internalized as "He lost because of being too pro-Israel", then hope that in 4 years that is a sufficiently important cause that the Dems run on an pro-Palestine position and win?
This will "teach the Dems a lesson", presumably?

Your option is to put Biden back in, watch him protect Netanyahu as the ICC and ICJ try to rule and the US vetos those actions and blocks all UNSC resolutions, allowing the issue fester in the background for another 4 years until Ben Gvir or whoever leads next tries something much worse.
But you want the issue to fester.
You just said so.
You want to put the more pro-Israel party in, guaranteeing that the issue festers more and that eventual pressure makes the Dems support Palestine.
In fact, if Ben Gvir or whoever doesn't do something much worse, your whole plan falls apart.

Do you really see that as better?
Do you have an alternate storyline that looks more plausible and has a better outcome?
Do I think Biden and the Dems in charge is a better outcome for the middle east than Trump and the GOP?
Yes.
 

Butler1000

Well-known member
Oct 31, 2011
31,382
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It's an interesting analogy to make.

I appreciate he admits he is forcing some things to make it fit - not everyone would do that.

As I said in the other thread, the threat of police violence is a real one.
The "People protested the vietnam war and got Nixon who escalated the war" is also a parallel about the unintended consequences worth reminding people of.
The campus protests are tougher to match up, of course - the Vietnam protests in 68 were at a different place than the campus protests now. The fact it isn't a war sending US troops to via draft can't be discounted.

But still, people are making the 68-2024 analogies for a reason and they aren't crazy to do so.

One of the Smarter new political commentators out there.
 

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
34,953
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Maybe comparing this attack on Gaza to the Tet Offensive is closer.
Eh.
I can see an argument for that, but it's kind of thin.
The US was 4 years into having troops on the ground by then, no?

Still, there was a spike in outrage after.
I could see an actual Rafah ground assault being a reasonable analogy.
 

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
34,953
67,279
113

Butler1000

Well-known member
Oct 31, 2011
31,382
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Well, if I hear more from him, I might end up agreeing.
He didn't embarrass himself here, so that's something.
Go to the channel. They produce content every Monday, Tuesday and Thursday. He is partnered with Krystal Ball(real name). Former Hill hosts who put it on the map.
 

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
34,953
67,279
113
Go to the channel. They produce content every Monday, Tuesday and Thursday. He is partnered with Krystal Ball(real name). Former Hill hosts who put it on the map.
Yes, I know The Hill.
That he is on it and partnered with Krystal Ball is a strong mark against him.
But maybe he can transcend all that.
 

Butler1000

Well-known member
Oct 31, 2011
31,382
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Yes, I know The Hill.
That he is on it and partnered with Krystal Ball is a strong mark against him.
But maybe he can transcend all that.
They both created the channel. Opposing views. But they do well on independent topics and goid interviews as well. The Youtube channel will have a trove to get a better idea.

Don't discount them. Over 1 million subs and a large subsriber for money audience as well
 

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
34,953
67,279
113
They both created the channel. Opposing views. But they do well on independent topics and goid interviews as well. The Youtube channel will have a trove to get a better idea.

Don't discount them. Over 1 million subs and a large subsriber for money audience as well

I honestly didn't even recognize Saagar.
He looks different from what I remember.

I thought he was someone new, worth checking out.

"They are popular on youtube" just means they are good at getting a youtube audience. (And good for them!)
If it's the same two people doing the same schtick (and considering I didn't even realize it was a different show, it seems they are just doing the same schtick) then I'm not going to expect much from them.

That they represent a viewpoint that has an audience is very different from "they do good political analysis".
Joe Rogan is super popular and he is terrible at analyzing politics.

I know you find "But they're popular!" important, but I don't.
 

Butler1000

Well-known member
Oct 31, 2011
31,382
5,420
113
I honestly didn't even recognize Saagar.
He looks different from what I remember.

I thought he was someone new, worth checking out.

"They are popular on youtube" just means they are good at getting a youtube audience. (And good for them!)
If it's the same two people doing the same schtick (and considering I didn't even realize it was a different show, it seems they are just doing the same schtick) then I'm not going to expect much from them.

That they represent a viewpoint that has an audience is very different from "they do good political analysis".
Joe Rogan is super popular and he is terrible at analyzing politics.

I know you find "But they're popular!" important, but I don't.
No corporate censorship like they ran into at the Hill. And yes they have good analysis. Just because you don't agree doesn't make it valid. As well I find actually listening to viewspoints I disagree with both informative and allows me to gain insight into how a different audience thinks.

That is your primary problem. You refuse to acknowledge other opinions as valid, and have no empathy or understanding of differing viewpoints. You just claim a false superiority, one based in so called pragmatism that is really just refusal to consider change is possible. And a myopic view, supporting corruption, lies, false policy, all in the name of a house of cards of so called stability that is eroding, with no solution, just duct tape to try to hold it through another election cycle.

You don't see the the combination of factors driving the recent protests as an example. How both right wing isolationism has grown, especially among Democratic voters, coupled with an anti war message on the left. Both are actually in favor of the same thing, for different reasons but the same outcome.

I actually don't agree with them. But I empathize with them, understand there reasoning as valid, while stating my support for Israel remains valid as well. You don't.

Its sad.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
95,430
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So if they all stop eventually, only to restart again, what does throwing Biden out accomplish for you, exactly?
Which voting Biden out accomplishes how?
So your strategy is to have Biden lose - hope that for the Dems this gets internalized as "He lost because of being too pro-Israel", then hope that in 4 years that is a sufficiently important cause that the Dems run on an pro-Palestine position and win?
This will "teach the Dems a lesson", presumably?
Pro human rights position, not a pro Palestine position.
Yes, right now this is what I see as the best way to change the system without advocating for a butler 'tear it all down' approach. Turf the part of the party that's beholden to AIPAC, kill their influence and try to support the progressives in the party. To find a way to make it better.

But you want the issue to fester.
You just said so.
You want to put the more pro-Israel party in, guaranteeing that the issue festers more and that eventual pressure makes the Dems support Palestine.
In fact, if Ben Gvir or whoever doesn't do something much worse, your whole plan falls apart.
No, what I want is for a ceasefire right now and for the leaders of both sides to be investigated and charged for all war crimes. For a campaign to end the occupation, apartheid and genocide and implement equal rights. What I want is for the progressive dems to move in and try to right the ship.

There is little chance any of that can happen bar a Berlin wall moment in the US so the best way I can see of changing the system is to turf Biden and AIPAC influence and play the longer game for systematic change. Its a very crappy second choice but its still better than the status quo.

Your option seems to be vote for it all to exactly the same and screw whatever happens over there as it doesn't matter.
What you seem to be arguing is that the genocide doesn't matter.

Do I think Biden and the Dems in charge is a better outcome for the middle east than Trump and the GOP?
Yes.
Trump in power would right now would be no better than Biden. But Biden being supported in his Israel position is essentially no different than rump in the Middle East except for a bit more ass kissing for Saudi cash.
 
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