One last run would be the Santa Claus rally, top off at February like it did in 2021 then I think there will be big drama around March. I’m betting it will something to do with Russia.
If I didn't know anything about previous crypto cycles, just eyeing the charts of the big 3 ( BTC, ETH & SOL) , it does look like we've peaked and started a new Bear cycle. Most tech analysts were calling for Sept/Oct to be the end but I'm hoping for the minority of the calls for 1st or 2nd quarter of 2026. If BTC doesn't hit $ 125k, ETH $5k and or SOL $ 300, I would say this BTC cycle has peaked mid August. Just my 2 cents.Timing is virtually impossible. This cycle is very unpredictable. Could even be over. But we never hit the mania phase, so it’s possible that there will be one last run.
I think the most imminent drama is gonna be Iran TBH. They will build a bomb, an this point they have not been given a choice.One last run would be the Santa Claus rally, top off at February like it did in 2021 then I think there will be big drama around March. I’m betting it will something to do with Russia.
Russia seems to be cornered as well, they most likely will drop nukes eventually.I think the most imminent drama is gonna be Iran TBH. They will build a bomb, an this point they have not been given a choice.
cycle isn't over, guaranteed
just look at ETH ....going thru a wave 4 correction (image attached)
this cycle is playing like 2017, just wait a month or so and you'll have your alt season
BTC typically rallies in August, then corrects in September... it hits 20-week Sma and if it wants to scare people, it'll drop to its 50-week average to wick below 100k
BNB made a new ATH, Solana will follow , esp if the SEC allows for Solana staking (decision in two weeks). ....this is essentially late phase 2 of the cycle where ETH outperforms and big caps start going up (image attached)
it's not over ...yesterday's correction made eth pretty much finish its wave 4 correctionThere's a good chance this cycle is over.
The last two cycles peaked at this exact time, measuring from the bottom of the cycle.
Ethereum set a new high, and bitcoin reached a new high of 126,000. This is exactly what would have been predicted according to diminshing returns.
Not saying it's over, but the huge surge in global liquidity, which propeled the everything bubble (gold, crypto, stocks, etc) has run its course. It was a great run, but unless global liquitity continues to skyrocket to propel the next leg up, it's likely over.
Trump will most likely start cutting rates and cutting stimulus checks, providing more fuel to this bull run. That’s the best case scenario.
I'll admit i didn't think it would happened in that manner...that was unprecedentedlikely one more correction to around 107k to trap the bears and wipe out late leveraged longs
thanks for playing
leverage ...anybody who didn't panic sell on their alts are still alive , but some got really hit ofcRIP to anyone holding any alt coin, or crypto for that matter. Jesus fucking christ.
I was on reddit, and lots of people lost everything. Life savings, gone.leverage ...anybody who didn't panic sell on their alts are still alive , but some got really hit ofc
I was on reddit, and lots of people lost everything. Life savings, gone.
https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1o3rrvx
https://www.reddit.com/r/Daytrading/comments/1o3hd0z
I got out six months ago, but still that one year of holding crypto was hard.
At least one suicide, but I'm sure there will be more, and countless lives ruined.
There is zero regulation in crypto, and it is being manipulated like crazy, especially under this corrupt administration.it really is unfortunate... that's why i never used leverage in crypto...too fishy
No way Trump can put 100% tariff on China. Apparently China got tired of all the threats and slapped some massive export bans on key materials, batteries and raised port fees for US owned ships. Gave this arrogant admin a good ol Shanghai surprise.If the cycle isn't over, this is the best time to buy.
I think I will buy $15,000 in Cardano.
Most likely Trump will cut some deal with China, the Fed will cut, and stimulus checks will be announced. This, combined with the fourth quarter being the strongest quarter, etc., I think Cardano could easily be back above $1, for a 60% gain.
This would pay for my upcoming trip to Thailand.![]()