I was 2-2 and lost $10.The math that goes into setting odds is exhaustive I hear exactly what you're saying. When I put in a confidence factor often that is based on a gut feeling. Both games yesterday were super close and could have gone the other direction. The LIons D played better than I thought they would - they got pressure on Baker and forced two picks. That was the difference.
My bet with the Bills was more on hope than anything. Coming off a short week and missing their best LB it was an uphill battle from the start. But they easily had a chance to take it to extra time but the kicker shanked. Poor Bills fans have to put up with a lot.
Didn't lose much and still up over $100 over the weekend. Not bad.
In my pool, where my once upon good chances have faded the last 2 weeks, I bet the max number of points I could under the rules, all on Detroit, so I still have some life.
Ravens look to be the top team right now. Jackson and a solid defence. Frisco very physical and talented but they're not consistent enough. Both are very well coached.