Gold

danislaw

Member
Dec 24, 2010
99
0
16
Nice bounce off the .618 tonight. Typical bottoming behavior.


Still not giving in. I'll hold until 1200 before I get washed out.
 

danislaw

Member
Dec 24, 2010
99
0
16
Until it breaks the late June low of 1180, it is simply consolidating. It could keep chopping around 1250-1375 for a while.
 

danislaw

Member
Dec 24, 2010
99
0
16
Stopped out today. Still in the green overall, but I guess I should have fully bailed out in the summer at $1400.

I'll be back. Gold is not done, not by a long shot.
 

oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
15,963
2,955
113
Ghawar
Price might have already hit bottom but the trough in the chart
could stretch over into 2014. And you can't discount the possiblity
of another violent pullback to below the previous bottom. QE very
likely will carry over to infinity. But much of the money created by
QE so has been sitting idle in banks. Until inflation kicks in gold
price is not going to take off.
 

George The Curious

Active member
Nov 28, 2011
2,007
9
38
Stopped out today. Still in the green overall, but I guess I should have fully bailed out in the summer at $1400.

I'll be back. Gold is not done, not by a long shot.
Good for you acting like a man admitting defeat! I agree gold is here to stay, but will likely to see a lot lower prices in next 5 years. Maybe around $600 at true long term bottom. Before then I would just trade bits for short term.
 

saxon

Well-known member
Dec 2, 2009
4,765
535
113
Monday I purchased HBD, exchange traded fund which is a double bear gold fund so the further gold falls the higher this one goes, I'm up over a buck a share already. Having said that I still have a couple of small juniors BAR and ATM. Hoping for a takeover at some point but the HBD will make money as gold falls further.
 

danmand

Well-known member
Nov 28, 2003
46,972
5,600
113
Good luck to anyone shorting Gold. Personally, I believe it will go back over $2,000 sometime within the next 3 years.
 

saxon

Well-known member
Dec 2, 2009
4,765
535
113
Good luck to anyone shorting Gold. Personally, I believe it will go back over $2,000 sometime within the next 3 years.
I think gold goes much lower and could stay low for awhile. With the fed. looking to slow bond purchases and rising interest rates and no inflation in sight all bad news for gold.
 

danmand

Well-known member
Nov 28, 2003
46,972
5,600
113
I think gold goes much lower and could stay low for awhile. With the fed. looking to slow bond purchases and rising interest rates and no inflation in sight all bad news for gold.
I do not see any end in sight of the printing of $US. That represent an implied devaluation of $US against real assets.
 

oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
15,963
2,955
113
Ghawar
I think gold goes much lower and could stay low for awhile. With the fed. looking to slow bond purchases and rising interest rates and no inflation in sight all bad news for gold.
Rising interest rates could be a result of tapering of bond purchase.
If interest rates are rising by virtue of a growing economy gold
will be hit big time. Rising interest rates as a result of people
dumping U.S. treasury bonds out of fear of the impact of tapering
will not be sustainable IMO. I am willing to bet that
if the Fed is going to proceed with tapering it will be short-lived.
Also note that once lending activities pick up which likely will happen
if the economy is improving inflation will likely kick in.
 

wetnose

Gamahucher
Nov 14, 2006
2,443
0
36
From a fundamental point of view...the average cost of production is around $1,100. At a market price of $1250, gold mining companies aren't making a lot of money. Since it's an average figure, there're companies whose cost is higher. Those will be shutting down. (Barrick did shut down one mine which was running at $1300+)

Which produces shortage in supply and given the healthy demand from the chinese and russians, it would suggest an increase in price. But when? Nobody knows.

Don't believe Goldman Sachs - they're the ones buying, so they're talking down the price.
 

baby_blue

Banned
Mar 27, 2006
332
0
0
I don't believe Goldman Sachs at all. They are the one who was caught manipulating silver a while back. They said that gold will drop to under $1000 dollar. Whoever sold their gold shares should be crying right now. All the insiders have scoped up a lot of the gold shares when it bottomed. I strongly believe that gold won't be going down from this point on. It will go up. I wont be surprised if gold hit $2000 sometime next year.
 
Ashley Madison
Toronto Escorts