NHL 2021

[John Wick]

No worries, BUCKWHEAT.

 

[gcostanza]

Playoff probabilities in the Scotia North Division: (prior to Saturday games)

Toronto 99.9998%
Winnipeg 99.98%
Edmonton 99.9%
Montreal 88.5%
Calgary 6.1%
Vancouver 5.5%
Ottawa 0.01%

 

[chuckertmg]

Montreal in their last 34 games have 12 wins and 22 losses but they're given an 88.5% chance of making the playoffs.
Welcome to the North Division....

 

[superstar_88]

It means they won a lot early. The North has 7 teams whereas the other Divisions have 8. So there is an advantage to only have to beat out 3 teams rather than 4. Was that your point? Well, life isn't always fair is it.

 

[gcostanza]

Montreal in their last 34 games have 12 wins and 22 losses but they're given an 88.5% chance of making the playoffs.

Things can escalate quickly.
With last night's results, they're now 76% to make the playoffs.
They're in danger of spitting the bit.

 

[K Douglas]

Playoff probabilities in the Scotia North Division: (prior to Saturday games)

Toronto 99.9998%
Winnipeg 99.98%
Edmonton 99.9%
Montreal 88.5%
Calgary 6.1%
Vancouver 5.5%
Ottawa 0.01%

I'm surprised the odds for the Flames are so low compared to the Habs. Habs are up 4 points with a game in hand, but they have to play the Leafs 4 times still while the Flames get the Canucks 4 times.

 

[gcostanza]

I'm surprised the odds for the Flames are so low compared to the Habs. Habs are up 4 points with a game in hand, but they have to play the Leafs 4 times still while the Flames get the Canucks 4 times.

After last night's games
Calgary 12.7%
Vancouver 11.5%.

 

[superstar_88]

I know games can have a max 3 points but huge 4 point game tomorrow Montreal Calgary.

 

[gcostanza]

Hits stats for the NHL season so far:

1. Ottawa 1,338
31. Colorado 690

 

[superstar_88]

Interesting Colorado is last in hits so I would say skill is more the proof. All that hitting can only carry you so far without skill.

 

[superstar_88]

TB played the whole season without Kucherov yet they are right there with Panthers and Hurricanes who are probably closer to the Leafs.
I'd say TB is primed to repeat. Vegas and TB would be a tremendous Finals. Or even Colorado but they're in the same Division as Vegas.

 

[gcostanza]

Interesting Colorado is last in hits so I would say skill is more the proof.
All that hitting can only carry you so far without skill.

Colorado must either be soft or possess the puck a lot.

 

[glamphotographer]

Playoff Probabilities in the Scotia North Division:

Toronto 99.996%
Winnipeg 99.99%
Edmonton 99.6%
Montreal 95.9%
Calgary 2.9%
Vancouver 1.6%
Ottawa 0.001%

Updated:

Toronto %100
Winnipeg %99.9
Edmonton %99.7
Montreal %70.4
Vancouver %20.2
Calgary %9.8
Ottawa %0.00

 

[superstar_88]

Colorado must either be soft or possess the puck a lot.

Don't know what happened to Kadri but he has 27 hits in 45 games. 13 Colorado players have 27 or more hits and O'Brien has 23 hits in only 10 games and Renouf 20 hits in 16 games so one can say at least 15 players on his team hit more than Kadri.

 

[gcostanza]

Kadri ... has 27 hits in 45 games.

Kerfoot has 34 hits in 48 games.

Things that make you go hmmmm.

 

[glamphotographer]

The Oilers must be the dirtiest team, they hammered the Jets 6-1.

 

[glamphotographer]

Kerfoot has 34 hits in 48 games.

Things that make you go hmmmm.

Kadri is walking a fine line with the refs, so he's probably holding back on a few hits.

 

[gcostanza]

 

[superstar_88]

Some perspective, M Martin has 164 hits in 50 games. That averages to about 3 hits per game or 1 hit per period. Which means that most shifts he doesn't get a hit in.

 

[gcostanza]

Some perspective, M Martin has 164 hits in 50 games. That averages to about 3 hits per game or 1 hit per period. Which means that most shifts he doesn't get a hit in.

Wait just a second, ss_88, does Matt Martin get more than 1 shift per period?

Heh, he averages 10:57/game, so, <5 shifts per period (presuming ~45 seconds/shift.