Some real life comparison:
If you took someone's debit card and randomly picked 4 digits to guess their PIN:
The odds are 1 in 210 (correct guess, 1 attempt). But you get 3 tries before bank locks the card, so it's 1 in 70.
For lotto 649:
The odds are 1 in 13,983,816
Will you win? No. Thank you for your donation.
If you took someone's debit card and randomly picked 4 digits to guess their PIN:
The odds are 1 in 210 (correct guess, 1 attempt). But you get 3 tries before bank locks the card, so it's 1 in 70.
For lotto 649:
The odds are 1 in 13,983,816
Will you win? No. Thank you for your donation.