The 2024 US Presidential election

[Butler1000]

Donald Trump suffers triple polling blow in battleground states he must win

Harris is leading Trump in the Blue Wall states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, according to new polling.

www.newsweek.com

Dont sweat it. Kamala Harris will be next president of the United States.

Latest Marist polls (end of October) show Harris ahead by 3 points in Michigan, and 2 points in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Thats all she needs. The Puerto Rico garbage comment and refusal by Trump to explicitly condemn it is hurting Trump badly.

Now among those who have already cast their ballots, 55% are women and 45% are men. With women favouring Harris by 15 points, the outcome is clear. Several Trump surrogates are admitting its over if the trend holds.

Kamala Harris. 47th President of the United States. Case closed.

Every poll is "weighted" now. Which simply means the poll makers adds a bias to the analysis as a guess to what's missing.

Seriously. That's what they do. And every number you posted is well within the margin of error.

As I keep saying. No one knows. And there is absolutely no way to predict what 50 000 voters in a swing state are going to do election day. That is the probable vote swing.

So sit back, relax, 4 days left.

 

[The Oracle]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1852545112347124006

Surprised Elon put is promoting this one...Watch till the end.

 

[princekwekua]

Every poll is "weighted" now. Which simply means the poll makers adds a bias to the analysis as a guess to what's missing.

Seriously. That's what they do. And every number you posted is well within the margin of error.

As I keep saying. No one knows. And there is absolutely no way to predict what 50 000 voters in a swing state are going to do election day. That is the probable vote swing.

So sit back, relax, 4 days left.

You are right that no ones knows for sure. The polls were wrong in 2016, after all. But there are trends dictated by events.

Kamala Harris conducted unconvincing interviews on CNN & 60 minutes and the trend swayed in Trump's direction. Which prompted another unconvincing interview on Fox. She would not have done that interview if she had the trend.

Then came MSG. It was not only the Puerto Rico joke which was in poor taste, Kamala Harris was called a prostitute, devil, antichrist, a cunt, etc. Trump called it a lovefest. But Nikki Haley called it defeatist strategy. Independents and women were appalled and the trend shifted in favour of Harris. And it continues with Trump saying he will protect women whether they like it or not, and the latest threat against Liz Cheney. The Marist poll showed independents breaking for Harris by 6 points in MI and WI and by a whopping 15 in PA.

And the data show women have voted in significant numbers, which favours Harris and causing alarm among Republicans.

 

[Butler1000]

You are right that no ones knows for sure. The polls were wrong in 2016, after all. But there are trends dictated by events.

Kamala Harris conducted unconvincing interviews on CNN & 60 minutes and the trend swayed in Trump's direction. Which prompted another unconvincing interview on Fox. She would not have done that interview if she had the trend.

Then came MSG. It was not only the Puerto Rico joke which was in poor taste, Kamala Harris was called a prostitute, devil, antichrist, a cunt, etc. Trump called it a lovefest. But Nikki Haley called it defeatist strategy. Independents and women were appalled and the trend shifted in favour of Harris. And it continues with Trump saying he will protect women whether they like it or not, and the latest threat against Liz Cheney. The Marist poll showed independents breaking for Harris by 6 points in MI and WI and by a whopping 15 in PA.

And the data show women have voted in significant numbers, which favours Harris and causing alarm among Republicans.

I really don't believe any swing voter gives a rat's ass about Haley or Cheney. It's why they are no longer elected officials.

But again we shall see.

 

[squeezer]

I really don't believe any swing voter gives a rat's ass about Haley or Cheney. It's why they are no longer elected officials.

But again we shall see.

I disagree on Haley, perhaps you are correct about Cheney as many Dems dislike him as well as many Repugs but Haley has her following of more moderate repugs who dislike Trump.

 

[squeezer]

Me thinks James Dean has lost his mind, he's attacking for no reason.

Old Woman from Blazing Saddles says, "have you ever seen such sexiness".

It's because I bumped into what looked like a banana peel in his head. Living in his head is no small feat. Jen moved out but left all her jars of Mayo in here dammit.

 

[Phil C. McNasty]

Not at all. This is the closing stages of an election and this is the image he portrays. And wearing this garbage suit while saying he is going to protect women whether they like it or not. And in another clip saying Liz Cheney should see what it feels like while facing machine guns with bullets aimed at her face.

Then when he loses with these moronic actions, he will claim there was fraud as he is already claiming in PA, something vehemently refuted by the Republican Secretary of State

So I just watched the video and he misgrabbed the door handle
Seriously, this is all you Lefties got??!!

 

[Frankfooter]

So I just watched the video and he misgrabbed the door handle
Seriously, this is all you Lefties got??!!

There's one or two of those episodes every day.

 

[squeezer]

So I just watched the video and he misgrabbed the door handle
Seriously, this is all you Lefties got??!!

Had that been Biden you would have been all over it but now, your cult hero shows his age and how clumsy he is and you jump to his defense. How sweet! LMFAO

 

[squeezer]

HAHAHAHA, Trump gives a Mic BBBJ on stage. LMFAO.......what an imbecile but he is entertaining and following the right-wing mantra, seeth over trannies but deep down most maga lovers just want to suck some dick. HAHAHAHAHAHA

Go to the 3.55 mark to watch Trump suck it!!! HAHAHAHAHAHA, you just can't make this shit up.

 

[Phil C. McNasty]

HAHAHAHA, Trump gives a Mic BBBJ on stage. LMFAO.......what an imbecile but he is entertaining and following the right-wing mantra, seeth over trannies but deep down most maga lovers just want to suck some dick. HAHAHAHAHAHA

Go to the 3.55 mark to watch Trump suck it!!! HAHAHAHAHAHA, you just can't make this shit up.

LOL ....... that would make me vote for him even more

 

[squeezer]

LOL ....... that would make me vote for him even more

and this doesn't surprise me. Phil, would you like me to buy you a mic for Christmas? Just let me know the length and girth you prefer.

 

[Phil C. McNasty]

and this doesn't surprise me. Phil, would you like me to buy you a mic for Christmas? Just let me know the length and girth you prefer

It looks like Trump is making fun of Kamaltoe, since the rumor around her is she slept her way to the top.

But it takes a gay guy to read something different into what he's doing though
Dont worry sqeezie, your secret is safe with us

 

[squeezer]

It looks like Trump is making fun of Kamaltoe, since the rumor around her is she slept her way to the top.

But it takes a gay guy to read something different into what he's doing though
Dont worry sqeezie, your secret is safe with us

Yeah ok Phil! Come on man, you can do better than this lame reply. I will allow you to take another shot at it because I want to be fair. Go ahead and don't let me down or that offer for a mic for Christmas will be off the table!

 

[Phil C. McNasty]

Yeah ok Phil! Come on man, you can do better than this lame reply. I will allow you to take another shot at it because I want to be fair. Go ahead and don't let me down or that offer for a mic for Christmas will be off the table!

You might not be gay squeezer, but your boyfriend definitely is

 

[squeezer]

You might not be gay squeezer, but your boyfriend definitely is

Come on, fuck! You're hopeless but I will still get you that mic so you can share your cult figures pass time.

 

[princekwekua]

It is true that if the electorate was only women, there'd never be a Republican president. Likewise, if the electorate was only men, there'd never be a Democrat president.

Women outpacing men in early voting, boosting Harris campaign's optimism

The Harris campaign and Democrats are encouraged by strong turnout so far from women. The Trump campaign says it isn't worried.

www.usatoday.com

• Pennsylvania − women have a 14-percentage point turnout edge over men
• Michigan − women have a 10-point edge
• Wisconsin − women have an 8-point edge
• North Carolina − women have an 11-point edge
• Georgia − women have a 12-point edge
• Nevada −women and male turnout is roughly the same (women turnout was 2 percentage points greater than men in 2020)
• Arizona −women have a 5-point advantage

 

[Phil C. McNasty]

Kamaltoe is a two-faced phony

TikTok - Make Your Day

 

[The Oracle]

Then came MSG. It was not only the Puerto Rico joke which was in poor taste, Kamala Harris was called a prostitute, devil, antichrist, a cunt, etc. Trump called it a lovefest. But Nikki Haley called it defeatist strategy. Independents and women were appalled and the trend shifted in favour of Harris. And it continues with Trump saying he will protect women whether they like it or not, and the latest threat against Liz Cheney. The Marist poll showed independents breaking for Harris by 6 points in MI and WI and by a whopping 15 inPA.

The word prostitute was never used. Her handlers were called pimps though. I thought Willie Brown retired?

The word cunt wasn't said as well. According to an unnamed source within the Republican party Hinchcliffe was told not to use it...Always those elusive unnamed sources, funny how that works.

Anyways Haley is correct personal attacks against an opponent reveal the vileness of the attacker and undermine their credibility...Just like calling people Nazis and their preferred leader Hitler.

 

[Butler1000]

I disagree on Haley, perhaps you are correct about Cheney as many Dems dislike him as well as many Repugs but Haley has her following of more moderate repugs who dislike Trump.

The average voter outside of her state would barely know who she is other than she was a governor somewhere. I doubt most would even know she was in the primary against Trump. And her cable news presence has been minimal. It's not dislike, but indifference in her case.

And those moderate Trump haters are already voting for Harris. They are baked in. Being voters are not going to base their choice on her recommendation.