Biden could still win but it's not the rout some thought...I thought it could be.
U.S. 2020 Presidential Election Predictions
- Thread starter K Douglas
- Start date
Without Nevada I see Trump winning the election 283 to Biden's 249.
Add Biden to either and it wont matter then.
Nevada is very close, its down to <8000 votes with only 86% reporting. Good for 6 EV
Add Biden to either and it wont matter then.
Nevada is very close, its down to <8000 votes with only 86% reporting. Good for 6 EV
Looks like Biden will win with most of the late count coming in. Their voting system is a joke. We are a country of 30+ million and our election is decided in hours. States with less than half that amount can't get it done but Florida can. No wonder people down there have lost faith in the system. I'm not saying there is fraud going on but who really knows? What a shit show
It is America. The Americans want it this way.
It is the only way to create circus atmosphere around the election between two old men from the same party.
PS: It is this kind of democracy the Americans spend trillions of dollars to export to other countries.
Our voting system is similar yet we don't have these problems. We have early voting and mail in voting yet we don't have theses issues.
Yes, if they say what the experts think is right and the mail ballots are more democratic leaning...Biden may be able to hold on to Nevada, Arizona, Maine,Wisconsin and win just one of the tight races of Michigan, North Carolina or Georgia...I'm surprised Biden is getting shit kicked in Pennsylvannia.
But then again, Trump might not win Penn because of absentee ballots: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/04/upshot/biden-pennsylvania-election-ballots.html
Yes^^^...a lot of absentee votes are from Philly and they hate Trump...Biden is down a ton, he's got some catching up to do.
I was and am expecting Biden to squeak in the victory due to the mail in ballots counted last but we'll never know until every single ballot counts...Wisconsin just turned blue and biden ahead by 30k votes..I'm expecting Michigan to follow this pattern. Trump can have Pennsylvania and it won't matter. Looks like Biden might win the states that Hillary lost...those are the magic numbers...
There are no fucking election experts in my eyes after what happened in 2016...Like the polls again, they were off!...as expected, it was the rust belts that will decide the turnout...What Hillary lost could be Biden's victory.If Trump holds on the Michigan then Pennsylvania is the bloodbath state.
I think the absentee ballots might give Biden the win.
Oh well, I'm okay with Biden.
Would have preferred Trump, but at least Biden is a moderate
Oh well, I'm okay with Biden.
Would have preferred Trump, but at least Biden is a moderate
I doubt Trump will win Pennsylvania because there are 1+ million absentee ballots left to count, and around 70% of those will go to Biden
Our riding systems is much easier to make predictions on even when the vote is not all counted.
That is because the population in a riding is generallt homogenous such that when one side has a decent Lead and 50% of the vote is in you can easily make a call.
In the US states have very large demographic differences — rural vs urban — and are not homogenous like a riding in Canada. So it makes a massive difference who and who hasn’t counted. And when you add in a new factor like absentee voting this year due to pandemic it makes sense that it takes time.
On that math, there would have to be more than just 1 million absentee ballots for Trump to lose. Trump has a 600,000 lead. If 1,000,000 ballots broke 70% for Biden, that would only reduce the gap by 400,000.
