I do Emily too! The best rebuttal against the leftie arguments!
Trump is gonna win!
- Thread starter Fun For All
- Start date
Yeah. We might know by the end of next week, but we might not.
The GOP has done a lot of work to make it impossible to count votes quickly, since they intend to use that to complain how the vote is being stolen.
So even in a "there is a clear and obvious winner by the vote count" situation, it probably will be several days.
If it is at all close, the GOP will extend it as long as possible with legal challenges, outright non-certification shenanigans, and so on.
(I'm not particularly expecting violence, but that's obviously on the table if they think it would help them.)
I don't think too many pollsters were using proper methodology back in 2016 and 2020 because they were way off on a hell of a lot of shit.
I don't think so on the national vote. But youre right many adjustments have been made as they weren't as tight as previously.
Trump in a landslide save for any cheating.
On that note I wonder how many days it would take Trump to hand Ukraine to Putin and how many months it would take him to fuck up NATO.
In 2016, the overall polling aggregates were pretty good on the national side.
There was shitty state-level polling if I recall.
In 2020, the error was worse.
One of the major things has been getting the weighting right. In 2016, they didn't weight by education much, for instance, but education has become a major predictor of voting and there are some strong splits in poll response based on it.
Polls nationally had Hillary up by 4% on aggregate in 2016. She won by 2%. I don't see that as being pretty good.
In 2020 Biden was up by 8.5% and won by 4.5%*. That's even worse.
I won't even get into the state level polling which was utterly horrendous, particularly in 2020.
In 2020 Biden was up by 8.5% and won by 4.5%*. That's even worse.
I won't even get into the state level polling which was utterly horrendous, particularly in 2020.
It's very good.
Right within the margin of error.
And about normal for polling overall, where the results tend to have an error of around 2-3 percent historically.
I totally agree that 2020 was worse than 2016.
Supposedly the Pennsylvania Amish who rarely vote are totally pissed off with the Biden/Harris government.
They put regulations into law that werent favourable to them (I'm not sure what those regulations were though).
There's 88,000 of them in PA. It could tilt the vote towards Trump
They put regulations into law that werent favourable to them (I'm not sure what those regulations were though).
There's 88,000 of them in PA. It could tilt the vote towards Trump
You're right, The King of Kings cannot be denied his destiny. Steve Bannon has advised him to declare victory early, while Marge has stockpiled weapons to enforce his will.
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LOL
Sure, buddy. The left did not storm the capital trying to prevent the transition of power in 2000 when the Supreme Court gave the presidency to Bush, nor in 2016 when Hillary lost. Don't see that happening this time around either...
Though this time the SC will give him the presidency if its remotely close.
Yeah sure...the left couldn't possibly do that kind of stuff...
Anti-Trump protests, some violent, erupt for 3rd night nationwide
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...ayed-demonstrations-erupt-across-us/93633154/
Fires erupt, vandalism reported at anti-Trump protests nationwide
https://abc7ny.com/donald-trump-protest-oakland-protests/1599932/
Violence flares in Washington during Trump inauguration
https://www.reuters.com/article/wor...gton-during-trump-inauguration-idUSKBN1550CW/
