The current model predicts roughly 60% of the global population will be infected within a year. Using the current mortality rate in Italy that would be 10% of 7 billion or 700 million deaths.
The only reprieve we can hope for in not reaching these statistics lies with each of us doing what is necessary.
Considering the minimalists on this board ( no offence ), St. Patricks day parties, spring breaks mayhem ( drunken teenagers laughing because only the elderly will die ) and the anti lockdown protests in France I believe unfortunately that we will succumb to the projected statistics due to the global average of people having little care or concern for what they perceive as the common flu or cold.
I am not afraid of that happening, though I sincerely hope it doesn't. The world needs to change and it does so in ways that we aren't always in agreement with and at a cost we are not willing to pay, but, change it will. This is a natural process you can't take it personally although the cost to everyone on a personal level could be staggering.
I am erroring on the side of caution making myself one of the laughable nut's that overacted. I genuinely hope when all this is over and I was wrong everyone can take a shot at me, within each of which, I will feel relief in having been wrong. Until then good luck.
LJ