With less than a week to go, the federal election campaign is heading into the home stretch and the Liberals are now six points ahead of the Conservatives, according to a new Ipsos poll conducted for Global News.
“At the national level the Liberals have surged ahead to 37 per cent, the Conservatives have remained steady at about 31 per cent. But where the big change has happened is with the NDP,” whose support continues to drop, said Ipsos senior vice-president John Wright.
The Liberals were the only party trending upwards according to the latest numbers, and Trudeau received 37 per cent of the decided vote, up five points from last week. The Conservative party would receive 31 per cent of the vote (down two points) if an election were held today, while Tom Mulcair and the NDP continue their downward slide and would receive 24 per cent of the vote (down two points), according to the poll.
Gilles Duceppe and the Bloc Quebecois continue to hold at five per cent while the Green Party receives just two per cent support.
http://globalnews.ca/news/2273978/l...-ahead-of-conservatives-in-latest-ipsos-poll/
http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/election/latest-nanos-tracking-has-liberals-in-the-lead-1.2605974
The latest nightly tracking by Nanos Research for CTV News and The Globe and Mail completed on the holiday weekend has the Liberals in the lead at 35.7 per cent.
Tracking released on Oct. 12 shows:
• The Liberals at 35.7 per cent support nationally
• The Conservatives at 28.9 per cent support nationally
• The NDP at 24.3 per cent support nationally
• The Greens at 4.8 per cent support nationally
Respondents were asked: "If a federal election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences?"
The latest regional numbers:
• Atlantic Canada - Liberals (52.9 per cent), NDP (21.3 per cent), Conservatives (16.5 per cent), Greens (9.3), based on 110 decided individuals. A sample of 110 respondents is accurate ±9.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
• Quebec – NDP (32.7 per cent), Liberals (28.7 per cent), Bloc Quebecois (23.2 per cent), Conservatives (14.0 per cent), Greens (0.8), based on 268 decided individuals. A sample of 268 respondents is accurate ±6.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
• Ontario – Liberals (45.2 per cent), Conservatives (32.7 per cent), NDP (18.2 per cent), Greens (3.3 per cent), based on 325 decided individuals. A sample of 325 respondents is accurate ±5.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
• Prairies – Conservatives (47.7 per cent), Liberals (26.5 per cent), NDP (24.2 per cent), Greens (1.7 per cent), based on 222 decided individuals. A sample of 222 respondents is ±6.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
• British Columbia – Conservatives (29.1 per cent), Liberals (28.9 per cent), NDP (25.0 per cent), Greens (14.9 per cent), based on 169 decided individuals. A sample of 169 respondents is accurate ±7.6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Accessible Vote
When asked a series of independent questions as to whether they would vote for each federal party:
52.7 per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the Liberals
42.3 per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the NDP
38.1 per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the Conservatives
26.3 per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the Greens
34.3 per cent of Quebecers would consider voting for the Bloc Quebecois
Poll methodology
A national dual frame (land and cell) random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign using live agents. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample composed of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1094 decided voters is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
“At the national level the Liberals have surged ahead to 37 per cent, the Conservatives have remained steady at about 31 per cent. But where the big change has happened is with the NDP,” whose support continues to drop, said Ipsos senior vice-president John Wright.
The Liberals were the only party trending upwards according to the latest numbers, and Trudeau received 37 per cent of the decided vote, up five points from last week. The Conservative party would receive 31 per cent of the vote (down two points) if an election were held today, while Tom Mulcair and the NDP continue their downward slide and would receive 24 per cent of the vote (down two points), according to the poll.
Gilles Duceppe and the Bloc Quebecois continue to hold at five per cent while the Green Party receives just two per cent support.
http://globalnews.ca/news/2273978/l...-ahead-of-conservatives-in-latest-ipsos-poll/
http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/election/latest-nanos-tracking-has-liberals-in-the-lead-1.2605974
The latest nightly tracking by Nanos Research for CTV News and The Globe and Mail completed on the holiday weekend has the Liberals in the lead at 35.7 per cent.
Tracking released on Oct. 12 shows:
• The Liberals at 35.7 per cent support nationally
• The Conservatives at 28.9 per cent support nationally
• The NDP at 24.3 per cent support nationally
• The Greens at 4.8 per cent support nationally
Respondents were asked: "If a federal election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences?"
The latest regional numbers:
• Atlantic Canada - Liberals (52.9 per cent), NDP (21.3 per cent), Conservatives (16.5 per cent), Greens (9.3), based on 110 decided individuals. A sample of 110 respondents is accurate ±9.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
• Quebec – NDP (32.7 per cent), Liberals (28.7 per cent), Bloc Quebecois (23.2 per cent), Conservatives (14.0 per cent), Greens (0.8), based on 268 decided individuals. A sample of 268 respondents is accurate ±6.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
• Ontario – Liberals (45.2 per cent), Conservatives (32.7 per cent), NDP (18.2 per cent), Greens (3.3 per cent), based on 325 decided individuals. A sample of 325 respondents is accurate ±5.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
• Prairies – Conservatives (47.7 per cent), Liberals (26.5 per cent), NDP (24.2 per cent), Greens (1.7 per cent), based on 222 decided individuals. A sample of 222 respondents is ±6.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
• British Columbia – Conservatives (29.1 per cent), Liberals (28.9 per cent), NDP (25.0 per cent), Greens (14.9 per cent), based on 169 decided individuals. A sample of 169 respondents is accurate ±7.6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Accessible Vote
When asked a series of independent questions as to whether they would vote for each federal party:
52.7 per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the Liberals
42.3 per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the NDP
38.1 per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the Conservatives
26.3 per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the Greens
34.3 per cent of Quebecers would consider voting for the Bloc Quebecois
Poll methodology
A national dual frame (land and cell) random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign using live agents. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample composed of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1094 decided voters is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.