The Porn Dude

Trump Loyalist Go Full On Racist Over NYC Mayor Primary

mandrill

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Only a matter of time before Fat Old Senile Dumdum dives into the scrum.
 
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bver_hunter

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Nov 5, 2005
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Mamdani holds commanding lead in NYC race: Poll

New York City Democratic mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani holds a commanding lead in the race among the four-person field, though the lead narrows in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups, according to a survey released Tuesday.

The New York Times/Siena University poll shows Mamdani leading with 46 percent, more than 20 points over his next closest competitor, former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D), with 24 percent. Republican Curtis Sliwa comes in third with 15 percent, while incumbent Mayor Eric Adams (D) follows with 9 percent.

Cuomo and Adams are both running independent bids. The former governor launched his after losing the Democratic primary to Mamdani, a member of the New York State Assembly, in an upset; Adams chose to forgo the primary entirely.

The latest poll showed 5 percent said they were unsure or didn’t say who they’d support.

The survey was taken last week as speculation built that Adams, who is considered a long shot, would drop out and potentially take a role in the Trump administration. Multiple reports indicated those in President Trump’s orbit discussed giving both Adams and Sliwa roles in the administration to push them of the race and boost Cuomo’s chances by allowing him to face Mamdani head-to-head.

But despite the speculation, Sliwa ruled out accepting any role under Trump almost immediately, while Adams declared Friday that he would continue his campaign. The incumbent mayor also expressed optimism about outperforming expectations and noted most polling missed Mamdani’s defeat of Cuomo in the Democratic primary.

Amid some accusations from Mamdani that Cuomo is Trump’s preferred candidate, the former governor rejected the notionthat he needs assistance and said the president actually wants Mamdani to win.

By signing up, I agree to the Terms of Use, have reviewed the Privacy Policy, and to receive personalized offers and communications via email, on-site notifications, and targeted advertising using my email address from The Hill, Nexstar Media Inc., and its affiliates

If the field were to narrow, the poll shows Mamdani still leading, but by a more modest margin. The closest match-up is between him and Cuomo, the latter of whom has consistently placed second in polling.

Mamdani leads Cuomo by 4 points in a head-to-head, 48 percent to 44 percent, with 3 percent saying they wouldn’t vote and 4 percent saying they were unsure, according to the survey results. In a matchup just with Adams, the Democratic nominee leads by almost the same margin as the four-person race. He’s ahead by 19 points, 55 percent to 36 percent.

Cuomo has argued he’s the most electable of Mamdani’s opponents, and the other candidates should consider yielding to him as the best chance to stop the democratic socialist. Sliwa and Adams have maintained they won’t drop out, raising concerns from Mamdani’s opponents that the vote could be split among them, thus leading the State Assembly member to victory.

The survey shows Mamdani has a significant advantage in likability. He was viewed very or somewhat favorably by 52 percent of respondents and very or somewhat unfavorably by 39 percent.

By contrast, Cuomo’s net favorability is underwater by more than 20 points, and Adams’s by almost 40 points. Sliwa is underwater by almost 20 points as well, the poll found.

The numbers do show a potential path forward for Mamdani critics if they can consolidate behind one candidate, likely Cuomo, but a significant obstacle if the race remains static with less than two months before Election Day.

The Times/Siena poll was conducted Sept. 2-6 among 1,284 likely New York City voters. The margin of error was 3.6 percentage points.

 

bver_hunter

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Nov 5, 2005
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View attachment 456293

View attachment 456294

Only a matter of time before Fat Old Senile Dumdum dives into the scrum.
Trump should concentrate on actually deporting someone who was in the USA illegally:


Yes, if he attempts to deport Mamdani then someone like Melania who is here more illegally should also be deported!! :giggle:
 
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Valcazar

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New York City Democratic mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani holds a commanding lead in the race among the four-person field, though the lead narrows in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups, according to a survey released Tuesday.
That's such a stupid sentence.
Of course the lead narrows in a head-to-head match up in a first past the post election.
It can't NOT narrow.
So dumb.

If the field were to narrow, the poll shows Mamdani still leading, but by a more modest margin. The closest match-up is between him and Cuomo, the latter of whom has consistently placed second in polling.
Which is why Trump has been trying so hard to get the other two to drop out.
 
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bver_hunter

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That's such a stupid sentence.
Of course the lead narrows in a head-to-head match up in a first past the post election.
It can't NOT narrow.
So dumb.
Of course this is not a two candidate race, and that is why they used the word "hypothetical" in this scenario.
We see that being used in numerous elections, but all the same, Cuomo should recognize that he already lost the nomination. He is just being a sore loser to think that he stands a ghost of a chance to win this race and with Trump's support!!
 

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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Of course this is not a two candidate race, and that is why they used the word "hypothetical" in this scenario.
I'm not criticizing you, just the reporting here.
It's just so phenomenally dumb as phrasing.
The only question is HOW MUCH the polling narrows in a two person race.

We see that being used in numerous elections, but all the same, Cuomo should recognize that he already lost the nomination. He is just being a sore loser to think that he stands a ghost of a chance to win this race and with Trump's support!!
But he clearly does stand a chance.
If they can get everyone to drop out, his polling is within range for a shot based on actual voter turn out of the day.
So him going all in on cultivating Trump and the right wing and so on makes sense if he values power.

Losing the nomination means nothing if you don't care what party you win under.
 

bver_hunter

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Nov 5, 2005
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I'm not criticizing you, just the reporting here.
It's just so phenomenally dumb as phrasing.
The only question is HOW MUCH the polling narrows in a two person race.
My response was nothing about you criticizing me. It was just to reiterate the fact that pollsters almost always try to also come up with a hypothetical poll of the two front runners.
On some occasions we see certain other candidates dropping out of the race when they want to benefit one of the two front runners. Well they posted the numbers to display how much it has narrowed in that scenario!!

But he clearly does stand a chance.
If they can get everyone to drop out, his polling is within range for a shot based on actual voter turn out of the day.
So him going all in on cultivating Trump and the right wing and so on makes sense if he values power.

Losing the nomination means nothing if you don't care what party you win under.
Yes, Cuomo stands a better chance of winning in a two horse race. But it will be interesting to see if any candidates do drop out for it to occur.
My take is that Cuomo would be second best either way!!
 

Valcazar

Just a bundle of fucking sunshine
Mar 27, 2014
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My response was nothing about you criticizing me. It was just to reiterate the fact that pollsters almost always try to also come up with a hypothetical poll of the two front runners.
Which they should.
People dropping out of multi-person races in first past the post is very normal, since they know it will affect the outcome.

On some occasions we see certain other candidates dropping out of the race when they want to benefit one of the two front runners. Well they posted the numbers to display how much it has narrowed in that scenario!!
Sure.
But remarking that it narrowed, as if that is some kind of insight, is dumb.

Yes, Cuomo stands a better chance of winning in a two horse race. But it will be interesting to see if any candidates do drop out for it to occur.
My take is that Cuomo would be second best either way!!
Trump-world is working pretty hard to get it to a two-person race.
They seem to have offered both Silwa and Adams positions to get out and give Cuomo a shot.
 
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