Fun Fact No. 1:
If you look at the hiring data since 2000 or so, enrollment in Ontario schools is flat. And yet since that time, the province has hired more than 35 thousand new educational workers. That is, the payroll for Education in Ontario has been increased by more than 35,000 additional mouths to feed. Of those 35 thousand plus additional people hired, 16,000 are additional teachers and the rest are support staff. Name me one other industry out there that would hire 35 thousand plus new employees if they were experiencing 0 growth?
Fun Fact No. 2.
The Teachers Union and CUPE (support workers) have a clause in their contracts that basically says, "if CUPE gets an 11.7 percent raise, the teachers automatically get an 11.7 percent raise". And that's 11.7 percent in each and every year of the four (4) year contract. Who else do you know that is up for an 11.7 percent raise?
Fun Fact No. 3
In the province of Ontario, the largest expenditure in the budget is Health Care. A very close second is education. After that, do you know what the largest expenditure is?
Answer = Interest on the debt.
Fun Fact No. 4
The province of Ontario carries the largest subsovereign debt of any jurisdiction on the planet. Larger than the state of California with approximately 40 million inhabitants.
Fun Fact No. 5
When Dalton McGuinty assumed power back in 2003, the provincial debt in Ontario was 130 billion dollars. High, but manageable. When Kathleen Wynne was kicked out, the debt was about 340 billion dollars. Completely insane, but interest rates were low, so the liberals borrowed and spent like drunken sailors. Probably to hire 35 thousand new people in education in Ontario. (See Fun Fact No. 1 above.)
Even under Doug Ford, the debt has increased to about 380 billion dollars. Which is sick. But I will give him a bit of a break given that there was that COVID thing he had to contend with.
Fun Fact No. 6
The provincial debt is held by various bond holders. Bonds pay a dividend to the buyers of the bonds. Think of the dividend that a bond carries as interest and dividend rates do rise and fall in sympathy with interest rates (to a point). Interest rates are climbing and God only knows how high they will go. This means more and more of the budget must be diverted to just paying the interest on our enormous and out of control debt. Think about it.
Fun Fact No. 7
During Covid, the schools were largely closed. CUPE staff (support staff) were still paid. To do what? I dunno, but they were still paid.
Fun Fact No. 8
The lowest FULL TIME CUPE member salary is about 50 k per year. Part timers make less, but that's how it goes. They are not paid in the summer and are entitled to draw unemployment benefits (or if they are ambitious, find a summer job)
MY POSITION
My kids are out of high school now, but two of my brothers have kids still in the school system. My sister has kids in private school.
I fully support Ford based on all of the fun facts I have listed above. The province of Ontario is broke and we cannot afford to increase the education budget by 11.7 percent each and every year for 4 years. It's just not fucking possible and demonstrates to me how out of touch CUPE and teachers unions are.
I might have a little more sympathy for them if they agreed to reduce their numbers by about 15 thousand bodies, but we all know that that will never happen.
So Mr. Ford needs to stick to his guns. This will be a defining moment for his government. If he backs down now, he will lose a huge amount of credibility. My feeling right now just talking to my circle of friends, brothers and colleagues that pretty much everyone is on side with the government on this issue. But people are fickle. So we will see.