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Week 14 - Dec 12th

healer677

Dos XX at Senor Frogs
Jan 13, 2004
2,154
0
36
Playa Del Carmen Q.R.
Surprise week last week - Baltimore, Minnesota and Pittsburgh didn't cover.

But

some of the money picks came in - New England, Indy, NYJ, Philly and Buffalo (despite Bledsoe.lol).

A new week - new betting opportunities....lets see -

1pm games

Chi 5-7 @ Jak 6-6 - I almost got lynched last week - so God help me; I thought Urlacher was injured. Chicago stood tall vs Minnesota (24-14) and the Jags almost eeked one out (another foot to the left - but, he was hooking it right all night). Chicagos defense certainly looks different with Urlacher in. Will be a close spread -

NYG 5-7 @ Blt 7-5 - the Giants are out of the playoffs (playing Jr too early cost them). Blt front line looked weak in the closing quarter but the secondary looked solid - disappointing performance vs Cin (loss 26-27). Blt should be favored at home.

Ind 9-3 @ Hou 5-7 - Ind is offensively unstoppable (even with Tenns attempt at the back of the book onside kicks). Hou has started its end of season slide...its like an avalanche. Ind will bury them indoors - double digit spread.

Cle 3-9 @ Buf 6-6 - Buf DT Pat Williams rumbled in the last minutes with an int to break the spread open. Bledsoe had his best game yet - 19/30 227yds for 4 tds - hopefully he can keep that up next week. Cleveland got skull f@*%ed by NE 42-15. Cle is still in trouble - too many injuries to key players. Buf should get 6.

NO 4-8 @ Dal 4-7 - NO - too little - too late during last weeks game. Car creamed them in the first half. Dal is coming off a short week with a Monday game at Seattle. The Tuna will not go quietly - this should be a 4 pointer. Cowboys showed a lot of grit in the 1st half vs Sea. J Jones is gonna be a solid RB - too bad the George isn't what he used to be.

Oak 4-8 @ Atl 9-3 - TB figured out Vick (shutout 27 -0) - 2 ints in the end zone for the Bucs D. Why dont they roll Vick out into the flats? Oak got into a shootout with KC (and lost 27-34) - mistake.
Atl will play better at home...give them 3.5 or 5.

Sea 6-5 @ Min 7-5 - Minn is starting to self destruct? Minn is susceptible to weather outdoors (loss to Chicago 24-14). Minn will be looking for blood - Sea is coming off a Monday night game - Minn by less than a td...maybe. Sea finds ways to lose - they drop balls all day.

Cin 6-6 @ NE 11-1 - Palmer had his best game last week - Chad Johnson had a good show as well 10 catches 161 yds with 2 tds and TJ Houshmandzadeh 10 catches - 171 yds and a td. BUT now they face the Pats...nevermind the offense, last weeks D had 3 sacks, 2 ints and a fumble return for a td. Its gonna be a big spread.

4pm games -

NYJ 9-3 @ Pit 11-1 - Pennington played well. Martin 23 carries - 134 yds for 1 td - he's closing in on 1300 yds and 13000 career yds. NYJ line backers are young, run fast and hit hard. The Rookie had a solid outing for 14 for 17 221 yds and 2 tds - plus he had a big run gain! This will be close -give it to the Steelers by a fg.

Mia 2-10 @ Den 7-5 - ok Miami can wake up now - they had a offensive explosion vs the Bills (32 points) but they gave up 35 points and the offense couged up a int to Williams (he rumbled into the endzone) in the closing minutes. Den ran into a hot Chargers team, lost by a fg. Den should close Miami off by a td or so - hope for snow.lol

Det 5-7 @ GB 7-5 - GB in December - brrrr - If Det can capitalize on GBs cover 2 and zone they can win. I said CAN....GB by a td - if it snows even better.

TB 5-7 @ SD 9-3 - Tb is playing a lot better the last 6 weeks- they figured out Vick big time last week. Simeon Rice and the D had 3 ints and 5 sacks. But, SD is the real deal. TB will give it their best shot, and if the D holds it'll be close. But SD reciever attack is potent. Tomlinson had 30 touches for 113 yds and 2 tds. SDs run defense is underrated - theyre tough. SD by 4 or so.

StL 6-6 @ Car 5-7 - StL couldnt cover 10.5 vs SF - offensive numbers for Holt and RB Jackson were pretty good though. Is Marshall on the move for next year? Car put NO away early, they had a 26-7 lead at halftime. I'm really hoping for a Car win...but...

SF 1-11 @ Az 4-8 - God....this is gonna suck. I'd give it to Arz just for being at home. SF did hold the Rams to just 16 points - they only scored 6 though. Az still has rookies all over the backfield. Pick one.

8pm game

Phi 11-1 @ Wsh 4-8 - McNabb threw 5 tds,32/43 464yds and completed the first 14 passes in a row to open the game...Wsh scored more than 20 pts for the first time all year. Wsh D is one of the best - too bad the offense is anemic. Phi is ready for the playoffs. Might be 10 - take the Eagles.

Monday Night

snoozer.....



KC 4-8 @ Ten 4-8 - why? Ten was outclassed by Ind. Priest Holmes and Blaylock injured? KCs defense still blows( gave up 27 points last week) - they're not getting away with it this year, though they managed to outscore last weeks opposition...Oakland. Ten by a fg. I'm giving this to the home team. Even money.
 
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healer677

Dos XX at Senor Frogs
Jan 13, 2004
2,154
0
36
Playa Del Carmen Q.R.
There's going to be problems this weekend.
It's looking like all the home teams are favored, and most by a td. This is going to require some work.

So far, the early spreads are:

Jak minus 7.5
Blt minus 11
Ind will be a double digit spread maybe 11 or so
Dal minus 8
Atl minus 8
Minn minus 7
NE minus 11
Pit minus 6
Den minus 11
GB minus 10
SD minus 6
Car minus 7
Az minus 7
Phi (so far the only home favored team) minus 10
 

healer677

Dos XX at Senor Frogs
Jan 13, 2004
2,154
0
36
Playa Del Carmen Q.R.
Well big E it looks like it might be a good week for that.

The OLGC early point spread are out and it's almost unbettable.LOL

NE minus 12.5
Buf minus 10.5
Blt minus 10.5
Min minus 7.5
Atl minus 8.5
Jak minus 7.5
Dal minus 7.5
Ind minus 12.5
Pit minus 6.5
Den minus 12.5
GB minus 9.5
Car, Az and SD minus 6.5
Phi minus 10.5
and Ten 1.5

It looks a little heavy specially for Buf, Atl, Dal and Phi.
If you hedge your bet on KC and Ten on the pro picks it might be a good bet- but, if you plan to play spreads - good luck.
Mind you, straight up pro line bets might be good this week too.
 

n_v

Banned
Aug 26, 2001
2,006
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       S T E E L E R S
 

healer677

Dos XX at Senor Frogs
Jan 13, 2004
2,154
0
36
Playa Del Carmen Q.R.
LOL

ok, n_v; how about this.

Not only will I take the Steelers- I will use them as an anchor (they will be on every ticket I bet on)
 

homonger

I'm not really back
Oct 27, 2001
5,188
0
0
The Steelers didn't cover last week, n_v. So you can take your big bold "Steelers" and shove it.
 

n_v

Banned
Aug 26, 2001
2,006
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36
Covering point spreads do win championships homonger. WINS DO!!!!!!!!!!!!


               S T E E L E R S
 

n_v

Banned
Aug 26, 2001
2,006
0
36
and oh yeah -     BITE ME!!!!!!!!!
 

homonger

I'm not really back
Oct 27, 2001
5,188
0
0
Ah, pay no attention to me, n_v. I'm just bitter that I lost money betting on the Steelers last week. But over the season, I think I'm still ahead betting on them.

Healer, it looks like the sport books are getting tired of favorites covering this season... a lot of this week's spreads look enormous...

Buffalo by 10.5?

GB by 9.5?

NE by 11.5?

Denver by 11.5?

Even Pittsburgh by 5.5 and Baltimore by 9.5 seem a little excessive.
 
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healer677

Dos XX at Senor Frogs
Jan 13, 2004
2,154
0
36
Playa Del Carmen Q.R.
I know.....

On a spread bet, I'm looking at a couple of teams....just a couple.lol.

TB has been playing better overall the last 6 weeks, I'm hoping they can keep it close in SD. Same goes with Wsh vs the Eagles - Wsh cant score shit but; I'm hoping the D keeps it closer than 10.5. Same with StL (even though I still think Martz is a moron) covering 6.5.

I'm going to take a big chance on Ind and NE covering huge spreads. Pit should be able to handle their spread (after that no cover week last week) and Chi -if the D plays up.
 

mrpolarbear

New member
Sep 10, 2001
1,093
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0
69
chicago
DA BEARS +7.5
 

healer677

Dos XX at Senor Frogs
Jan 13, 2004
2,154
0
36
Playa Del Carmen Q.R.
Farkin ' New Orleans - I've been saying all year to avoid this cancer plagued team. Even the Bears - just having that melanoma Jeff George is causing them to play like shit.
 

homonger

I'm not really back
Oct 27, 2001
5,188
0
0
Stupid Cowboys. Stupid Patriots. Stupid Vikings. Needless to say, not a good day.
 

shack

Nitpicker Extraordinaire
Oct 2, 2001
50,076
9,286
113
Toronto
I'm on a hot streak. I'm 11-4 this week against the line after going 12-4 last week. It's moved me up to 2nd place in my pool of 64. At this rate it will finance an extra hour or two of SP fun.
 
Ashley Madison
Toronto Escorts