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How long will this last?

ALICSAM

New member
Jan 5, 2018
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In Sweden it’s life as normal, Belgium has a lockdown and yet Belgium’s cases and death rate are much higher than Sweden’s....we are only prolonging this while giving up freedom and killing our economy at the same time....
Interesting compared Sweden & Belgium cases and death rate. Both countries are in Europe. Why do we look at other cities or countries in Asia what have they done. Are they doing a better job? Beside Korea, Hong Kong is a city with 7.5 millions population (one of the most high density well developed cities), the government has all the healthy quarantine implemented to prevent the spreading of the virus in the city. As it is today, there are only ~1000 cases with only 4 deaths. Case in the past 10 days is only one digit increased. Compared with all European and North America, there would that be something we need to learn.
Hong Kong City is not lock down totally but have new requirement for gathering. There is a very tight arrangement for inbound travellers. (Infection Control Advice for Person under Compulsory Home Quarantine by Law). Hong Kong has the case starting mid January until mid of March is called first wave until the 2nd wave is a lot of all Hong Kong Residents from Europe, US and Canada are rushing back Hong Kong because they trust Hong Kong Government is doing a better job to protect their health in this pandemic and now has been proved they made a right decision.

Look at the web site you can see very detail what Hong Kong Government has done protect the health of all citizens (all ages) to get this low death rate compared with the rest of the world.

http://www.coronavirus.gov.hk/eng/index.html
 

WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
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India’s number will be low for a few reasons.

Far too many are poor. Very little testing can or will be done. Interesting fact, a huge percentage of the population is less than 40 years old. Seniors in India make up a very small percentage.
I suspect like in many underdeveloped countries seniors are relatively healthier than many industrialized nations.. They were never obese. They walk a lot. It sounds cold, but the reality is the sick do not live into their 80's.
 

nottyboi

Well-known member
May 14, 2008
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It is not the kill rate, it is how fast it kills if the silent transmission is not under control. The number of deaths per million due to covid-19 is way higher any seasonal or past epidemic flu . Number of deaths in the US has surpassed 40000. Wait until India explodes.
I think until we have a better idea of how many people have contracted, and THEN correlate it to the overall change in the death rate,over a reasonable period of time, we can't really say how deadly it is.
 

WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
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I think until we have a better idea of how many people have contracted, and THEN correlate it to the overall change in the death rate,over a reasonable period of time, we can't really say how deadly it is.
I think how deadly is a relative concept. The way this virus raced around the world in three months certainly was scary. On top of that, everyone relates to the numbers being reported differently. But yes I agree with you.
 

drewstar

Well-known member
Dec 22, 2009
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Lets be honest.

East Asian countries and regions like Hong Kong, South Korea, Taiwan are incredibly densely populated yet have handled covid19 much better than western leaders. This is undeniable.

Also when you consider how many people havent been tested here in Canada as an example, and that the infection numbers are almost certainly higher than whats reported, it is likely to mean that the mortality rate is going to be lower than the stated less than 1%.

Draw conclusions as you will, but I have insisted since day 1 that protecting the vulnerable is most important and a country wide draconian lockdown is only a last resort if you fail initial containment (which Trudeau failed at).
 

WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
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Lets be honest.

East Asian countries and regions like Hong Kong, South Korea, Taiwan are incredibly densely populated yet have handled covid19 much better than western leaders. This is undeniable......
A lot of the difference in East Asia are the people and the culture. Being on the front lines of previous outbreaks, the people are more prepared and know what to do in the event of an outbreak.

Individuals in North America kind of have the attitude that the government should have everything figured out. Even now, I would say quite a few Americans have no clue what to do. One of the objectives for the lockdown is to get North Americans up to speed on the new reality going through the summer and beyond.
 
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