Eagles 6.5 @ Commanders : Dont be so quick to write off Washington in this one. It took overtime at the start of October for the Eagles to take down the Commanders with a field goal. The last time they met before that Washington beat the Eagles 32-21. Statistically this should be a blowout but dont ever count out divisional opponents. The only winning team the Eagles have faced this year is the Dolphins. After the Commanders this week, the Eagles face Dallas twice, KC, Buffalo and San Fransisco. If the commanders pull off the upset this week there will be a lot of questions heading into that absolutely brutal 5 game stretch. Everyone will certainly know what the Eagle are by week 13. The Eagles and Comamanders seem to have headed in different directions since their match in early October. I would take Washington against the spread but cannot bring myself to pick them straight up.
Philadelphia 23 - washington 21
Baltimore -8 @ Arizona : Lamar Jackson is an astounding 16-1 vs the NFC. The Cardinals rank near the bottom of the league in nearly every statistic except for rushing where they are a surprising 6th. The Cards schedule is absolutely brutal all year. I dont see QB Clayton Tune Turning things around this week against a Ravens team allowing the least points in the league.
Baltimore 42 Arizona 3
New England @ Miami -9 : After the two worst losses of Belichecks career the Pats did the unthinkable and beat Buffalo in every phase of the game. Phildelphia made the gameplan to completely dismantle the Dolphins who have lost to both teams with winning records that they have faced this year. Miami faces KC, the Jets twice, Buffalo, Baltimore and Dallas. If they keep losing to good teams their playoff run could be in doubt after a magical start for the 2nd year in a row. Tua is 5-0 against Belicheck but the drought has to end somewhere. Mac Jones will never be mistaken for Jahlen Hurts, but if the Pats play mistake free and the Dolphins dont, I wouldnt be shocked to see an upset. If that somehow happens the AFC East will be turned on its head and anyones division to win. The Pats are solid defensively and the last time they met Jones and Tua had comparable stats. The Pats should be able to slow things down and keep it close, possibly bringing it down to the wire.
Pats 21 - Miami 20
Minnesota PICKEM @ GB : The Vikings have beat the Packers in 3 of the last 5 games and those were all with Aaron Rogers at QB for the Pack not Jordan Love. After starting 0-3 the Vikings have won 3 of the last 4 with their only loss coming against the Cheifs. The Vikings are the #3 passing team but # 30 at rushing. Their defene is run of the mill and mid league for nearly all stats. The Packers havent scored over 20 points since their week 2 loss to Atlanta and are riding a 3 game losing streak and looking at the schedule they could quite easily turn this into a 10 or 11 game streak. These two teams are only 1/2 a game apart but they seem to have moved in completely opposite directions since week 3 when the Packers were 2-1 and the Vikings 0-3. I dont see any reason why the streaks wont continute. The Packers are in the bottom quarter of the league in all offensive categories while their defense is 8th against the pass. The 30th ranked rushing attack of the Vikings vs the 30th ranked run defense should be interesting.
Vikings 31 - Green Bay 13
Rams @ Dallas -6 : both teams can look very good and very bad. Which one shows up sunday will be anyones guess. Dallas boasts the 20th ranked pass attack but the 3rd ranked pass defense. The Cowboys excel in points where they are 5th in scoring and 4th in points allowed. Dallas is 2-2 in their last 4, losing to Arizona and San Francisco while beating the Chargers and Pats. The Cowboys are 2-0 at home however. The last time these two teams met the Cowboys sacked Stafford 5 times. The Rams are solid offensively and defensively. The Cowboys have scored 16, 38, 10 and 20 points since week 4 with the 38 coming against an inept Patriots team. If the Cowboys make mistakes the Rams should be able to win but I am concerned about Parsons knocking Stafford all over the field with a backup tackle.
Dallas 27 Rams - 23
Jets -3 @ Giants : the battle of New York in New Jersey. All of the Giants losses have came agasint 2022 playoff teams. The Giants are near the bottom of the league in just about every category other than being 14th against the pass however the Giants have only allowed 21 points in the last 2 games combined. The Giants have allowed 37 sacks vs 11 that they have gotten and the Gmen have the worst scoring offense in the league. The Jets have the worst passing attack in football and have very average defensive stats. Everything is pointing to an ugly low scoring game. Tyrod Taylor may be the difference maker but that doesnt sound right.
Jets 12- Giants 9
Atlanta -2.5 @ Tennessee : The Falcons surprisingly have a top 10 defense and a respectable 8th in rushing and 17th in passing offense. They are a paltry 29th in points per game however. The Titans are 30th in passing and 19th in rushing while defensively they are an average 14th against the rush and 22nd against the pass. The Titans are 11th in giving up points so this should be an interesting but boring match. The Titans have lost 3 of their last 4 and their only two wins of the season came against the Chargers in week 2 and the Bengals in week 6. The Falcons are 2-1 in their last 3 beating Houston and Tampa while losing to washington. The other two losses for the Falcons came against the division leading Lions and Jags. Derrick Henry seems poised for a big game after averaging over 8 yards per carry against Baltimore last week but the Falcons have only allowed 1 rushing TD. Points scored last 4 games Altanta : 6,7,21,16. Titans : 3,27,16,16. Both teams allow a lot of sacks but dont get many. Will the Falcons be able to pressure the rookie QB enough to force mistakes and win to the game?
Atlanta 20 Tennessee 13
Saints @ Colts : Another AFC south vs NFC south battle. The Saints are fairly average offensively but surprisngly good defensively 4th against the pass 12th against the run and 4th for points allowed. Derek Carr has thrown for over 300 yards in their last two weeks which both resulted in losses. The Colts are surprisingly top 10 in all the offensive categories but worse than 19th in all defensive categories including 30th in points allowed. Carr seems to be finding a groove but Kamara remains a banged up shell of his 2020 self. I dont trust either team with both sitting at 3-4 but if the Saints clean it up a bit they should win. I think Taysom Hill is the wild card in this one
Saints 28 Colts 21
