OFF, in a poll conducted on terb in the lounge when asked if you continue to hobby if Nordic model becomes law less than one-third (30%) said they would remain (which even that I doubt it once there will be a few high profile arrests and trials)
https://terb.cc/vbulletin/showthrea...A-Nordic-Model-is-Implemented-In-Canada/page7
Do you really think that the ads from touring SPs would fall so much that supply side in Ottawa would fall at least by 70% to compensate for loss of demand?. Especially when advertising for services in any type or form would likely become legal. I seriously doubt that. There will be significant price drop though I hope we never see that. I prefer current laws/current prices.
I`d think the same claim can be made to lump the `maybe` vote in with the `yes` vote to then make the claim that less than one third say they will quit. Statistically most of the `maybe` votes tend to split along the decided votes which would put approximately 60% at least remaining in the hobby. I also think the poll is more likely a bit of scare tactic on behalf of hobbyists who want to spur the various sex worker lobby groups to step up and lobby the government against this bill.
I expect that demand will drop fairly significantly at first. Guys will want to see what level of zeal various police forces decide to use and what types of precedents get established. As I`ve said in other threads the true likelihood of an indoor hobbyist getting busted other than through a targeted sting or being in a known bawdy house will be very low. Even now sting operations - cops posing as prostitutes is mostly done based on complaints to deal with street level prostitution. Having cops setup an indoor sex worker sting just to trap guys is a pretty stupid waste of police resources. I`m not saying it won`t be done and fear of it will certainly cause me to never see a provider that wasn`t already vouched for in some way. People will adapt, new verifications (except now to verify ladies instead of guys) will come up. Even in Sweden they don`t really know if indoor sex work has declined.
We agree demand will drop, we just don`t know exactly how much and for how long. I think you`ll see price drops in both Montreal and Toronto. I`m just saying I don`t think the drop will be as dramatic in Ottawa as an unusually high percent of our supply is touring girls who will stop coming here unless they have an established reputation (due to guys not seeing them as a result of concerns over sting operations). On this I`m talking at least in the short term. On the longer term more women may try to enter (as it won`t be illegal for them) and touring girls may use or create new verification methods.
Hey, I`d love to be wrong, I`d love to see a big price drop as I do believe that if one sees only ladies that are vouched as being true escorts that the odds of a conviction are virtually zilch. Nobody talks about it in Sweden but the conviction rate there is extremely low. People are busted during setup operations and if you think the police are going to manage to barge into a hotel at the moment you set that stack of cash down then you`re mistaken. Despite all the hysteria about girls turning guys in or blackmailing them the reality is the opposite. No girl wants will want a rep of co-operating with the police or even the hassle of going to testify. Whatever your occupation, just think if it became illegal for people to buy your services would you ever want to get known as someone who cooperates with LE?
We all have run various risks - risks of a bust of being in a bawdy house (before the SCC decision), risk of an STD, risk of being caught by SO`s, risk of being blackmailed to our SO`s. This hobby is all about risk management and once those risks are known, they will be managed and guys will participate. I fully understand you have a risk threshold of almost 0% and will among those that stop. I also know others that will too. However I won`t be one.
Criminalizing prostitution outright - whole new ballgame.
On the other hand while I am appalled at the idea of the Nordic model in terms of women`s rights over their own sexuality and how it will place them it at risk, I do see it benefiting via lower prices.