Unbelievably lucky on Week 6 - hoping to continue the trend. This thread will be updated with the latest available lines (starting with the Stardust lines up to and including the early OLGC Point Spread lines) until Friday morning.
Some early Stardust numbers are up-more to come tomorrow.
Colts vs Texans 0-5 54/141 - The Colts are coming off a Monday night beating of StL Some people will say -the Colts won because Bulger got hurt early...well, like I say -so what? That's football. There are no what ifs, only wins and losses. Manning showed why he's the best QB in the league, the D showed up and shut the Rams down with their back up QB at the helm . As for the Texans, I don't even know what to say...ok - the good news -Carr only got turfed three times against Seattle, in Seattle. Everything else is bad -they lost 42-10 only 14 first downs, 227 total yards, 160 passing (pathetic), 67 rushing (pitiful). 6 for 16 on 3rd down conversions - its bad enough they converted less than 50%, but they're in 3rd down calls that much. Carr was 19 for 33 179 yds and a td. RB Davis had 40 yds on 18 carries (2 yds a carry? wow). Houstons D allowed 2 3rd and long (really long) rushing conversions for 1st downs - they have no D line, the linebackers tackle like girlscouts and the secondary stinks. Indy will win. Period. By how much? maybe 3 tds? possibly more. Maybe Manning is going for a bonus -in which case, Houston is dead.lol. Stardust has this at 16 -I'll take 16 all day.
Steelers 3-2 122/82 3-2 in conference games vs Bengals 5-1 155/84 3-1 conference - The Steelers looked painfully average without Ben and Ward. Ben is scheduled to start, I'm more curious about Ward playing. The Steelers are not as good without Ben (although to me he just manages games -he doesn't go out and necessarily win them).The Jacksonville loss was huge 23-17 - because now, teams aren't afraid of them anymore (kind of like New England) - the defenses vs their O line was more ferocious. Maddox was 11-28 154 yds 1 td and 3 ints (thats huge). 16 1st dns only 218 total yards (145 pass, only 73 rush) - Bettis and Parker 21 attempts for 55 yds (I think it's time to get the Bus rolling again, Parker for the 3rd week, looks like a rookie). They couldn't buy a 3rd down 1-12 with 4 turnovers. The Steelers are beatable -I'm taking the Bengals. Palmer can play- 148 passing plays without an int. This team is disciplined (4 penalties) and they are efficient (24 first downs, no turn overs). They beat the Titans at home 31-23. This is a divisional game -a Bengal win will stretch their divisional lead against the Steelers. Bengals are favored in Vegas by 1.5.
Lions 2-3 91/96 1-3 conf vs Browns 2-3 68/90 0-3 conf - Personally, I wouldn't bet this game. Both teams suck. Detroit lost at home vs Car 21-20. Harrington has about 2 weeks before he loses his job, after 4 years its time to show something. They had a minute left for the win - 1 minute and they couldn't hold on...at home AGAINST a 75 year old back up QB who hasnt seen daylight since 2002! The Lions had 11 first downs (bad), 4 for 15 on 3rd downs (holy shit bad!) 209 total yds (157 pass,52 rush-are you kidding) 3 fumbles and 1 int. Harringtons individual numbers were ok - 17/28 for 201 yds but no throwing tds and 1 int. The only bright spot was Kennedy on D -10 solo tackles, 12 total. Cleveland was shut down by Baltimore-16 to 3. These yoyos werent much better than Detroit 12 first downs, 3 turnovers, 4 for 11 in 3rd downs, 186 total yds (116 pass, 70 rush) Dilfer was 16/30 147, 0 tds and 1 int - I guess this will quiet some of the people who were whining when the Ravens cut Dilfer -Dilfer sucks. But like I said in the past, all things being equal; if you have to bet, bet on the QBs. But...what if they both equally suck? Stardust opened this at Cle -2.5.
Niners 1-4 79/160 4 losses in a row vs Skins 3-2 83/86 lost 2 in a row- Tough road loss for Wsh in KC 28-21 (didn't cover by .5 -darn it). The offense looked great again, 2nd week in a row, 2 losses - with these numbers how do they lose? 26 first downs, 398 total yards (297 pass, 101 rush) Moss went for 10 balls for 173 yds and 2 tds. Brunnell 25/41 331y 3 tds and no ints. Now it's the 3 turnovers that screwed them - if they can take care of the ball -they win. Simple. Is Arrington becoming a distraction? Screw him -don't trade him (nobody wants this goof) and don't cut him( he keeps his signing bonus), let him sit. Besides Warrick Holdman ( a journeyman player) is a better fit as a strong side linebacker and Marcus Washington is solid. The Niners are coming off a bye....also coming off their 4th loss in a row. Fact of the matter is -they don't score much and they give up a ton of points. They're minus 81 -thats more than they scored all year. This is going to be a tough road game, in an inhospitable environment, with possibly shitty weather. Give it to the skins. But stardust opened this at Skins -10.5. Thats a lot, hopefully it'll go down.
Some early Stardust numbers are up-more to come tomorrow.
Colts vs Texans 0-5 54/141 - The Colts are coming off a Monday night beating of StL Some people will say -the Colts won because Bulger got hurt early...well, like I say -so what? That's football. There are no what ifs, only wins and losses. Manning showed why he's the best QB in the league, the D showed up and shut the Rams down with their back up QB at the helm . As for the Texans, I don't even know what to say...ok - the good news -Carr only got turfed three times against Seattle, in Seattle. Everything else is bad -they lost 42-10 only 14 first downs, 227 total yards, 160 passing (pathetic), 67 rushing (pitiful). 6 for 16 on 3rd down conversions - its bad enough they converted less than 50%, but they're in 3rd down calls that much. Carr was 19 for 33 179 yds and a td. RB Davis had 40 yds on 18 carries (2 yds a carry? wow). Houstons D allowed 2 3rd and long (really long) rushing conversions for 1st downs - they have no D line, the linebackers tackle like girlscouts and the secondary stinks. Indy will win. Period. By how much? maybe 3 tds? possibly more. Maybe Manning is going for a bonus -in which case, Houston is dead.lol. Stardust has this at 16 -I'll take 16 all day.
Steelers 3-2 122/82 3-2 in conference games vs Bengals 5-1 155/84 3-1 conference - The Steelers looked painfully average without Ben and Ward. Ben is scheduled to start, I'm more curious about Ward playing. The Steelers are not as good without Ben (although to me he just manages games -he doesn't go out and necessarily win them).The Jacksonville loss was huge 23-17 - because now, teams aren't afraid of them anymore (kind of like New England) - the defenses vs their O line was more ferocious. Maddox was 11-28 154 yds 1 td and 3 ints (thats huge). 16 1st dns only 218 total yards (145 pass, only 73 rush) - Bettis and Parker 21 attempts for 55 yds (I think it's time to get the Bus rolling again, Parker for the 3rd week, looks like a rookie). They couldn't buy a 3rd down 1-12 with 4 turnovers. The Steelers are beatable -I'm taking the Bengals. Palmer can play- 148 passing plays without an int. This team is disciplined (4 penalties) and they are efficient (24 first downs, no turn overs). They beat the Titans at home 31-23. This is a divisional game -a Bengal win will stretch their divisional lead against the Steelers. Bengals are favored in Vegas by 1.5.
Lions 2-3 91/96 1-3 conf vs Browns 2-3 68/90 0-3 conf - Personally, I wouldn't bet this game. Both teams suck. Detroit lost at home vs Car 21-20. Harrington has about 2 weeks before he loses his job, after 4 years its time to show something. They had a minute left for the win - 1 minute and they couldn't hold on...at home AGAINST a 75 year old back up QB who hasnt seen daylight since 2002! The Lions had 11 first downs (bad), 4 for 15 on 3rd downs (holy shit bad!) 209 total yds (157 pass,52 rush-are you kidding) 3 fumbles and 1 int. Harringtons individual numbers were ok - 17/28 for 201 yds but no throwing tds and 1 int. The only bright spot was Kennedy on D -10 solo tackles, 12 total. Cleveland was shut down by Baltimore-16 to 3. These yoyos werent much better than Detroit 12 first downs, 3 turnovers, 4 for 11 in 3rd downs, 186 total yds (116 pass, 70 rush) Dilfer was 16/30 147, 0 tds and 1 int - I guess this will quiet some of the people who were whining when the Ravens cut Dilfer -Dilfer sucks. But like I said in the past, all things being equal; if you have to bet, bet on the QBs. But...what if they both equally suck? Stardust opened this at Cle -2.5.
Niners 1-4 79/160 4 losses in a row vs Skins 3-2 83/86 lost 2 in a row- Tough road loss for Wsh in KC 28-21 (didn't cover by .5 -darn it). The offense looked great again, 2nd week in a row, 2 losses - with these numbers how do they lose? 26 first downs, 398 total yards (297 pass, 101 rush) Moss went for 10 balls for 173 yds and 2 tds. Brunnell 25/41 331y 3 tds and no ints. Now it's the 3 turnovers that screwed them - if they can take care of the ball -they win. Simple. Is Arrington becoming a distraction? Screw him -don't trade him (nobody wants this goof) and don't cut him( he keeps his signing bonus), let him sit. Besides Warrick Holdman ( a journeyman player) is a better fit as a strong side linebacker and Marcus Washington is solid. The Niners are coming off a bye....also coming off their 4th loss in a row. Fact of the matter is -they don't score much and they give up a ton of points. They're minus 81 -thats more than they scored all year. This is going to be a tough road game, in an inhospitable environment, with possibly shitty weather. Give it to the skins. But stardust opened this at Skins -10.5. Thats a lot, hopefully it'll go down.
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