Seattle was the first USA state to implement the $15.00 minimum wage. All the pundits / media came up with the same kind of scaremongering. Yet, Seattle has now achieved the lowest unemployment rate in decades at 2.9%. We have to wait to see whether this was a very rash move or will actually help the economy.
“People have a tendency to focus on counter-factual headlines,” TD Bank’s Brian DePratto told VICE Money. “We’re talking about a very miniscule fraction of overall employment that will be affected by the minimum wage increase.”
A recent study from the Bank of Canada forecasted that minimum wage hikes across nine provinces in 2018 and 2019 will result in “employment losses of about 60,000 workers”, equivalent to a 0.3 percent decline in the overall number of hours worked.
Mainstream Canadian media was awash with headlines highlighting the “60,000” figure, which is indeed significant if viewed in isolation of the overall employment trend in Canada’s economy, especially of late.
“The Bank of Canada report was very badly reported by the media,” said Brett House, Deputy Chief Economist at Scotiabank. “The headline of that report should have said: ‘macroeconomic effect of minimum wage hike likely to be within margin of error’. There’s going to be a negligible effect on the macroeconomy, and a very positive effect on low wage earners.”
House points out that employment losses of 60,000 doesn’t necessarily mean 60,000 existing jobs will be lost due to the minimum wage hike — it implies 60,000 fewer jobs than projected will be created in the next year or so. For context, the Canadian economy created 79,000 jobs in December, and 79,500 jobs in November. In the year 2017 alone, Canada created 423,000 jobs — 394,200 of those jobs were full-time.
In Ontario, the minimum wage increase ($11.60 to $14 an hour) is estimated to impact eight percent of all workers — an additional 15 percent of workers will probably also see a rise in their wages as a result of the minimum wage increase, simply because the wage floor moves up, say economists.
https://news.vice.com/en_ca/article/...ive-job-losses