Another Malaysian Airways flight down over Ukraine....

stay

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There is word the current Ukrainian government is annexing some businesses. Ah the corruption is just starting.
The northern Ukrainian people are generally not workers, they prefer to be free fed.
 

Keebler Elf

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They are thinking that Putin is now too intimidated to think about invading.
I think after the Crimean invasion Putin had to make some commitments/reassurance to the US/West/Europe that he wasn't pulling a Hitler and that kept Russia from all-out invading Ukraine. But it didn't stop them from quasi-clandestine support to the separatists. My guess is that Putin wanted to help the separatists hold out to the point that a general ceasefire was called and then at that point use a referendum to allow eastern Ukraine to split off and either join Russia or form a new country within the Russian sphere of influence. And to hold out you need heavy weapons and a credible air defense system.

Then the plane got shot down and everything turned to shit. Russia's involvement was exposed under the harsh light of day and now all eyes are on them, which is likely going to put a chill on sending further support to the separatists (especially with the world starting to think Putin is a war criminal).

Now Ukraine will crush the separatists and the only thing Putin can do is a full scale invasion but that's not going to happen in light of the plane shootdown and the rest of the world already thinking the Russians are the real culprits.

That plane being shot down may have changed the future of the Ukraine (for the better).
 

FAST

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There is word the current Ukrainian government is annexing some businesses. Ah the corruption is just starting.
The northern Ukrainian people are generally not workers, they prefer to be free fed.
Maybe LH was right,...there is a change coming.

The next communist country perhaps,...???

FAST
 

mandrill

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There is word the current Ukrainian government is annexing some businesses. Ah the corruption is just starting.
The northern Ukrainian people are generally not workers, they prefer to be free fed.
Pretty big, racist generalizations here.

And the corruption is one of the things that the younger generation is trying to change.
 

BlueLaser

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What are you talking about? I didn't make any comment about the radar. I know little about radar. Any conclusion that I make about culpability is based on the track record of the separatists firing at planes in the same area, the phone recordings, the videos and the general probability. You repeatedly misstate my posts to try and make your own points.

And re the Cold War - again, I've responded to your horseshit with a long post on another thread wherein I told you why I felt the USSR was superficially attractive to some Russians, why it wasn't a nice place and why I felt Putin is trying to recreate some of the same regime conditions. Go back and re read that post and stop trying to re argue the issue afresh.
I'm going to reply to all your posts in one, at least the parts worth responding to, so anyone who wants context may need to hunt and peck to find all the things I'm replying too.


I didn't say you made the claim about radar. A "source" was quoted as saying that. I'm pointing out how unreliable sources are. Don't be so defensive. I'm not attacking you. Calm down. In fact, read it again, I said "he", not "you". "He" wants something, like hits on "his" blog. "He's" making it all up. "he", not "you". Given your apparently problems with reading comprehension, are you sure you want to keep throwing accusations around?

As for "reliable" western media, do you really trust the CNN "experts"? Have they ever had experts on in a field you're well versed in? Have you noticed how much bullshit they told? I absolutely don't trust CNN. Or Fox. Or NBC/ABC/CBS. In fact, one of the few media sources I have any faith in at all is BBC. And the BBC, generally speaking, hasn't made any conclusive implications of a directed Russian invasion in Ukraine. Not generally. Some op-ed pieces have, but they are obviously opinion pieces, they don't try to hide behind them as "factual reporting". They use terms like, "unconfirmed reports". That's what an unbiased media does. Meanwhile, CNN headlines: "What can Obama do about Russian invasion of Ukraine?" You don't see a big difference between the two? The BBC has a good grasp of giving facts and evidence, presenting what's known and not known, and not drawing conclusions. There was a really good article, for example, on Russian tanks in Ukraine. While the bulk of US media was saying "Here's how we know Russia is in Ukraine", BBC had big bold letters saying Russia denies involvement, and then shows the images of tanks flying Russian flags moving through border towns. It points out that this is compelling evidence that Russia may be involved in Ukraine, but also points out that pro-Russian separatists wouldn't necessarily be against flying Russian flags as well. The terms like "evidence" and "may" are what's missing from western media's reporting, as well as the bulk of the posts here that speak as though these are known facts.

These aren't known facts. It's LIKELY that Russia has supplied equipment and other support to separatist forces, but there's no actual proof of it. Knowledge of that is not a fait accompli no matter how much you rail against it and stamp your feet and claim otherwise. And just to reiterate what I've been saying, I don't deny that Russia might be behind it all. In fact, I'm certain they are personally. I've never said otherwise. I've just said it's hilarious to me the way anything put out by Russian media is "propaganda" while the western media and misc blogs are being quoted as if they were gospel. The fact that you think the propaganda machine only works one way is what I am commenting on, I'm not saying that Russia is obviously uninvolved and anyone that thinks they are is an idiot.


With regards to Channel One and your facebook pals, I don't know how many you know, but it's not exactly considered a "reliable source" in Russia. It's viewed in the same way Fox News is in the US. Lots and lots of viewers, and the bulk of them watch to laugh at them. Yes, some believe it, but again, some people in the US believe all kinds of nonsense too. Tell me, why am I "anti-US" for thinking this, while you can know one (or maybe a small handful of people that likely all know each other and therefore share similar tenets and beliefs) crazy Russian that believes all kinds of nonsense and just decide that this small sample is representative of the bulk of Russians? Besides, there has yet to be any evidence that Channel One is responsible for fabricating the story. Someone came forward with a story to tell, they conducted an interview and aired it. For all we know, Channel One's only mistake is not fact-checking. Is the West exempt form doing this? 60 Minutes would argue they aren't, not after they aired their story provided by "eyewitness testimony" from Dylan Davies about events in Libya. You ASSUME they fabricated the story, but how do we know it wasn't a story made up by the person being interviewed that was seeking their 15 minutes of fame? We don't. Now I wouldn't put it past Channel One, they're not exactly known for reliability, but that's the whole point... They have a reputation, even in Russia. And despite what you're kook facebook friends have to say, these aren't commonly believed stories in Russia.


And "someone" (I honestly don't remember who, so I don't know why you put it in "") did respond to a Russian claiming that Canada should join the war against Ukraine by saying Canadians would rather kill Russians. I interpreted that as military action. I may have been mistaken about what was meant, but I don't think it's a stretch to interpret it that way. As you said, it's available for anyone to read and I didn't see anyone else telling me I was crazy for making that assumption. As for Canada helping Ukraine, I've been pretty up front about Canada's military capabilities. I was berated for "being off topic" though. But since you bring it up, I'll respond again. I'm sure I'll be told I'm off topic again, but whatever... If it's brought it up by you and no one has a problem with that, then it's fair game for me to respond as far as I'm concerned. During Gulf I, Canada showed up with no bombs or missiles and asked the US to supply them, and aircraft that were so outdated they couldn't handle the "advanced" munitions that were being deployed, so we were relegated to flying defensive air patrols. Notice I said "we". I was there. I was assigned to fly circles over an American carrier group with 1970's missiles and kinetic bullets supplied by the Americans because they were the only munitions they had that our weapon system could interface with. We did try some of the fancier stuff, like AMRAAMs and HARMs, but our computer couldn't talk to them. So it was sidewinders and bullets, which made us capable of only short-range, air-to-air engagements. That meant we couldn't fly advanced combat air patrol, we couldn't fly ground support, we couldn't fly interdiction, we couldn't fly ground strike, we could fly air-superiority... Our "multi-role" fighter/interceptor/bomber was basically AWACS with a few missiles only useful as a last line of defence in rear areas. In Afghanistan, our brand new artillery (the M777 to be specific, so you can look it up) was only deployed in 1 mission because we couldn't afford ammunition for it. Canada has roughly 68,000 personnel, primary and reserve, which includes an extremely bloated officer and logistics corps. We can field at most 3,000 fighting men at any given time. Ukraine has an active military of 90,000 and a reserve force of 1,000,000. They are absolutely underequipped and underfunded, spending about 1/20th of what Canada spends. But tell me, how useful will we be to Ukraine if we can't afford to put bullets in our guns? Yes, Ukraine suffers that same problem, but the question isn't "How effective is the Ukrainian military?" but "How much support can the Canadian military provide?" The answer is: none. Not in an offensive capability. And not enough to mount any meaningful peacekeeping force. I suppose we could do defensive operations, but given our track record, we'd be asking Ukraine, with their budget a fraction of our own, to divert supplies from their own people to ours. Does that sound helpful to you? Also bear in mind that Ukrainian bullets wouldn't even work for us even if they did agree to let us "help" and give us supplies. They use weapons that fire 5.45x39mm and 7.62x39mm rounds, while we require the 5.56x45mm and 7.62x51mm NATO rounds. Even their bullets would be useless to us.

You also need to consider Canadian rules of engagement. Historically, ours have been ridiculously strict. During the Bosnian civil war, there were jokes that Canadian soldiers could attack an openly hostile threat only after all the Canadians were killed. Of course, the rules weren't THAT strict, but they were strict enough that the joke was made. Even if Afghanistan, there were constant complaints about our ROE's. Some countries have even complained that they don't want to fight with Canadians because we're so restrictive on ROE that we'll actually hinder their efforts. Given that Ukraine is fighting a civilian force in civilian areas, what exactly do you think we'd do anyway? Are we going to suddenly relax our rules and start bombing civilians like Ukraine is? No, we won't. So we'd end up just getting in the way.

In any case, Ukraine has what matters: boots on the ground. It may lag behind in technology and be short on equipment, but so do the separatists they're fighting. A rifle and some bullets remain the best way to deal with small insurrections like these. You can't go bombing your own cities. Oh wait, no sorry, that's exactly what Ukraine is doing. Seriously, no one has a problem with this? You're going to trust reports from a government that's bombing it's own citizens and infrastructure? But in any case, I'm talking about their equipment, and they have, in spades, guns and bullets, and an arsenal that's identical, only larger, than the people they're fighting... like the Buk which the west media is saying "came" from Russia, and yet, even the western media has been found to report that the bulk of the rebel forces have come from Ukraine's own arsenal.

http://www.cnn.com/2014/07/20/world/europe/ukraine-rebels-weapons/

"He was proud to show off his unit's most prized possession -- a truck-mounted anti-aircraft unit that was Russian-made. He told us the weapon had been seized from a Ukrainian base."
"A few miles away, in the town of Kramatorsk, rebel fighters displayed two combat engineering tanks they said they had seized them from a local factory. Eastern Ukraine has long been a center of weapons production."

(It's interesting, however, that NOW the western media is able to use terms like "they said". Now suddenly they're willing to hedge their bets. I'm surprised they didn't put it in quotes. "Which 'he told us' had been 'seized' from a 'Ukrainian' base. Wink wink." )

There's also this:

http://www.defenseone.com/threats/2014/06/sending-weapons-ukraine-wont-help/85666/

"the ninth largest arms exporter in the world between 2008 and 2012"
"Other Ukrainian defense industry products include tanks, surface-to-air and air-to-air missiles and naval weapons. "
"This defense-industrial legacy is one of Ukraine’s biggest challenges today. It is concentrated in the country’s east and south, and is heavily dependent on the Russian market." (Gee, why would people in those areas that work in these factories be pro-Russian? Hmmmm....)
"Ukraine was the largest small arms exporter to the United States in 2012"
"Ukrainian arms reportedly also have found their way to both sides of the Syrian conflict." (NOTE: Reliable reporting, uses terms like "reportedly")
"Ukraine needs help, but the kind of help it needs cannot be reduced to shipments of military hardware."
"In the absence of real security reforms, no amount of U.S. or other well-meaning nation’s weaponry will make Ukraine safe from Russia or from itself."

Or there's globalsecurity's take on Ukraine:

http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/ukraine/industry.htm

"The military-industrial complex of Ukraine is the most advanced and developed branch of the state's sector of economy."
"The air and space complex consists of 18 design bureaus and 64 enterprises."
"In order to design and build ships and armaments for the Ukrainian Navy, 15 research and development institutes, 40 design bureaus and 67 plants have been brought together."
"Rocketry and missilery equipment, rockets, missiles, projectiles, and other munitions are designed and made at 6 design bureaus and 28 plants."
"The armor equipment is designed and manufactured at 3 design bureaus and 27 plants." (Quick math: 67 design bureaus, 186 plants)
"Ukraine's vast agricultural resources, port and shipbuilding facilities, machinery sector, transportation network, and skilled workforce created a favorable investment picture." (The US would never do something sketchy just to gain investment opportunities, would they? Can you think of any time they've done that in the past?)
"Ukraine is a considerable producer of military equipment, including tanks, military transport aircrafts, SAM complexes and optical equipment."
"The country's vast agricultural potential, its highly educated population, its transportation networks and the technological infrastructure it inherited from the Soviet Union provide Ukraine with excellent preconditions for strong economic growth." (Woah, hold in, it inherited educaiton, infrastructure and technology, and therefore a wealth of jobs and economic advantages from the USSR? But the USSR was horrible and bankrupt!!! That's why they lost the Cold War..... Or maybe it's not as you think).

[continued below]
 

BlueLaser

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[continued from above]

Oh but wait, you said eastern Ukraine has nothing but "outmoded coal mining", but here's the western media saying that not only are there factories that have at least some tanks, but that Eastern Ukraine has "long been a center of weapons production". There's Ukroboronservice, the state-run arms manufacturer... There's Yuzhmash, the largest industry in Ukraine. You know one thing that was made in Ukraine? Buk launchers. The steel industry and manufacturing is what everyone wants. Do you really think Europe is courting Ukraine for the fashion industry in Lviv or the banks (the vast majority of which are already based in Europe) in Kiev? But I digress again... My point is that Ukraine has an arsenal. Underfunded and poorly equipped, but an arsenal. What they need are the primary resources militaries use: food, bullets and gas. And sadly, when the evil Putin, the one you obviously think is bent on the downfall of Ukraine or however you want to phrase it, offered Ukraine cheap gas, they turned him down. When he offered peace talks, they turned him down. When he pulled his military training exercises back from the borders and offered to open a dialogue with the separatists, Ukraine turned him down.

As for Russian equipment, ask yourself this... are separatists driving Russian T-90 tanks? Nope. They're driving the old models, the same models Ukraine has themselves and that are built there. Tanks like the T-64. Who was the primary manufacturer of T-64's today? KMDB. The same people that make the new T-80 and T-84. A tank which Ukraine had 2,000 of, but bear in mind that Ukraine itself estimates approximately 30% of it's military arsenal isn't accounted for or kept track of, that's more than 600 tanks that could have made there way anywhere. In any case, you know what's interesting about KMDB? It's based in Karkiv. Eastern Ukraine. It'd also be easy to tell if the tanks are from Russia or Ukraine, since Ukraine equips their tanks with a different set of reactive armour. Since the US and Ukrainian intelligence services spotted these tanks being "delivered", surely they told us if it was Knozh or Kontakt-5 armour, right? I mean, they look vastly different. You don't find it a little suspicious the US has made no mention of that? No mention of which kind of armour it was? I do. Are the separatists using SA-21 Growler SAMs, made exclusively and deployed exclusively in Russia, or even SA-13 Gophers and SA-12 Giants that are the current main line air defence in Russia? Nope, they're using SA-11's fired by Buk launchers, the most common and widely distributed of all Soviet-era air-defence artillery, the same kind used by the Ukrainian military and manufactured in Ukrainian factories.. also used by Belarus and made in Belorussian factories, and used by Bulgaria and made in Bulgarian factories, and used by Georgia and made in Georgian factories. Do you know who the major manufacturer of Buk launchers is worldwide? Ukroboronservice. An arms manufacturer. Based in Ukraine. A subsidiary of Ukrspetsexport, a Ukrainian-based arms distributor. In fact, it's not only Ukrainian-based, it's state-owned. Worse still, numerous intelligence agencies have reported that Ukrspetsexport is known to sell arms to anyone, even terrorists. Remember the big WikiLeaks scandal of US diplomatic cables? You can find a whole host of them about the flow of arms from Ukraine via Ukrspetsexport to terrorists in the middle east. In fact, the cables go further than that. If you think the US is only interested in helping Ukraine and has never tried to pressure or direct the direction Ukraine is taking, you might want to peruse the cables... You can find a whole series of them that contain are about US efforts to destabilize the Party of Regions government, block any movement away from the west, and a host of other shady practices. Feel free to text search them... I'll save you some time and give you the link to cables that mention Ukrspetsexport specifically:

https://cablegatesearch.wikileaks.org/search.php?q=Ukrspetsexport&qo=0&qc=0&qto=2010-02-28

So really, Ukraine is fighting the exact same equipment it has, with the exact same shortages. It doesn't matter if they're outdated and underfunded, because they're fighting against the same thing. What they do have is boots on the ground and ROE that let them engage the civilian rebels, which is what they need, and which is exactly what Canada CANNOT and WILL NOT supply.

I don't hate Kiev. I love Kiev. It's a beautiful city. I also Ukrainians. They're a fantastic, resilient people that have been pawns in other people's games for too long. More Ukrainians died in WWII than Nazis. 7 million Ukrainians, 6.5 million Nazis, because the Ukrainians were treated like slave labour by the Soviet Union and no one from the west seemed to care. We certainly didn't go help them. We were more concerned about the West. Not that I have a problem with the West. Canada spent a lot of time in the Netherlands and there are not enough words to express how much I love the Dutch people and the Dutch culture. I'm not angry we helped the Dutch, I don't think we should have abandoned the Dutch to help Ukraine, I'm just saying that Ukrainians have been ignored for a long, long time... during which they were abused and mistreated, and now suddenly the west pretends it cares? Now that Ukraine's economy is strengthening, now that they have cheap industry and a large, eager workforce with an infrastructure to support industry? I see why the west suddenly cares about Ukraine and Ukranians... And it sadly has nothing to do with what Ukrainians want or what's best for them... it's all about what the West can get. The difference is that Russia never hid that fact. All Russia ever wanted, all the way back to the days after the Kievan Rus was fractured, was to take, take, take from Ukraine. The difference between you and I is that I realize both sides just want to abuse Ukrainians more, while you seem to believe one side is benevolent. I have no idea why, has the US done something recently that would tell you they're military actions and political supports are benevolent?

I would like to see a strong, independent Ukraine. The problem is that they are STILL being treated like pawns. In my opinion, the current crisis is little more than a proxy war between the west and Russia. The difference between me and you isn't what you think it is. You say I loathe the west and imply that I revere Putin... the truth is quite different. I think Putin is a megalomaniac that would like to see Ukraine hewn in two, with the intellectual side, rich with no resources and no manufacturing, free to do anything it wants, even if that means join Europe, while the cheap labour and resource rich East returns to the fold. That's pretty close to what most people think (although I suspect most think he wants all of Ukraine and have no idea what the East has to offer). The difference is that I don't see the West as blameless here. The West, I firmly believe, supported the Euromaidan movement and essentially orchestrated what amounts to a coup, because they also want the rich Eastern parts of Ukraine.

I believe we have the West supporting the pro-Western population and having no problem with innocent Ukrainian civilians being killed by the Pro-West government while they were appalled at the pro-East government doing the same thing on a smaller scale, and Russia supporting pro-Russian insurrection. I believe we have two "bad" sides trying to play puppet-master. You believe only one side is bad. That's the difference. You can paint me as "anti-Kiev" if you want, or paint me as "anti-US", but that doesn't make it true.

There's a reason I joined the Canadian military. I could have joined a different one. I love Canada, I love my time in the Canadian military and I'm proud of our heritage. I'm saddened it's been crippled and stripped bare, and even more saddened that Canadians by and large don't care enough to realize the truth of how pitiful they've allowed their military to become or how their attempts to be a peaceloving nation even during modern times of war have hurt our reputation and abilities. I also love Europe. For quite a long time now I've been considering moving to Europe. Just because I'm able to point out their flaws in the treatment of Ukraine doesn't mean I loathe them. It doesn't mean I think they're evil. They're just looking out for their interests. I'm not "anti-West" and I'm not "pro-Russia". I'd much rather see the US remain the supreme power in the world than see a Russia strong enough to compete with them. You don't know anything about me and yet you seem to have no problems passing judgement on me. It's frankly pretty insulting.

At the end of the day, I see a Russia that's trying to pretend it cares and making token gestures to try and look like the good guys. I see a Western world that's put on their best virginal robes and bats their eyelashes trying to play innocent while pointing fingers at Russia, all with their fingers crossed behind their back.

If you really care about Ukraine, you'll realize what's best for Ukraine isn't the West OR Russia. What's best for Ukraine is a little of both. Russia has always been a staple trade partner with Ukraine, and that isn't changing. Ukraine also has sectors that are of no value or interest to Russia, and they need the West to help them increase in those areas to strengthen and stabilize them. You can't have Ukraine without the pro-Russian factory workers in the East, and you can't have Ukraine without the liberal, Europe-loving bankers and architects in the West. Believing this and believing this is a tug-of-war between the West and Russia that Ukraine is stuck in the middle of doesn't make me anti-Kiev or anti-US.
 

BlueLaser

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Bring on the complaints about how big my post/s was/were, but it's pretty clear that I was being accused of being a liar and various other things. I've said my peace. You won't get more long posts in this thread from me. Promise. Everything that I feel needs to be said, I've said. And you can just read the bold parts if you want a summary of my points.
 

stay

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Bring on the complaints about how big my post/s was/were, but it's pretty clear that I was being accused of being a liar and various other things. I've said my peace. You won't get more long posts in this thread from me. Promise. Everything that I feel needs to be said, I've said. And you can just read the bold parts if you want a summary of my points.
Like all the books in school, I read the opening paragraph and the back page. Where is the damn Coles notes?
One could say that what is termed as the seperatist may very well be a people who want self-determination and realize that ttheir "lot" in life is best with the hand that fed them.
Unfortunately so much proproganda is being spread.
The other truth is that it is unlikely that Germany will be bailing out Ukraine in perpetuity.
 

stay

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Pretty big, racist generalizations here.

And the corruption is one of the things that the younger generation is trying to change.
It has been that way in the western ( Northern ) part of Ukraine for years, even Poland didn't want the region.
One post a while ago said something along the line of basically wiping out every person who is in power and in opposition and start over.
There are people in the economic circles that see the impending collapse of Ukraine.
The youth were paid to protest in Kiev, is that wanting a change or is that wanting some money, hard to say you want to fight for something as long as you are paid.
Are the seperatist paid or are they the townsfolk wanting to hold on to a life that was stable?

Oagre: it may come off as racist but it is what some/ many? Ukrainians think, I don't know myself. I only know what my wife tells me and what her brother, who lives in Ukraine tells her about what has been going on. Maybe proproganda. In any event the situation is piz ditz
 
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BlueLaser

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Like all the books in school, I read the opening paragraph and the back page. Where is the damn Coles notes?
One could say that what is termed as the seperatist may very well be a people who want self-determination and realize that ttheir "lot" in life is best with the hand that fed them.
Unfortunately so much proproganda is being spread.
The other truth is that it is unlikely that Germany will be bailing out Ukraine in perpetuity.
Coles notes are the bold lines.
 

mandrill

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Bring on the complaints about how big my post/s was/were, but it's pretty clear that I was being accused of being a liar and various other things. I've said my peace. You won't get more long posts in this thread from me. Promise. Everything that I feel needs to be said, I've said. And you can just read the bold parts if you want a summary of my points.
Know something? I'm not even going to bother replying to your post. If I did, it would be even longer than yours. In any event, you're a moving target and I'm sure I'd get something back from you with a ton more small changes of position.

Have a nice night.
 

BlueLaser

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Know something? I'm not even going to bother replying to your post. If I did, it would be even longer than yours. In any event, you're a moving target and I'm sure I'd get something back from you with a ton more small changes of position.

Have a nice night.
np. I appreciate the honesty. It's much better than the cop-out many people use of "Holy shit I didn't even read it!" when we all know they did.

Did you at least find the links about the state of Ukraine's manufacturing and arms industry interesting?






Some food for thought, from the article I read most recently about MH17...

"Putin and Merkel agreed Saturday in a phone call that an independent commission led by the International Civil Aviation Organization should be granted swift access to the crash site."

Can anyone really doubt that Ukrainians are anything but pawns in this game when Russia and Germany are the ones making the decisions about what will occur in Ukraine's borders? Why wasn't this discussion held with Poroshenko? The Dutch and the Americans had a lot to say about who should be running the investigation too. Were Germany, Russia, USA and The Netherlands giving opinions on who should oversea the investigation into Air France 447 or Swiss Air 111 or Air India 182? Imagine China Hainan crashed outside Quebec City and suddenly the US and the Dutch are saying, "ICAO shall be given swift access to conduct the investigation." Just think how quickly we'd be giving them all the one finger salute and sending in the TSB instead. I realize Poroshenko had already said that ICAO will be given full access and all Ukrainian assistance to investigate, but the point is why do Russia and Germany have to or get to "agree" on anything? It's like Ukraine is being treated like a child unable to make it's own decisions. Even if you want to argue that Russia is speaking on behalf of the protesters, this would still be a discussion with strong Ukrainian and non-existent German representation. This is why the East sees the "pro-West Government" as nothing but pawns and why they want at the very least to be independent and have a say in these decisions. If I was Prime Minister of Canada (or Chancellor of Germany) and Putin called me up and said "Privyt Tovarishch. I think it would be agreeable for all if ICAO is given access to the crash in Ukraine. You would agree, moy drug, da?" My response would be "Why are you calling me? Do you need Petro's number? I am sure I can get it for you."
 

danmand

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Bring on the complaints about how big my post/s was/were, but it's pretty clear that I was being accused of being a liar and various other things. I've said my peace. You won't get more long posts in this thread from me. Promise. Everything that I feel needs to be said, I've said. And you can just read the bold parts if you want a summary of my points.
I, for one, want to thank you for well researched and well written posts.
 

mandrill

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np. I appreciate the honesty. It's much better than the cop-out many people use of "Holy shit I didn't even read it!" when we all know they did.

Did you at least find the links about the state of Ukraine's manufacturing and arms industry interesting?

Some food for thought, from the article I read most recently about MH17...

"Putin and Merkel agreed Saturday in a phone call that an independent commission led by the International Civil Aviation Organization should be granted swift access to the crash site."

Can anyone really doubt that Ukrainians are anything but pawns in this game when Russia and Germany are the ones making the decisions about what will occur in Ukraine's borders? Why wasn't this discussion held with Poroshenko? The Dutch and the Americans had a lot to say about who should be running the investigation too. Were Germany, Russia, USA and The Netherlands giving opinions on who should oversea the investigation into Air France 447 or Swiss Air 111 or Air India 182? Imagine China Hainan crashed outside Quebec City and suddenly the US and the Dutch are saying, "ICAO shall be given swift access to conduct the investigation." Just think how quickly we'd be giving them all the one finger salute and sending in the TSB instead. I realize Poroshenko had already said that ICAO will be given full access and all Ukrainian assistance to investigate, but the point is why do Russia and Germany have to or get to "agree" on anything? It's like Ukraine is being treated like a child unable to make it's own decisions. Even if you want to argue that Russia is speaking on behalf of the protesters, this would still be a discussion with strong Ukrainian and non-existent German representation. This is why the East sees the "pro-West Government" as nothing but pawns and why they want at the very least to be independent and have a say in these decisions. If I was Prime Minister of Canada (or Chancellor of Germany) and Putin called me up and said "Privyt Tovarishch. I think it would be agreeable for all if ICAO is given access to the crash in Ukraine. You would agree, moy drug, da?" My response would be "Why are you calling me? Do you need Petro's number? I am sure I can get it for you."
I did, but neither they nor you provided me with any new information. Ukraine has a large defence industry making components for the Russian armed forces' equipment. It's a variant on what's called a "branch plant economy" closely integrated with Russia. The articles also note the hopeless corruption on all levels of the Ukrainian state. Making engine parts for Antonov's - or whatever they make - doesn't necessarily make your army well prepared to fight a war. If a factory in Brampton produced avionics by sub contract to Lockheed, that wouldn't necessarily provide artillery ammunition to Canadians in Afghanistan. And certainly not when your factory owner and the poiticians who got him the job and their hangers-on and cronies skim the profits, as opposed to ploughing it back into the national budget.

I've also seen numerous articles and videos of Ukrainian govt troops complaining that they have no food, uniforms, helmets, etc. And I posted an article wherein a Ukrainian source complained that the fighting capacity of the Uke army had been so heavily degraded since the break-up of the Soviet Union that they could field only 6,000 fighting troops at the end of March, due to lack of equipment and training.

The Ukrainians crowd-funded to buy supplies for their Nat Gvardia units.

Re Putin and Merkel, I don't see that as supporting your position. The separatists control the crash site area. Putin sort of controls the separatists, some of the time. Or doesn't, depending on what game he is playing from day to day. And Merkel has more leverage w Putin than Petro does. So the Canada analogy is pretty off target.

Anything else you want me to comment on?
 

mandrill

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Aug 23, 2001
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As the crisis surrounding the plane crash deepens and as calls for Vladimir Putin to act grow louder, it’s worth noting that they’re not really getting through to Putin’s subjects. The picture of the catastrophe that the Russian people are seeing on their television screens is very different from that on screens in much of the rest of the world, and the discrepancy does not bode well for a sane resolution to this stand-off.

Western media has been vacillating for days between calling Putin a murderer and peppering their coverage with allegedlys, telling the heart-rending tales of the victims, scrounging for anonymous leaks to link the Russians to the downed jet, and punditizing about exit ramps.

But in Russia, television—most of it owned or controlled by the Kremlin—is trying to muddy the water with various experts who insist that there is no way that an SA-11 missile system could possibly have downed a plane flying that high. And, mind you, this is not part of a larger debate of could they, or couldn’t they; this is all of Russian television and state-friendly papers pushing one line: the pro-Russian separatists we’ve been supporting all these months couldn’t have done this. Watching some of these Russian newscasts, one comes away with the impression of a desperate defense attorney scrounging for experts and angles, or a bad kid caught red-handed by the principal, trying to twist his way out of a situation in which he has no chance.

And that’s when they’re not simply peddling conspiracy theories, which have become a kind of symbiotic feedback loop between state TV and the most inventive corners of the Internet. The best of the bunch is, of course, an elaborate one: MH17 is actually MH370, that Malaysia Airlines flight that disappeared into the Indian Ocean. According to this theory, the plane didn’t disappear at all, “it was taken to an American military base, Diego-Garcia.”

Then it was taken to Holland. On the necessary day and hour, it flew out, bound for Malaysia, but inside were not live people, but corpses. The plane was flown not by real pilots; it was on autopilot. Or take-off (a complicated procedure) was executed by live pilots, who then ejected on parachutes. Then the plane flew automatically. In the necessary spot, it was blown up, without even using a surface-to-air missile. Instead the plane was packed with a bomb, just like the CIA did on 9/11.


The theory also notes that the passports of victims at the crash site all look brand new even though there was an explosion and a fire. “That is, the passports were tossed in [after the crash].” And, most damingly, all the victims’ Facebook pages were created in one day and the media is not showing any of the victims’ families, just the crash site. Though this is not true of Western media, Russian television has not featured any of this. “There’s very little talk about the human cost of this catastrophe,” says independent television analyst Arina Borodina, formerly of the prominent Russian daily Kommersant. “Instead we’re seeing these unbelievable versions. For example, that someone had actually been hunting for the president or that some of the locals saw parachutists coming down from a height of 30,000 feet.”

But though it may look unconvincing to us in the West, that is because we have seen and read other things that contradict it. The Russian media space has become so uniform and independent voices so cowed and marginalized that there is no counterweight and, when there’s no counterweight, if you repeat a thing often enough, it becomes the truth.

his isn’t an innocent you-say-tomato moment; this is a very problematic development. The result of all this Russian coverage is that Russians’ understanding of what happened is as follows. At best, the crash is an unfortunate accident on the part of the Ukrainian military that the West is trying to pin on Russia, which had nothing to do with it; at worst, it is all part of a nefarious conspiracy to drag Russia into an apocalyptic war with the West. So whereas the West sees the crash as a game-changer, the Russians do not see why a black swan event has to change anything or they want to resist what they see is a provocation. To them, after a few days of watching Russian television, it’s not at all clear what happened nor that their government is somehow responsible for this tragedy. And the more we insist on it, the less likely the Russians are to agree.

Floriana Fossato, a longtime scholar of Russian media, says that this, coupled with the media’s conscious use of the Soviet language of crisis—“traitors,” “fascists,” “fifth columns”—quickly brings to the surface the psychological demons of a society massively traumatized by the 20th century, traumas that society has never adequately addressed. The result, she says, is a kind of collective PTSD-meets-Stockholm Syndrome.

In Russians' view, “Americans have recreated the situation where they have excuse for intervention,” Fossato says. “No one admits that they are afraid, but they are. They are panicked. And they are right in being afraid because they know what happened, and they know there must be an answer to what is going on. And so they lock onto Putin for protection. This is why they don’t turn to Putin and ask him to do something.”

But in addition to the Russian public not clamoring for decisive action from Putin, there is a far more serious problem. As David Remnick noted in his column on the crash of MH17, Putin has become prisoner to his own propaganda machine, much as he’s become prisoner of the rebels he thought were doing his geopolitical dirty work in Ukraine.

After Putin’s ascent, media became the flexible element that could be readjusted for any twist or turn of the political rudder. “Today, it’s the opposite,” says Gleb Pavlovsky, a political consultant who helped Putin win his first election and was a Kremlin advisor for years afterwards. “It’s almost impossible to turn the rudder of the picture that’s formed on television because it would mean losing the audience they formed in this year” of sword-brandishing and imperialistic conquest.

This audience is now fired up and brandishing its own swords, and the propaganda apparatus, much like the rebels in eastern Ukraine, has rolled on an on, fed by inertia and paranoia, reproducing and magnifying itself with each newscast. The sensationalized newscasts are now neck-and-neck, ratings-wise, with the sitcoms. “It keeps people in a traumatized state,” Pavlovsky says. “It’s notable in media metrics, and in conversations with people. They lose their sanity, they become paranoid and aggressive.”


This has had a noticeable impact on the ruling class, Pavlovsky says, which has to watch this stuff in order to stay au courant. And they become less sane as a result, too, which limits their ability to adequately assess a situation such as this and devise a good way out of it.

“It’s noticeable that the Kremlin is much more tempered than Russian TV but can’t change it,” Pavlovsky says. “It’s fallen into a trap, so it's now trying to function within the strictures of this picture.” He cites the example of the PR contortions the Kremlin had to use just to announce that it would not send troops into eastern Ukraine. “In this seemingly controlled media, any rational political arguments of the state have to be hidden and packaged in idiotic, jingoistic rhetoric,” Pavlovsky says.

None of this looks very good for the West, which is clearly hoping that MH17 is the thing that will bring Putin to his senses and get him to agree to some kind of off-ramp, or, at least, a deescalation. But that’s hard to do if neither your public nor your political class see it as a game-changer or as anything that should force Russia to end this game.

“Of course it gets in Putin’s way. He has to be the hero of this TV material, he’s not free from it anymore,” says Pavlovsky. “I have a feeling not very comfortable right now.”
http://www.newrepublic.com/node/118782

Interesting article which brings out the point that mainstream Russian media thrives on bizarre horror stories and conspiracy theories and that Putin's freedom of action has now become severely trammelled by the media-generated Never-never-land created by his own bizarre propaganda.
 

mandrill

monkey
Aug 23, 2001
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Blue Lazer, pls read the above post and comment. We have had an ongoing debate wherein I tell you that Russian media propaganda is materially different from CNN and that the former operates at the level of a Kremlin-controlled "National Eqnquirer" and that it has a wide following among the majority of the population, including the educated classes. While CNN may be manipulated and cooperative with the State Dept, it does not run "lizardman stories" at the bequest of the administration, nor does the majority of the population believe in Lizardmen.

In Russia, it's different. The vast majority of the population appear to be paranoid, aggressive, angry and out of control. I continually see this in my inter action with Russian FB friends, most of whom have un friended me. I could give you numerous examples.

This is an interesting topic and is important to understanding the dynamics of the Ukraine conflict and why is continues.
 

danmand

Well-known member
Nov 28, 2003
47,009
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In Russia, it's different. The vast majority of the population appear to be paranoid, aggressive, angry and out of control. I continually see this in my inter action with Russian FB friends, most of whom have un friended me. I could give you numerous examples.

What a surprise.
 

benstt

Well-known member
Jan 20, 2004
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Re Putin and Merkel, I don't see that as supporting your position. The separatists control the crash site area. Putin sort of controls the separatists, some of the time. Or doesn't, depending on what game he is playing from day to day. And Merkel has more leverage w Putin than Petro does.
Tongue firmly in cheek here...

It is obvious that Germans are somehow in a position to control the pro-Russia separatist forces in the Ukraine, so Putin needed to strongarm Merkel into an agreeement on how the investigation should be handled.
 

GPIDEAL

Prolific User
Jun 27, 2010
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Bring on the complaints about how big my post/s was/were, but it's pretty clear that I was being accused of being a liar and various other things. I've said my peace. You won't get more long posts in this thread from me. Promise. Everything that I feel needs to be said, I've said. And you can just read the bold parts if you want a summary of my points.
I don't have time to read your long post so an abbreviated version would be nice that's unabridged.

I have a conspiracist friend who thinks it's the west making Putin look bad and that it wasn't the rebels because they don't have the capability, nor would Russia want them to cause shit as it doesn't help.

While I do believe in certain conspiracies and that the western MSM is a propaganda source of the West, I don't believe this is a false flag operation.

Not saying that you believe this is a false flag operation, but just my own two cents added again.
 
Ashley Madison
Toronto Escorts