I didn't say his numbers were already in decline. I said he's already had health problems. Which should be a big red flag if you're looking to sign a 33 year-old catcher. His numbers have gone up for the last couple of years as he recuperates from his elbow injury.
Care to bet on an improvement next year? .... That's the point.
He didn't hit for more power on the road - he slugged about eighty points worse in both of the last two years. THAT'S power, not homeruns.
No doubt, his numbers should be better at home. Unfortunately, so should (and are) everyone else's. I'll grant that his improvement hitting in Fenway is larger than most - which is why I said he's more valuable there than to other teams. If he switches cities, watch his numbers drop.
Again, comparing him with catchers, you've got to adjust for park effects. He wasn't the third-best hitting catcher by OPS once you do this. I'll also grant, however, that he doesn't drop many spots - this is mostly due to the dearth of good hitting catchers around the AL these days. But, you could drop in half a dozen guys who would *easily* duplicate his numbers in Fenway. And if he ain't that much better than the rest offensively, what's he playing for? It sure ain't his defense. That .998 Fielding Percentage you quoted is about as useful in determining a catcher's defensive value as how many times he was hit by a pitch determines his power. He's a poor defender. Really.
And, if Jason Varitek's hitting "anywhere from 2 to 9" - well, let's just say that if he's hitting third or fourth, your team has big problems. LOL
Epstein will probably sign him, as I indicated. For two years, eight million dollars - which is more than he's worth.
Anyway, the guy CAN'T throw.
