I just scoped out baseballreference.com, and I agree with their analysis of the situation - the three active pitchers I think will *certainly* get in are Clemens, Johnson, and Maddux (in that order of greatness). Everyone after that needs to do more - in order, that would be Pedro, Glavine, Schilling, Rivera, Smoltz, and Franco. Nobody else is even close.
Of the batters, they've got Bonds, Gwynn, Ripken, A-Rod (already!), Alomar, Sosa, Henderson, and I-Rod. All of these guys are locks. After that, I think we may be talking Veteran's Committee appointees - Big Hurt, McGwire (injuries hurt both), and Raffy. The exception is Pizza, who ain't done quite yet, and who EASILY qualifies as the greatest hitting catcher of all time.
The thing is, I think Bagwell is really underrated on that list. I think he's *easily* the equal of Palmeiro / Big Hurt / McGwire in the overall scheme of things.
Anyway, I've got three lock pitchers and eight lock position players in the league right now. My boat's full.
