At 33-36, the Blue Jays would need a .602 winning percentage for the rest of this season to match last year's 89 wins total. .602 for a whole season is 97.5 wins.
At 38-32, the Minnesota Twins, currently in the third AL wildcard spot, would need a .554 winning percentage for the rest of the season to win 89 games. .554 for a whole season is 89.75 wins.
Toronto would also have to get past the Texas Rangers, reigning World Series champs, who have more overall talent, more young talent, and less talent to play against in their own division, and also currently at 33-36.
At 38-32, the Minnesota Twins, currently in the third AL wildcard spot, would need a .554 winning percentage for the rest of the season to win 89 games. .554 for a whole season is 89.75 wins.
Toronto would also have to get past the Texas Rangers, reigning World Series champs, who have more overall talent, more young talent, and less talent to play against in their own division, and also currently at 33-36.