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Damn climate change!

groggy

Banned
Mar 21, 2011
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"Slowed down slightly?' The IPCC reported that if there was any increase at all (and the IPCC's range included the possibility that the temperature may have cooled), it was statistically insignificant. In plain English, that means no increase.
Ok, the verdict has to be dishonest.

You are still basing all your arguments on the cherry picked, El Niño, warmest year on record as your starting date.

Your argument falls to pieces just by shifting starting dates by a year or two in either direction.

You willfully misrepresented an article which directly contradicted what you said and in fact backs up my position, to try to make your case.

You know full well you are wrong, don't you?
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
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Ok, the verdict has to be dishonest.

You are still basing all your arguments on the cherry picked, El Niño, warmest year on record as your starting date.

Your argument falls to pieces just by shifting starting dates by a year or two in either direction.

You willfully misrepresented an article which directly contradicted what you said and in fact backs up my position, to try to make your case.

You know full well you are wrong, don't you?
The New York Times article said what I said it did. Your misrepresentation of my comments (possibly due to your struggles with reading) is another matter.

As for the starting dates, the pause goes back to January 1997 -- prior to the increase in temperatures caused by the El Nino effect. It is a universally accepted fact that the Earth's temperature has not increased over the past 17 years, and that has nothing to do with any 'cherry picking' claim you picked up from the propaganda websites.

This recent column from the Calgary Herald points to the real issue. It's not that there was a pause, but the fact that the computer-model predictions were so spectacularly wrong.

http://www.calgaryherald.com/opinio...l+warming+upsets+religious/9848202/story.html
 

groggy

Banned
Mar 21, 2011
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The New York Times article said what I said it did. Your misrepresentation of my comments (possibly due to your struggles with reading) is another matter.
I provided quotes from you and the article, you said:
I very clearly said it was an article that confirms the pause "is accepted science that is recognized throughout the world."
The article says:
To the contrary, in a climate system still dominated by natural variability, there is every reason to think the warming will proceed in fits and starts.
...
As you might imagine, those dismissive of climate-change concerns have made much of this warming plateau. They typically argue that “global warming stopped 15 years ago” or some similar statement, and then assert that this disproves the whole notion that greenhouse gases are causing warming.

Rarely do they mention that most of the warmest years in the historical record have occurred recently. Moreover, their claim depends on careful selection of the starting and ending points. The starting point is almost always 1998, a particularly warm year because of a strong El Niño weather pattern.
The article clearly backs my statements and reveals yours as false.
You deliberately misrepresented the article and are continuing to do so.
Shame on you.

As for the starting dates, the pause goes back to January 1997 -- prior to the increase in temperatures caused by the El Nino effect. It is a universally accepted fact that the Earth's temperature has not increased over the past 17 years, and that has nothing to do with any 'cherry picking' claim you picked up from the propaganda websites.
No it doesn't. Your claims are clearing using an El Nino year.
And for the record, we are back breaking temperature records with April of this year being tied for the warmest on record, despite our record cold winter globally this was a record warm winter. 2013 was the fourth warmest year on record and we are heading into an 80% chance of el nino this year.


This recent column from the Calgary Herald points to the real issue. It's not that there was a pause, but the fact that the computer-model predictions were so spectacularly wrong.

http://www.calgaryherald.com/opinio...l+warming+upsets+religious/9848202/story.html
This recent opinion piece from some wingnut relies on talking points from two other wingnuts who make basic errors that are easy for someone with even moderate scientific education to pick apart. All you are doing is trying to change the topic now that you've been caught out as being dishonest.


Admit it, you are being dishonest and misrepresenting articles on purpose, aren't you?
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
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Admit it, you are being dishonest and misrepresenting articles on purpose, aren't you?
I already answered this question. Every time you accuse me of "lying," the reality is that you simply don't know what you're talking about.
 

blackrock13

Banned
Jun 6, 2009
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I already answered this question. Every time you accuse me of "lying," the reality is that you simply don't know what you're talking about.
His posts in this and other GW threads would show otherwise, but then this isn't the first time you've been wrong about facts in the GW threads.
 

blackrock13

Banned
Jun 6, 2009
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His previous posts have included ones where he got the IPCC`s predictions (or I guess he prefers to call them projections) completely wrong, and ones where he got the actual results completely wrong.

https://terb.cc/vbulletin/showthread.php?471227-Global-Warming-Fact-or-grossly-exaggerated
A thread with 1300+ posts of which he contributed 260+? Mind narrowing it down to which posts he made this error?

Seeing clearly how badly you read english, plain or technical, I somehow suspect you didn`t understand what he wrote. or jump on a single gotcha moment.
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
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A thread with 1300+ posts of which he contributed 260+? Mind narrowing it down to which posts he made this error?
If you go through the thread, you'll find them. I pointed a number of them out throughout the thread.

I'll give you an easy example on the predictions/projections side: he thought the IPCC's per-decade projections were for 20 years each, apparently not realizing that a decade is 10 years.
 

blackrock13

Banned
Jun 6, 2009
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How to Write Good, by blackrock13. :biggrin1:
Neat, so you can't answer the question, or won't because it actually requires some work, and we know how lazy you've shown yourself to be actually reading stuff, so you attack some vapourous grammatical error? One which I certainly don't see.
 

blackrock13

Banned
Jun 6, 2009
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If you go through the thread, you'll find them. I pointed a number of them out throughout the thread.

I'll give you an easy example on the predictions/projections side: he thought the IPCC's per-decade projections were for 20 years each, apparently not realizing that a decade is 10 years.
You offered a number of them? Nice try. The only one I remember is the one you keep offering up about the oops on the decade being 20 years, but he explained it.
 

groggy

Banned
Mar 21, 2011
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I already answered this question. Every time you accuse me of "lying," the reality is that you simply don't know what you're talking about.
I gave you specific quotes and direct questions.
You are now avoiding answering because you've been caught being dishonest.

You deliberately misrepresented an article and can't defend yourself from this charge so now are trying to change the topic.
All your climate change arguments are the same, built of fabrications and misrepresentations like this one.

You've been caught out and can't defend yourself.
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
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I gave you specific quotes and direct questions.
You are now avoiding answering because you've been caught being dishonest.
You either don't read -- or don't understand -- your own quotes.

You keep saying it is dishonest to state that the article acknowledged there has been a pause, or "plateau." Yet the acknowledgment was in the quote you provided:

"As you might imagine, those dismissive of climate-change concerns have made much of this warming plateau."

I disagree with much of what is in the article, including the false claim that you have to use 1998 as a starting point to demonstrate a pause (the pause actually goes back to January 1997). But I never claimed to be a fan of the article. I cited it only to prove the point about the worldwide acknowledgment of the pause.

The BBC and others have done likewise. Even the Toronto Star acknowledges there has been a pause: http://www.thestar.com/news/world/2014/02/10/study_explains_global_warming_pause.html

I never said the New York Times article was a "denial" article. You made that up -- and, I should note, have never provided a quote to support that accusation.

The most generous explanation I could provide for your accusation is that you're not well read and you struggle with the English language (which, again, may explain why you don't know the difference between a table of contents and an index).

Regardless, the point remains the same: Every time you accuse me of "lying," it is always confirmed that you simply don't know what you're talking about.
 

groggy

Banned
Mar 21, 2011
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You either don't read -- or don't understand -- your own quotes.

You keep saying it is dishonest to state that the article acknowledged there has been a pause, or "plateau." Yet the acknowledgment was in the quote you provided:

"As you might imagine, those dismissive of climate-change concerns have made much of this warming plateau."
Plateau is quite different from pause, but lets again look at your claims and the quote from the article.

For the record, I did not say the New York Times article was a "denial" article. In post 126, I very clearly said it was an article that confirms the pause "is accepted science that is recognized throughout the world."
I note that the article first doesn't contain the quotes 'is accepted science that is recognized throughout the world', nor does the article say anywhere that its accepted science that there is a pause.
In fact the articles describes it as a slowdown in surface temperature increases, not as a 'pause'. Nowhere in the article does it suggest that climate change 'paused'.

And what the article says:
As you might imagine, those dismissive of climate-change concerns have made much of this warming plateau. They typically argue that “global warming stopped 15 years ago” or some similar statement, and then assert that this disproves the whole notion that greenhouse gases are causing warming.

Rarely do they mention that most of the warmest years in the historical record have occurred recently. Moreover, their claim depends on careful selection of the starting and ending points. The starting point is almost always 1998, a particularly warm year because of a strong El Niño weather pattern.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/11/sc...eau.html?_r=2&



This article calls out the specific claims you repeatedly make as misleading and cherry picking.
You used an article that debunked your central claim directly as if it backed your views.

That, sir, is dishonest as Ford's billion dollar claim, as dishonest as Hudak's employment projections, as dishonest as Mulroney with an envelope of cash suing the country for defamation of character.

You sir, are a sham and should apologize.
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
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I note that the article first doesn't contain the quotes 'is accepted science that is recognized throughout the world'
How many times does that have to be explained to you? That is a quote of something that I said. No one ever claimed those words appeared in the article.

In fact the articles describes it as a slowdown in surface temperature increases
Right. The article also calls it a "plateau."

You're now engaged in a desperate game of semantics over a plateau vs. a pause. However, let's revisit my original sentence. While we were discussing what is commonly known as the pause, here is what I said about the New York Times article:

"The pause is accepted science that is recognized throughout the world. Even the New York Times admits it (and that the climate researchers have been unable to explain what is happening): http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/11/science/earth/what-to-make-of-a-climate-change-plateau.html?_r=0"

NOTE: The specific word I used was "it." I didn't say the word "pause" appeared in the article. The false accusation based on a childish game of semantics has been proven to be unequivocally false (Groggy can look up "unequivocally").

Along with his other literacy challenges, it would appear that Groggy doesn't understand the difference between paraphrasing something and providing a direct quote.

Finally, I never said the article supports my views. I said it confirms the internationally accepted scientific fact that the Earth's temperatures did not increase as expected (regardless of whether you want to call it a pause or a plateau). And that is true.

Confirming my point: Whenever Groggy accuses me of "lying," it is always the case that he simply doesn't know what he's talking about.
 

groggy

Banned
Mar 21, 2011
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How many times does that have to be explained to you? That is a quote of something that I said. No one ever claimed those words appeared in the article.
...

Finally, I never said the article supports my views. I said it confirms the internationally accepted scientific fact that the Earth's temperatures did not increase as expected (regardless of whether you want to call it a pause or a plateau). And that is true.

You are getting closer, but this is what you said:
For the record, I did not say the New York Times article was a "denial" article. In post 126, I very clearly said it was an article that confirms the pause "is accepted science that is recognized throughout the world."
Admit that the article says the opposite is true, that the 'pause' claim is based on cherry picking the warmest El Nino year on record as your start date.
That is what the article says, in direct contraction to your claim:
Moreover, their claim depends on careful selection of the starting and ending points. The starting point is almost always 1998, a particularly warm year because of a strong El Niño weather pattern.
Admit that you were dishonest and misrepresented this article.
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
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Admit that the article says the opposite is true, that the 'pause' claim is based on cherry picking the warmest El Nino year on record as your start date.
Gotcha!

I never said I agreed with the article's explanation for the pause or its misleading statements about people "almost always" picking 1998 as a starting point (in fact, the Met Office stats trace the pause back to January 1997: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencet...-report-quietly-released--chart-prove-it.html).

I said the article confirmed there has been a hiatus (whatever the explanation) -- something you now concede is correct.

Here's what I'll admit: You were either dishonest or sloppy and you therefore misrepresented my characterization of the article.
 
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groggy

Banned
Mar 21, 2011
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Gotcha!

I never said I agreed with the article's explanation for the pause or its misleading statements about people "almost always" picking 1998 as a starting point (in fact, the pause dates back to January 1997: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencet...-report-quietly-released--chart-prove-it.html).

I said the article confirmed there has been a hiatus (whatever the explanation) -- something you now concede is correct.

Here's what I'll admit: You were either dishonest or sloppy and you therefore misrepresented my characterization of the article.
No you don't, refer again to the quote:
Moreover, their claim depends on careful selection of the starting and ending points. The starting point is almost always 1998, a particularly warm year because of a strong El Niño weather pattern.
The article clearly debunks the 'claim' that there is a pause using the latest theories and information.
There is absolutely no basis for your misrepresentation through this statement.
I very clearly said it was an article that confirms the pause "is accepted science that is recognized throughout the world."
You say the article confirms the pause is accepted science when the article clearly says its a claim based on cherry picking.

Admit you misrepresented the intent of the author and were dishonest.
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
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The article clearly debunks the 'claim' that there is a pause using the latest theories and information.
I'm afraid that isn't supported by the first four paragraphs in the article.

As unlikely as this may sound, we have lucked out in recent years when it comes to global warming.

The rise in the surface temperature of earth has been markedly slower over the last 15 years than in the 20 years before that. And that lull in warming has occurred even as greenhouse gases have accumulated in the atmosphere at a record pace.

The slowdown is a bit of a mystery to climate scientists. True, the basic theory that predicts a warming of the planet in response to human emissions does not suggest that warming should be smooth and continuous. To the contrary, in a climate system still dominated by natural variability, there is every reason to think the warming will proceed in fits and starts.

But given how much is riding on the scientific forecast, the practitioners of climate science would like to understand exactly what is going on. They admit that they do not, even though some potential mechanisms of the slowdown have been suggested. The situation highlights important gaps in our knowledge of the climate system, some of which cannot be closed until we get better measurements from high in space and from deep in the ocean.
 

blackrock13

Banned
Jun 6, 2009
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I'm afraid that isn't supported by the first four paragraphs in the article.
Then again we have the last paragraph of the same article;

So let’s be clear. Yes: global warming is real, and some of it at least has been caused by the CO2 emitted by fossil fuels. But the evidence is beginning to suggest that it may be happening much slower than the catastrophists have claimed – a conclusion with enormous policy implications.
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencet...y-released--chart-prove-it.html#ixzz33JH4ceVS

More proof, not that we need more, that you don't read articles fully. You stop at the point that you think supports your position.
 
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