You are lying again groggy...you really need to break that habit.
The IAEA current reports are not based on 10 year old intelligence. But we have caught you lying before now havn't we.
Iran is refining fuel way beyond civilian needs and continues to refuse to allow reasonable inspections. BO is cutting them a great deal of slack, let's hope they don't waste it and bring a great deal of death and destruction on themselves.
Actually Iran is not the most inspected country in the world because they have not allowed a real inspection in over three years.
And Mr. prosecutor, feel free to research the concept of actions leading to an inference of consciousness of guilt.
I'm obviously not a lawyer, and as such I try to stay away from the legal arguments, and seeing how you're already trying to educate an idiot on the law over in that Khadr thread, you probably don't want to duplicate that with me. I haven't bothered to do the research you've suggested, and likely never will, but if you could provide a Readers Digest version of it, I'd gladly read it.
However, when we get down to the issue of refining beyond civilian needs - thats not quite right.
Their current stock of approx 100kgs of 19.75% LEU is feedstock for the TRR, which is due for reloading any time now. I'll go back to one of my good analogies of the gastank; if they "fill up" the TRR when its due with the entire stock, they can run it for anywhere from 5-20 years, depending on current ouputs of 3Mw or design output of 5Mw. So right now, there's nothing bogus with 109kg of 20% LEU. What is completely bogus is their recent announcement of another research reactor planned for sometime in the future, and that they need to continue enriching to satisfy that reactor. Obviously BS, as a reactor that isn't even built doesn't need fuel, and won't need it until several years from now. I don't think that the Iranians are stupid enough to beleive that the p5+1 are stupid enough to fall for this, so it's an obvious bargaining ploy. And a pretty weak one at that.
Like it or not, there is a legimate need for 100+kgs of 20% LEU. How they refuel the TRR and what they do with the spent fuel should be the concern everyone has (actually, it is the concern that analysts currently have), rather with the false assumption that there is no legimate need for 100kgs of 20% LEU, so it must be for weapons. If they wanted to make a bomb, and had all the abilities to make a bomb, they do have sufficient quantity of sufficiently enriched uranium to do so - 7kgs of 93% HEU, which is the leftovers of what the TRR originally ran on, and it is regularly monitored by the IAEA. Thats not saying that they can't or someday won't make a nuke, but they do already have some of the materials.
I don't beleive it was you, but it think someone mentioned centrifuges somewhere. Yes, Iran has installed lots of centrifuges. But its unclear how many actually work, as many lack the rotor assembly due to shortages in maraging steel. Iran reportedly has tried aluminum and carbon-composites, but those materials don't work properly. Overall, their centrifuge performance is considered sub-par, so greater numbers of centrifuges working inefficiently doesn't mean that much.
And the IAEA inspects Irans 20+ designated nuclear facilities about 4 times a year, and has done so for several years. Do they get to go wherever they want, whenever they want? No, Iran doesn't let them see everything they demand, but they largely are fulfilling the the mandatory requirements, not the voluntary ones. If there is some facility that Iran is keeping secret, the IAEA inspectors won't be the ones finding it. The few tips they've received and were allowed access to investigate have panned out with nothing; althought the IAEA considers the tips and sources credible, they've come up short on details (and you can't cover up this evidence with air freshener and a coat of paint).
Is Iran being an incredibly difficult and challenging situation? Obviously yes. Are they playing a very dangerous game of brinksmanship. Again, obviously yes. Are they currently developing nuclear weapons? Its not an obvious yes. Its closer to a high degree of certainty, no. As much as we distrust Iran, remember that runs both ways, and forcing Iran to submit to more intrusive inspections isn't going to make this problem go away; given the Iranian national character it'll likely make them more defiant & difficult.Any first step towards a solution was to come from the P5+1 (but in a US election year, likely won't happen due to domestic pressures).
(just to make it easier for those who still believe the hype to disagree with whats really happening!!).
