Trump crushes Biden in latest ABC News poll
- Thread starter Phil C. McNasty
- Start date
Oh well, Genocide Joe has resigned.
Right now its Kamala.
Battleground state polls spell great news for Trump campaign — but down-ballot candidates struggle
The latest swath of battleground surveys suggests Donald Trump will return to the White House — and swing-state voters will pave the way.
nypost.com
Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates from the 2024 election
Here’s what the latest polls say about the 2024 presidential election, from The Independent’s data correspondent
www.independent.co.uk
Three swing states wave "red flag" at Donald Trump in new poll
Donald Trump's strongest attack against Kamala Harris "may be losing momentum," according to one pollster.
www.newsweek.com
Data scientist who correctly predicted 2020 election now betting on 'landslide' Harris win (msn.com)
Data scientist Thomas Miller of Northwestern University correctly predicted the 2020 Electoral College map, with the exception of Georgia. He also accurately forecasted Georgia's two Democratic U.S. senators, Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, defeating then-incumbents Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue.
Now, he's anticipating that Vice President Kamala Harris will not only defeat former President Donald Trump in November, but will do so by a significant margin. Fortune reported that Miller is predicting that Harris' electoral map may resemble the 1964 map in which President Lyndon B. Johnson defeated Sen. Barry Goldwater (R-Arizona) with a whopping 486 electoral votes, or President Bill Clinton's 1996 victory over Sen. Bob Dole (R-Kansas), in which he secured 379 electoral votes.
The most hotly contested battleground states — which include Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — will ultimately decide which candidate crosses the 270-vote threshold. Miller is predicting a clean sweep for Harris in all of them.
Miller based his model around betting trends on PredictIt, which is the largest betting market for U.S. politics. Tully explained that Miller "took the Predictit odds in the 56 individual voting jurisdictions, tracked the hourly changes, and used his proprietary model to roll the data into daily odds." Miller said he viewed PredictIt as more accurate than traditional polling, which uses a much smaller sample and is typically a week behind current trends.
"You have tens of thousands of people betting on the site at all times of the day,” Miller told Tully. “The maximum contract is $850, and 37,000 ‘shares’ are traded on average every day.”
Data scientist Thomas Miller of Northwestern University correctly predicted the 2020 Electoral College map, with the exception of Georgia. He also accurately forecasted Georgia's two Democratic U.S. senators, Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, defeating then-incumbents Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue.
Now, he's anticipating that Vice President Kamala Harris will not only defeat former President Donald Trump in November, but will do so by a significant margin. Fortune reported that Miller is predicting that Harris' electoral map may resemble the 1964 map in which President Lyndon B. Johnson defeated Sen. Barry Goldwater (R-Arizona) with a whopping 486 electoral votes, or President Bill Clinton's 1996 victory over Sen. Bob Dole (R-Kansas), in which he secured 379 electoral votes.
The most hotly contested battleground states — which include Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — will ultimately decide which candidate crosses the 270-vote threshold. Miller is predicting a clean sweep for Harris in all of them.
Miller based his model around betting trends on PredictIt, which is the largest betting market for U.S. politics. Tully explained that Miller "took the Predictit odds in the 56 individual voting jurisdictions, tracked the hourly changes, and used his proprietary model to roll the data into daily odds." Miller said he viewed PredictIt as more accurate than traditional polling, which uses a much smaller sample and is typically a week behind current trends.
"You have tens of thousands of people betting on the site at all times of the day,” Miller told Tully. “The maximum contract is $850, and 37,000 ‘shares’ are traded on average every day.”
Every election cycle someone makes a prediction who has been lucky to have been right in the past, and then their lucky streak ends. That's the same way betting works, which means, since he is relying upon betting data for his prediction, he should know better.
Election forecaster reveals one candidate surging in the 2024 race
U.S. POLITICS LIVE BLOG: Follow all the developments from the campaign trail with 41 days until election day.
and if Harris wins, there is a spot in the middle of the two for you to ride off into the sunset with.@squeezer
If Trump wins the election I found a special support group you can join
View attachment 362448
start training now so you don't embarrass yourself when seen shirtless on the horse.
Donnie said any polls that he's not ahead in are fake. Also says early maik voting is fraudulent (he votes early by mail)BIGGEST LEAD YET! Kamala Miles Ahead of Trump in New Polls!
Kamala has a great smile!!!
Every time I piss and flush Justin smiles too
Yet his dipshit cult followers hang on to his every lie and treat it as if it's the gospel.
CNN poll finds Harris leading in potentially ‘game-changing’ district
Kamala Harris is ‘underwater’ in Michigan, Dem rep claims
Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) told Kamala Harris supporters that the vice president’s numbers are “underwater” in Michigan, according to audio obtained by Axios. “I’m …
nypost.com
Kamala Harris is ‘underwater’ in Michigan, Dem rep claims
Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) told Kamala Harris supporters that the vice president’s numbers are “underwater” in Michigan, according to audio obtained by Axios. “I’m …
Kamala Harris is ‘underwater’ in Michigan, Dem rep claims
Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) told Kamala Harris supporters that the vice president’s numbers are “underwater” in Michigan, according to audio obtained by Axios. “I’m …
Nate Silver's swing state forecast shows new movement
The overall race for the White House remains "steady," Silver wrote in Thursday's forecast update.
www.newsweek.com
Overall, Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, leads by 3.4 percentage points, 49.4 percent to 46 percent, on average, per Silver's tracking, and is ahead in four battleground states being closely watched: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada. Trump leads in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.
Silver noted in Thursday's Silver Bulletin that the election is in "a steady phase," and that recent surveys have not found significant changes in the candidates' prospects for victory. Per the pollster's forecast, Harris has a 56.7 percent chance of winning the necessary 270 electoral votes in November, while Trump trails with 43.1 percent.
