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Get ready Kamala fans...this is just the beginning

WyattEarp

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May 17, 2017
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I don't cry if Trump loses, bro.
You on the other hand will be crying in your soup if Trump wins
Pretty much.

I think the Republicans are favored to win the Senate. That by definition means no big spending blowouts if Harris wins. I have no issue if the 2017 tax cuts expire. It's all about pragmatism.
 
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WyattEarp

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Freedom to send a beer can to a tranny, freedom of sports players to kneel during the anthem, freedom of women to choose if they want to abort a pregnancy, freedom to call a found in court rapist by name, freedom to give equal rights to homosexuals and other deviants ? Is that the freedom you believe in ?
There's some unusual things on your freedom list. I'm sorry but freedom also means freedom to react to things that one finds being pushed in their face. You're demanding that people think like you and agree with you. That's not exactly freedom.

Perhaps a Kamala government can buy up cans of Bud Light. Listening to you, perhaps there should be absolutely no statute of limitations for criminal cases of rape. Hell, Brett Kavenaugh was a teenage rapist.

I'm glad we can call bullshit on your worldview.
 

WyattEarp

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But wouldn’t it be reasonable to be upset if a new leader of the free world was a racist rapist with 34 felonies who tried to overthrow the United States government?
Wouldn't it be reasonable to believe that tens of millions of Americans might know something about how their politics, media and courts work?
Don't you have a bit of skepticism.

By the way, 34 felonies was always a politicization of one misclassified transaction that seems to get sillier the more it is repeated.
 

WyattEarp

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Wow imagine if he fucked a porn star while his wife was pregnant and wrote it off ad a legal expense
I'm curious. Do you know where this should have been classified as an expense? Honest question.

There's no problem as far as the IRS is concerned so tax avoidance is not an issue.
 

WyattEarp

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She will just get another bounce once the VP is announced and OH GOD, if Trump grows a pair and takes on the challenge of facing her face to face, ooooooh, it's over. One of us will be crying but I don't believe it will be me!! At least not til 2025
You've clearly heard a lot of people including some liberals splash reality on a VP pick. It is unlikely to give Kamala a bounce. Shapiro who appears to be the favorite might tip a close Pennsylvania race, but brings risks to other states. Nate Silver has written extensively on the limited impact of VP picks.

I feel like I am bursting your bubble, but the U.S. election doesn't really get started until after the conventions. What happened was a tanking Democratic campaign was rescued with a last minute substitution. It's kind of novel.

Kamala's strategy will be try to run a campaign that only alludes to policy and of course attack Trump. The progressives got her back. That's fine. However, the Trump campaign will be reminding the electorate of her positions.
 
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Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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I think there is a lot of hope being projected on to Kamala. That's good, but people are going to get reacquainted with her. The tough part of the campaign won't come until after the convention.
I'm just talking about that fast a move in the favorable/unfavorable.
Those usually don't move that fast.

Over the campaign they will adjust, but I wouldn't expect to see it move like that again.
 

WyattEarp

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I'm just talking about that fast a move in the favorable/unfavorable.
Those usually don't move that fast.

Over the campaign they will adjust, but I wouldn't expect to see it move like that again.
Something doesn't seem substantive. It seems more like her favorability benefited from a snapback from throwing Biden off the ticket.

While obviously a big favorable move is better than not, I get the vibe that moderate and independent voters are holding their nose to some degree to vote for whoever Biden, Harris or Trump. Look at it this way, I don't think Harris' favorability would have gone up if she had started in a Democratic primary and had to compete against other prominent Democrats. She wouldn't even be the nominee.

Does that make sense? She's benefiting from conditional favorables that aren't deep. It could certainly win her the election though.
 

Leimonis

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Listening to you, perhaps there should be absolutely no statute of limitations for criminal cases of rape.
is that a radical proposition? That has been a law in Canada for a long time and it seems to work well
 

Frankfooter

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I'm curious. Do you know where this should have been classified as an expense? Honest question.

There's no problem as far as the IRS is concerned so tax avoidance is not an issue.
I'm curious, do you write off your hobbying to the CRA or IRS?
 
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Valcazar

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There was one BP noted that had her up by +11 in Michigan.
That's not a favorability poll, which is what we are talking about here.

It's going to be a close race. Once again about 600,000 voters deciding it. That's where it will end up in November barring a serious surprise along the way.
Yes.
That's baked into the very broken US electoral system.
One day, polarization may go down enough for a larger split in the popular vote, but even then the massive defects in the electoral college system will remain.

Even then Cripes an Assassination attempt is already "old news". Who can really predict shit?
I will admit that the assassination attempt already being old news is surprising to me.
 

dirtydaveiii

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Mar 21, 2018
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I'm curious. Do you know where this should have been classified as an expense? Honest question.

There's no problem as far as the IRS is concerned so tax avoidance is not an issue.
Maybe don't be a fucking Moron like Jerry springer and write a cheque. Pay in cash like the rest of us idiot
 
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dirtydaveiii

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That's not a favorability poll, which is what we are talking about here.



Yes.
That's baked into the very broken US electoral system.
One day, polarization may go down enough for a larger split in the popular vote, but even then the massive defects in the electoral college system will remain.



I will admit that the assassination attempt already being old news is surprising to me.
I think kamala easily surpasses 81m votes. Mayne 90million
 
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WyattEarp

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is that a radical proposition? That has been a law in Canada for a long time and it seems to work well
I have no idea how it works and doesn't work relative to he said/she said cases. These cases are challenging when prosecuted/tried even with recent memory.

Remember the TERB brethren overwhelming voted that a statute of limitation on the order of 10 years or less was appropriate. Me thinks you want to believe no statute of limitations works well and your opinion is your prerogative.
 
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Valcazar

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She identifies as black because most "blacks" are actually mixed with white and / or South Asians if their family comes from the Caribbean. The fact that she is partly South Asian doesn't change the fact that most people perceive her as "black".

So the black self-identification is 100% legitimate.
Of course it is, and it is honestly not even worthy engaging with this point.
But the Trump campaign can't seem to help itself in going all in with this twisted, racist logic, which goes something like the following:

Normal people (straight white men) don’t get to “choose” their “identities,” and everyone has to have one and only one identity. But there are all kinds of cheaters who get to be multiple things when it suits them.
This is unfair to "normal" people (SWM) because the normies don'tget all the special advantages that the Elites have decided to give the people who, instead of being normal, claim to be special, because they’re women, or members of racial/ethnic minority groups, or gay, or trans, etc. etc. etc.

Worse, people like Kamala Harris get to change their identity for social advantage, which normal people can’t do, because they are normal, which she and people like her are not. This is unfair. It's unfair even to the other "identity politics" people because it is cheating even in the unfair to white men system even more.

Back when America was "GREAT", people like her couldn’t get away with this. First, because you just weren't allowed to, and second because no one would want to since if you wanted a really important job you had to be normal.
By being normal we knew you were being picked for merit and not for identity.

Now you have people like her deciding she’s Indian one day and Black the next, like changing outfits, which is another advantage the Elites have given those abnormal people over the normal ones.

Worse, all this changing identities stuff is weird, and not normal, but they are calling the NORMAL people weird, which is also unfair.
 

WyattEarp

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Maybe don't be a fucking Moron like Jerry springer and write a cheque. Pay in cash like the rest of us idiot
Now you just sound unknowledgeable of how the world works. Stormy Daniels isn't depositing $130,000 of cash in a bank account. It would require special reporting for cash transactions. That's assuming Cohen can get a bag with $130K cash without drawing attention. I know maybe Trump could have told her to hide the money in a safe deposit box.

The entire problem with the NYDA's case is misclassification itself happens all the time. The penalty is a minor fine. I don't think anyone here would bet against it getting thrown out by an appeals court. The tell will be when the Judge rules on sentencing. He doesn't want to bring any more attention to the circus he helped create in his court. I'm guessing the big, bad felon gets a fine and probation.
 
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K Douglas

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