Will the SCOUS Strike Down Any Part of Obamacare?

The SCOTUS Will:

  • Find the entire law unconstitutional

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Find part of the law unconstitutional

    Votes: 13 59.1%
  • Find the law constitutional

    Votes: 9 40.9%

  • Total voters
    22

toguy5252

Well-known member
Jun 22, 2009
15,964
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Don't forget that the court knocking out the punitive provisions of the Medicaid expansion really knocks a hole in the legislation, what the Administration is left with is a law which taxes people who do not purchase medical insurance, but in which many states may well decide not to provide expanded Medicaid coverage, that is the better part of 17 million people who are really doing to take it right in the nose.

The number one target of the GOP was the mandate which has survived. With the mandate it will be possible to insure that the sick as well as the healthy are covered and therefore make the plan economic. The plan can survive without the other measure although it will take some work but it could not have survived without the mandate.
 

Aardvark154

New member
Jan 19, 2006
53,768
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With the mandate it will be possible to insure that the sick as well as the healthy are covered and therefore make the plan economic. The plan can survive without the other measure although it will take some work but it could not have survived without the mandate.
Punitive taxes on those who are literally unable to afford insurance (and who will not have the government subsidies which have been knocked out) is great news?
 

WoodPeckr

Protuberant Member
May 29, 2002
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One of the thoughts over lunch today, is that the Court has rather brilliantly totally removed itself as a political issue for several election cycles. Further it has thrown two highly controversal issues squarely back into the political area for the 2012 election.
LOL!!!

Nice, as expected 'spin' but in the end just more conservative BS!!!....:D

It's comical watching the goofy GOPer leadership blowhards 'react' to this stinging DEFEAT handed them by the conservative SCOTUS!.....:eyebrows:

Obfuscate on counsel....as only lawyers like you can.....:thumb:
 

toguy5252

Well-known member
Jun 22, 2009
15,964
6,108
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Punitive taxes on those who are literally unable to afford insurance (and who will not have the government subsidies which have been knocked out) is great news?
Health care for all and relief for those who cannot afford it yes is great news. The state of health care in the US should be a source of national shame. By let the GOP keep talking about American exceptionalism. My view is that the US rather than calling itself exceptional should try and be exceptional. This is a step in the right direction.
 

Aardvark154

New member
Jan 19, 2006
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Health care for all and relief for those who cannot afford it yes is great news. The state of health care in the US should be a source of national shame.
The problem is that as the law stands this afternoon, it creates a huge punitive tax hole for many of the very people the president said this law was all about helping!
 

toguy5252

Well-known member
Jun 22, 2009
15,964
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The problem is that as the law stands this afternoon, it creates a huge punitive tax hole for many of the very people the president said this law was all about helping!
I think it leaves in place the plan he set up with the ability of states to opt out. That should not interfere with the ability to subsidize poorer people although iy will now requires some fine tuning. I do not believe that mandate is punitive and I think that is the what separates the GOP from the Dems. Paying into a healthcare system to insure that all Americans are covered is not punitive to me. Refusing to pay so that you can get a free ride should you get sick is simply unfair and results in an unfair tax upon all Americans.
 

Aardvark154

New member
Jan 19, 2006
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You wait, unless the hole is fixed or the next congress replaces it, when it fully comes into effect in two years there are going to be a lot of very angry people.
 

Aardvark154

New member
Jan 19, 2006
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Like all the angry people in Massachusetts?
What does that have to do with the fact that after todays USSC ruling: The penalty tax for failing to have health insurance coverage is still there. But in many states, which just plain do not have the funding in a weak economy to impliment it, there are going to be a significant cohort of people who will be unable to afford health insurance without the govenment subsidy, which those states now do not have to provide.
 

kupall

Member
Nov 4, 2005
380
0
16
I never liked the law, but it's here and the reality is it's here to stay. Premiums are going to go up no matter what everyone who is for this bill says. This law only accomplishes one thing, and it does expand healthcare access to more people. However it doesn't lower healthcare costs at all in fact the opposite will happen.

Employers might find it cheaper to stop paying for employee insurance and just pay the penalty and leave their employees to fend for themselves.

This also spells more trouble for doctors who private practices as they will be further squeezed in between the government health committees and insurance companies. It will shift more doctors to work for hospitals or clinics instead so they wouldn't have to worry about overhead and malpractice insurance. Ironically most of the insurance companies are buying these hospitals.

Big winners here are the insurance companies and hospitals. Losers are patients and doctors....
 

toguy5252

Well-known member
Jun 22, 2009
15,964
6,108
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I never liked the law, but it's here and the reality is it's here to stay. Premiums are going to go up no matter what everyone who is for this bill says. This law only accomplishes one thing, and it does expand healthcare access to more people. However it doesn't lower healthcare costs at all in fact the opposite will happen.

Employers might find it cheaper to stop paying for employee insurance and just pay the penalty and leave their employees to fend for themselves.

This also spells more trouble for doctors who private practices as they will be further squeezed in between the government health committees and insurance companies. It will shift more doctors to work for hospitals or clinics instead so they wouldn't have to worry about overhead and malpractice insurance. Ironically most of the insurance companies are buying these hospitals.

Big winners here are the insurance companies and hospitals. Losers are patients and doctors....
How can the 43M patients who now have no coverage be losers. Or the people who lose their jobs and lose their coverage. Or the children of employees whose plans doe not cover them. Or people who finally get a job and therefore have coverage but have preexisting conditions. The US may be the only country in the western world which purports to be enlightened in which it leaves its citizens without health coverage.
 

kupall

Member
Nov 4, 2005
380
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How can the 43M patients who now have no coverage be losers. Or the people who lose their jobs and lose their coverage. Or the children of employees whose plans doe not cover them. Or people who finally get a job and therefore have coverage but have preexisting conditions. The US may be the only country in the western world which purports to be enlightened in which it leaves its citizens without health coverage.
You only mention the surface of the bill, what I mention about the bill is not the stuff that's is being sold to you everyday. Sure the 43 m you mention getting coverage is good and people with preexisting conditions..etc.

what they didn't mention is that the 250 m with existing coverages will see a change and increase in premiums regarding their existing insurance. What they didn't mention is that employers may find it cheaper to dump your coverage and pay the penalty. What they didn't mention is that insurance companies still can deny what kind of healthcare the patient and doctor want and instead provide what the government panels have published.

What I deplore is how they passed this and never took the time to study what may happen in the long term. Healthcare for everyone is a noble goal, I want that, I'm in the medical field. But like social security was a noble idea, these ideas have to be sustainable and the way this law was done and worded will do the opposite.
 

toguy5252

Well-known member
Jun 22, 2009
15,964
6,108
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You only mention the surface of the bill, what I mention about the bill is not the stuff that's is being sold to you everyday. Sure the 43 m you mention getting coverage is good and people with preexisting conditions..etc.

what they didn't mention is that the 250 m with existing coverages will see a change and increase in premiums regarding their existing insurance. What they didn't mention is that employers may find it cheaper to dump your coverage and pay the penalty. What they didn't mention is that insurance companies still can deny what kind of healthcare the patient and doctor want and instead provide what the government panels have published.

What I deplore is how they passed this and never took the time to study what may happen in the long term. Healthcare for everyone is a noble goal, I want that, I'm in the medical field. But like social security was a noble idea, these ideas have to be sustainable and the way this law was done and worded will do the opposite.

The point is to slow the rate of increase. if you compare the cost of healthcare in the US as a percentage of GDP it is among the highest in the world even though 43 million are not covered and all of the other problems. Every metric in health care demonstrates that with the exception of the rich the system is inferior.

This will improve access and over time decrease the cost of healthcare as a percentage of GDP even though there may be increases in the short run.
 

kupall

Member
Nov 4, 2005
380
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The point is to slow the rate of increase. if you compare the cost of healthcare in the US as a percentage of GDP it is among the highest in the world even though 43 million are not covered and all of the other problems. Every metric in health care demonstrates that with the exception of the rich the system is inferior.

This will improve access and over time decrease the cost of healthcare as a percentage of GDP even though there may be increases in the short run.
This is an opinion of the proponents of this law. This may be true for the other western economies where a single payor system prevails. And the assumption is that these 43m could afford to pay or buy on their own. But the reality is that the federal government will provide credits and subsidize again. The only way for this to be paid is to increase the cost for everyone else.
 

toguy5252

Well-known member
Jun 22, 2009
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This is an opinion of the proponents of this law. This may be true for the other western economies where a single payor system prevails. And the assumption is that these 43m could afford to pay or buy on their own. But the reality is that the federal government will provide credits and subsidize again. The only way for this to be paid is to increase the cost for everyone else.
That is just not right. When healthcare represents such a high percentage iof GDP where do you think the money comes from to pay for it. Taxes, the deficit and therefor the debt. By slowing the rate of increase the demand on the tax system will decline and therefor the additions to the deficit and debt will decline over time.

In any event it is just the right thing to do. it is a national disgrace that such a rich country has so many uncovered people. Look at the mortality rates, rates of infant death etc. It is shameful. It is certainly not exceptional.
 

kupall

Member
Nov 4, 2005
380
0
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That is just not right. When healthcare represents such a high percentage iof GDP where do you think the money comes from to pay for it. Taxes, the deficit and therefor the debt. By slowing the rate of increase the demand on the tax system will decline and therefor the additions to the deficit and debt will decline over time.

In any event it is just the right thing to do. it is a national disgrace that such a rich country has so many uncovered people. Look at the mortality rates, rates of infant death etc. It is shameful. It is certainly not exceptional.
Well at least you were honest enough to say it that it will mean more taxes. Can't say the same thing about how the democrats and Obama sold this. If they had mentioned that, no way would this have passed. Don't see how this will slow down the demand on the tax system, as more revenue will be needed to cover said 43 m.



I don't concur with mortality rates as a predictor of health outcomes, same as infant death. But that is a totally different argument.
 

toguy5252

Well-known member
Jun 22, 2009
15,964
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Well at least you were honest enough to say it that it will mean more taxes. Can't say the same thing about how the democrats and Obama sold this. If they had mentioned that, no way would this have passed. Don't see how this will slow down the demand on the tax system, as more revenue will be needed to cover said 43 m.

I don't concur with mortality rates as a predictor of health outcomes, same as infant death. But that is a totally different argument.
Every reputable economist and commentator has said that revenue must be increased along with reductions in costs including entitlements. When i sat reputable i exclude every GOP member of Congress and all of the disciples of that idiot Grover Norquist who may be the single biggest threat to the US. he is likely to cause the US to go over the fiscal cliff.
 

kupall

Member
Nov 4, 2005
380
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Every reputable economist and commentator has said that revenue must be increased along with reductions in costs including entitlements. When i sat reputable i exclude every GOP member of Congress and all of the disciples of that idiot Grover Norquist who may be the single biggest threat to the US. he is likely to cause the US to go over the fiscal cliff.
Well wouldn't you agree that they just took on more entitlements without really trying to figure how to really reduce healthcare costs. When was there enough revenue to satisfy a liberal.

More people buying car insurance in Ontario never really led to decreased premiums for everyone else right?
 

fuji

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Jan 31, 2005
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Asterix said:
Regardless, it will take the guts out of the law. The whole plan is predicated on the assumption that everyone participates. Without that, it falls apart.
Wrong.
 

fuji

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Aardvark154 said:
I will be absolutely shocked if the individual mandate is not held an overbroad use of the Commerce Clause, as for the rest my tea leaf reading is hazy, however, I believe they are more likely to pass muster than not.
Wrong.
 
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