If Ford is out(and I think he might be if his family has anything to say about it. Pretty sure his wife may just put her foot down on this, maybe Doug as well) then I predict 60+% win for Tory. He will kill her in any debate hands down. And all the focus that was on ford will come down on her.
With Rob Ford around people like our very own Fuji will vote for John Tory even though
1) John Tory supports Scarborough Subway which they hate.
2) John Tory has no stomach for DRL which they advocate.
"Anyone but Ford" drive them away from supporting Olivia Chow in order to be 100% sure to vote out Rob Ford even though
1) they are more in line with Olivia Chow's opposition of Scarborough Subway and
2) they are more supportive to Chow's social platforms.
Just ask Fuji what he thinks about Olivia Chow's raising land transfer tax to pay for school nutrition and her 90 degree curbs at intersections and Olivia and Jack living in government subsidized housing.
Without Rob Ford, will they stay with John Tory? I honestly doubt it.
Will John Tory win? I think he will.
But at 60% and more I doubt it.