just watch Ethereum...if it breaks 5k , then your alt season is confirmed , but that doesn't mean it'll happen immediately
could see eth breaking 5k happen this month, then retrace , chop in September to early October - as that's typically a bearish period for stocks and crypto - then you have your usual strong crypto late q4 finish
thats the path based on previous cycles, but that doesn't mean it'll play out again
good chance this cycle is "left translated," meaning the alt season may actually be q3 and not q4
actually , I'd argue the last cycle was also left translated, as real alt season happened q1 to mid q2 ...market did double top later in the yr, but most alts did not reach their previous apex reached earlier in the yr