Maybe (although, I thing, the difference is at lest by the ordered of 10), but the infection rate is much higher than for flue, hence, the total number of severe cases is also much higher. So, what we are doing now is trying to prolong the epidemic: instead of everybody getting sick, collecting dead bodies (most severe cases will die because there is not enough medical equipment to support everybody at the same time) and be back to "normal" (for the bast majority of us who will survive) in a few month, we are prolonging the epidemic trying to have the same total number of infected and serious cases over longer period of time so a much larger proportion of serious cases will survive, but the epidemic will go for a year instead of 2-3 month. Maybe we will be even be able to lower the number of total infections if not everybody will get infected by next Spring and the vaccine will be ready by February.
Will Social Distancing End?
- Thread starter bebe
- Start date
Maybe (although, I thing, the difference is at lest by the ordered of 10), but the infection rate is much higher than for flue, hence, the total number of severe cases is also much higher. So, what we are doing now is trying to prolong the epidemic: instead of everybody getting sick, collecting dead bodies (most severe cases will die because there is not enough medical equipment to support everybody at the same time) and be back to "normal" (for the bast majority of us who will survive) in a few month, we are prolonging the epidemic trying to have the same total number of infected and serious cases over longer period of time so a much larger proportion of serious cases will survive, but the epidemic will go for a year instead of 2-3 month. Maybe we will be even be able to lower the number of total infections if not everybody will get infected by next Spring and the vaccine will be ready by February.
Both are good points. There be 5 or 6 waves, depending on Bill Gates attempts to stop the extra waves maybe more or a bit less. Like other said, Canadians will stop, have die off, then start again.
Then the next expected new Virus in a few years = repeat. Somewhere along the line, things will change structurally but until a few million die in the west from this issue probably not.
Studied this issue and the models 30 years ago and much is coming out like the models suggest - the human stupid factor always remains the same- well this time the world is really working together more than ever expected so there is a lot of hope. End China/3rd world connections. Quarantine all travelers for 14 days in jail like area. End easy travel to 2nd world 3rd world and end manufacturing in 3rd world, and you can end the new cycle. Or take your chances and it might be all good.
Then good luck getting a bed in the ICU, although I wouldn't count on a ventilator.
The flu does not kill 250k people globally in a season. Not on par. And those projections have not changed.
Ahhh, this all makes sense now, this will be the "new and improved" flu. "Sustainability in Agenda 21" all making sense now.
Just had to read your post for it to make sense, another piece to the puzzle.
Because we already have developed some immunity to the flu and have a vaccine for it. Let covid run its course so we develop similar immunity. Develop the vaccine.
A bit of short term pain for long term gain.
canada-man
Well-known member
prepare for civil unrest. nobody will tolerate being forced into lockdowns during the summer.
BS. 30 more days of the strict enforcement and then the gradual loosening.
Assuming there is no change in strain. Even with flu there are 2 common strains, the vaccine everyone gets each year is a guess at which strain will be spreading. Hence why some years the vaccine doesn't work. I keep seeing articles about other strains with this particular coronavirus but nothing credible yet.
Talking to a number of people I know. Surprising many were very sick just before Christmas . with a persistent cough. I have a feeling many in Canada already had it and recovered...….I am in favour for a few more weeks of this and slowly going back to normal
That is what I am hoping for. End of April.
EDIT: I say that and then Trudeau announces months off before going back to work.
Ugh.
The question is "How long before social distancing will end?" We may be able to go back to work in 2-3 months, businesses will open, but practicing social distancing will continue, keeping six feet away, no more handshaking, strict hand hygiene, mask-wearing will continue for another 18-24 months. Don't expect to be back to normal, there will be a new normal. I know you all want to see an escort but even after 3 months, I wouldn't think it's safe.
I had a flu in mid DECEMBER that involved all the symptoms plus fluid in my chest that lasted for over three weeks. Today, I would be under quarantine waiting for a test or hospitalized. My point being, I treated it as a seasonal occurrence without losing my shit. This is how we are going to overcome it. We will concentrate on protecting the people with the underlying conditions and seniors and the rest of us will go on with our lives. We simply cannot self isolate for another 6 or 12 months. Neither the economy can survive it nor the people will tolerate it. If you want to see abject poverty and the bylaw officers dead then, by all means, wait.
Think the people of Canada will reach the breaking point before the end of April and push the Governments to resume normal life.
How does one start a petition? Bet the list would have millions of names in short order to let life return to normal within 2 weeks.
canada-man
Well-known member
Sounds like Trudeau expects us to hang out for a few months and then gradually get back at it...
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-return-to-work-will-be-graduated-and-likely-months-off-trudeau-says/
I'm going nuts already.
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-return-to-work-will-be-graduated-and-likely-months-off-trudeau-says/
I'm going nuts already.
The stupidity of our leaders is off the charts. Sure in China they had 11 weeks of lockdown. Here Cottage season is about to kick off. People here won’t sit idle for 3 months.
I see people commenting on my facebook page both leaders are from different parties but what a great job Trudeau and ford are doing ,
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