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In general, no. But there are also steeper and shallower rates of decline. Trump's is not particularly shallow.

Gilles Poisson

In 2016, the overall polling aggregates were pretty good on the national side. There was shitty state-level polling if I recall. In 2020, the error was worse. One of the major things has been getting the weighting right. In 2016, they didn't weight by education much, for instance, but...

Why are you putting "weighted" in scare quotes?

That they have melted down so hard over this is kind of amazing and really tells you a lot about how they view women and relationships.

We can't actually tell that from the footage. He throws the hat away and then there is some sort of interaction with the poll worker before she hits him and says something like "don't do that!", the problem is that we can't see it and because the person filming is going "Wooowww"" the whole...